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Bayesian Estimation with Combined Empirical Prior Distribution for a Multinomial Logit Model

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Abstract

In this paper, we propose Bayesian estimation of unknown parameters for a multinomial logit model. Since the multinomial logit model does not have conjugate prior distribution, we apply a Metropolis-Hastings (MH) algorithm. The MH algorithm requires prior and proposal distributions, which are frequently chosen according to the researcher’s belief or subjectivity. Unless we give appropriate distributions, the result is an inefficient or unbalanced estimation. Hence, we propose a combined empirical prior distribution that assumes the independence of the prior distribution for each of the parameter groups with an estimation procedure to obtain the appropriate estimation. We confirm the validity of the proposal method using multiple convergence diagnostics.

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Correspondence to Nozomi Matsumoto.

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Matsumoto, N., Kurosawa, T. Bayesian Estimation with Combined Empirical Prior Distribution for a Multinomial Logit Model. Rev Socionetwork Strat 9, 59–74 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12626-015-0056-1

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s12626-015-0056-1

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