Abstract
People’s prior beliefs often lead them to make biased responses that violate logical rules in reasoning tasks. Conflict detection studies have found that biased reasoners can detect the conflict between heuristic beliefs and logical rules despite their ultimately biased responses, leading to the proposal of logical intuition. However, these studies have mainly used simple single-model reasoning tasks, and the generalization of conflict detection research and the boundary conditions of logical intuition still need to be clarified. The current study explores this issue directly by manipulating logical complexity through the number of mental models. Both response time and response confidence data found that reasoners took more time to respond and had lower confidence in their responses when they incorrectly solved conflict problems compared to correctly solving no-conflict problems. Furthermore, none of these differences were influenced by the number of mental models. The results suggest that the biased reasoners were not blind heuristic performers in complex three-model problems and that they at least detected that their heuristic beliefs were problematic. Moreover, there is no difference in conflict detection between single-model and three-model problems, indicating that logical complexity does not affect the conflict detection process. Overall, the current study indicates that successful conflict detection is not specific to simple tasks, extending the scope of conflict detection and logical intuition.
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The datasets generated and analyzed during the current study are available from the corresponding author on reasonable request.
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Appendices
Appendix 1 Overview of the problem content
Model number | Conflict | Premise 1 | Premise 2 | Conclusion |
---|---|---|---|---|
Single (Valid form: B-C, A-B premises with A-C conclusion) | No-conflict (Believable-valid) | All X are creatures | All dolphins are X | Therefore, all dolphins are creatures |
All X are balls | All basketballs are X | Therefore, all basketballs are balls | ||
Conflict (Unbelievable-valid) | All X are red | All colors are X | Therefore, all colors are red | |
All X are females | All human are X | Therefore, all human are females | ||
Single (Invalid form: B-C, A-B premises with C-A conclusion) | Conflict (Believable-invalid) | All X are pork | All meat is X | Therefore, all pork is meat |
All X are colas | All drinks are X | Therefore, all colas are drinks | ||
No-conflict (Unbelievable-invalid) | All X are eggs | All chicken eggs are X | Therefore, all eggs are chicken eggs | |
All X are food | All breads are X | Therefore, all foods are breads | ||
Three (Valid form: B-C, A-B premises with A-C conclusion) | No-conflict (Believable-valid) | No X are apples | Some fruits are X | Therefore, some fruits are not apples |
No X are poplars | Some trees are X | Therefore, some trees are not poplars | ||
Conflict (Unbelievable-valid) | No X are animals | Some tigers are X | Therefore, some tigers are not animals | |
No X are fish | Some carp are X | Therefore, some carp are not fish | ||
Three (Invalid form: B-C, A-B premises with C-A conclusion) | Conflict (Believable-invalid) | No X are flowers | Some osmanthus are X | Therefore, some flowers are not osmanthus |
No X are insects | Some ants are X | Therefore, some insects are not ants | ||
No-conflict (Unbelievable-invalid) | No X are pigeons | Some birds are X | Therefore, some pigeons are not birds | |
No X are cabbages | Some vegetables are X | Therefore, some cabbages are not vegetables |
Appendix 2 The accuracy analysis of the reasoners included in the conflict detection analysis
As Appendix Fig. 3 shows, there was a main effect of Conflict, with higher accuracy for no-conflict (M = 0.91, SE = 0.02) than conflict (M = 0.41, SE = 0.03) problems, F (1,38) = 179.64, p < 0.001, η2p = 0.83. While we found no significant effect of Model, F (1,38) = 1.59, p = 0.215, η2p = 0.04, and, critically, no significant interaction between Conflict and Model, F (1,38) < 1.
In contrast to the overall accuracy analysis, the accuracy results of the reasoners included in the conflict detection analysis did not reveal a main effect of Model. To verify whether our logical complexity manipulation was successful in these reasoners, we also performed a supplementary analysis of the response time (s) of these reasoners. As Appendix Fig. 4 shows, there was a main effect of Conflict, with more response time for conflict (M = 18.49, SE = 1.53) than no-conflict (M = 14.18, SE = 0.91) problems, F (1,38) = 18.06, p < 0.001, η2p = 0.32. Moreover, a main effect of Model showed that participants took more time to solve three-model problems (M = 18.90, SE = 1.59) than single-model problems (M = 13.78, SE = 0.97), F (1,38) = 16.51, p < 0.001, η2p = 0.30. While no significant interaction between Conflict and Model was found, F (1,38) < 1. Thus, the accuracy and response time results suggest that the logical complexity manipulation remains successful in these reasoners.
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Yang, J., Hu, Z., Zhu, D. et al. Belief bias, conflict detection, and logical complexity. Curr Psychol 43, 2641–2649 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12144-023-04562-9
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s12144-023-04562-9