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The impact of road pricing on accidents: a note on Milan

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Abstract

This paper aims to evaluate the effects of a road pricing scheme in Milan (the Ecopass) on accidents. As the policy was introduced in January 2008, we exploit this exogenous variation to analyse the trend of the time series of the number of accidents, the number of injuries and deaths and in different areas through a regression discontinuity design approach. We find evidence of an overall reduction in accidents in the whole city (\(-\)16 %), with a more pronounced effect in the treated area (\(-\)18.8 %). The effect on severity of accidents is limited as only a significant reduction in the number of injuries could be detected, whereas no effect was found for the number of deaths.

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Notes

  1. It should be mentioned that, along with the introduction of the pricing scheme, the traffic regulatory framework was slightly modified in the treated area. Unfortunately, we cannot disentangle the effect of such road pricing from that of this modification, although we tend to think of the latter as marginal for the sake of our analysis.

  2. dati.comune.milano.it

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Department of Policy Analysis and Public Management, Università Bocconi, via Rontgen 1, 20136, Milan, Italy

    Marco Percoco

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  1. Marco Percoco
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Correspondence to Marco Percoco.

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Percoco, M. The impact of road pricing on accidents: a note on Milan. Lett Spat Resour Sci 9, 343–352 (2016). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12076-015-0163-1

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s12076-015-0163-1

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