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Spatiotemporal evolution characteristics of comprehensive land carrying capacity of urban–rural interlaced zone: a case study of Chenggong, China

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Abstract

Comprehensive land carrying capacity (CLCC) is an important criterion for regional coordinated development and optimization of land use spatial structure. With the continuous acceleration of China’s rapid urbanization process, how to scientifically evaluate the CLCC in the urban–rural interlaced zone has become an urgent need for quantitative research on the coordinated development of human-land relationship and effectively solves the conflict between urban and rural development. To this end, this paper takes Chenggong, a rapid development area in the urban–rural interlaced zone, as the research object and constructs a set of analytical methods for the spatiotemporal evolution characteristics of the CLCC of the urban–rural interlaced zone. Firstly, 17 index factors are selected from the three dimensions of social carrying capacity, economic carrying capacity, and ecological carrying capacity to construct an evaluation index system, and the mean square deviation decision weighting method is used to determine the index weight. Secondly, use the comprehensive index method based on the mean square decision weighting to construct the CLCC evaluation model. Finally, integrate Markov model and Geographical Information System (GIS) spatial analysis method to carry out the analysis of CLCC’s spatiotemporal evolution characteristics. The results show that this method can reproduce the spatial and temporal evolution of CLCC spatial classification characteristics and spatial transition changes in the study area. The above results are reflected in the following aspects: (1) from the perspective of spatiotemporal evolution trends, Wujiaying’s CLCC evolutionary trend continued to rise. In addition, the evolutionary trend of CLCC in other regions has relatively large fluctuations. This result is more consistent with the actual situation. (2) From the perspective of spatial classification characteristics, the CLCC in the study area has a large spatial differentiation. Among them, areas below the medium carrying capacity are distributed in Luoyang, Qidian, and Dayu. However, areas with medium carrying capacity or above are distributed in Longcheng, Dounan, Wujiaying, and Majingpu. (3) From the perspective of spatial transfer changes, the CLCC levels in any two periods are in a state of transfer and change, especially the spatial transfer between low-capacity areas is more intense, which also shows that urban expansion has a greater impact on the changes in CLCC in the urban–rural interlaced zone.

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Funding

This work was supported by the Kunming Water Affairs Bureau. This work is supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 41761081) and the Science Research Foundation of Yunnan Education Bureau 2020 (No. 2020J0098).

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Faculty of Geography, Yunnan Normal University, Kunming, 650500, China

    Lei Yuan

  2. Engineering Research Center of the Ministry of Education On Geography Information Technology of Western Resource Environment, Kunming, 650500, China

    Lei Yuan

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  1. Lei Yuan
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Correspondence to Lei Yuan.

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Responsible Editor: Biswajeet Pradhan

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Yuan, L. Spatiotemporal evolution characteristics of comprehensive land carrying capacity of urban–rural interlaced zone: a case study of Chenggong, China. Arab J Geosci 15, 591 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12517-022-09784-y

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