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Energy efficiency subsidies, additionality and incentive compatibility under hidden information

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Abstract

This paper examines the ‘additionality’ of energy savings in energy efficiency subsidy programs. ‘Additionality’ refers to the energy savings caused by actions beyond what would have occurred in the absence of the policy program. We characterise energy consumers’ strategic response to the subsidies in a formal adverse selection model and show how the subsidy program may fail to satisfy the additionality criterion. This occurs when energy consumers, who partake in the program, have different preferences for energy efficiency technologies that are unobservable. To resolve this, we propose an incentive compatible solution within the subsidy program that can mitigate the non-additionality problem and improve the effectiveness of the scheme.

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Notes

  1. The International Energy Agency (IEA) 2017 report which focuses on market-based instruments shows that 52 jurisdictions until 2016 have implemented such instruments, which include 24 US states, 12 European countries, 4 Australian states and Territories, Brazil, Canada, China, Korea, South Africa and Uruguay.

  2. In order to illustrate the idea, consider the following example from the NSW GGAS scheme (The New South Wales Greenhouse Gas Abatement Scheme). There are two kinds of subsidised efficient light bulbs: compact fluorescent lamp (CFL) and light emitting diode (LED). The LED technology is more efficient but more expensive than the CFL technology. For a consumer who uses and plans to keep using an incandescent lamp, choosing to adopt either LED or CFL would be regarded as additional energy efficiency improvement and would thus generate additional energy savings (additionality). However, in contrast, if the consumer has already installed or planned to install a CFL lamp, only the LED lamp would be considered as additional where the energy efficiency is enhanced compared to the baseline.

  3. Energy consumers are heterogeneous because they tend to differ in investment capacities, discount rates of investment cost, knowledge of energy efficiency technologies, environmental concerns, the ownership of a property, energy demand and behavioural biases such as the attention and inattention to energy consumption costs etc., which we do not consider explicitly in this paper (Young et al. 2010; Allcott and Greenstone 2012; Frederiks et al. 2015; Joshi and Rahman 2015).

  4. See the discussion of the free-riding problem in Linares and Labandeira (2010) and the relevant references.

  5. It is generally not straightforward to see why utility companies can solve the information problems associated with energy conservation programs compared to a government that possesses the legitimacy and information advantage. Hirst (1992) provides the justifications, and Tietenberg (2009) and Wirl (2015) provide some discussions on this issue as well.

  6. We recognise the importance of separating the deemed savings and the eligibility of the energy efficiency measures. In the theoretical analysis, we consider all the measures as eligible. The problem we wish to highlight is that although they are eligible measures, not all the eligible measures shall be counted as additional to each individual consumer.

  7. In our analysis, the current subsidy strategy is modelled as a linear function of the energy savings, not a function of their income. If a low-income consumer has a lower efficiency baseline, she/he would receive a higher subsidy by implementing a very efficient technology. The problem with this type of subsidy strategy is not being able to differentiate the eligibility of measures to each individual consumer.

  8. Because some market-based energy efficiency policies allow utilities to trade the induced energy savings, the marginal benefit of energy savings should also be equal to the market price. If the level of subsidy for each unit of energy saving is larger than the market price of energy savings, the utility will stop subsidising and purchase energy savings at the market price. Consequently, there could be an upper bound for the marginal subsidise, which corresponds to the market price of the energy savings. We shall treat the tradable energy saving market as a perfect competitive market. The limitation of this assumption is in practice some utility firms might have substantial market power, so they may influence the market price of energy savings (Mundaca 2008).

  9. In the beginning of the analysis, we assume each consumer’s original plan is to implement at least one energy-efficient measure without financial incentives, i.e. E ≥ 0. Here the theory shows that any consumer whose type is higher than the lowest one will have an incentive to install the energy efficiency measure that is only additional for the lowest type. In other words, these consumers tend to deviate from their original plan and implement a technology that is only additional for the lowest type, and thus might cause more energy consumption relative to their original plan.

  10. We thank an anonymous reviewer for pointing this out.

  11. See Appendix for derivation

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Acknowledgements

We thank the audience at presentations at the 2017 International Conference on Energy Finance for the helpful comments. We also thank Lana Friesen and Kjetil Telle for their constructive comments on the previous versions. Shen Peiyao gratefully acknowledges the financial support from the Natural Science Foundation of China (No.71873028). The invaluable and insightful comments by four anonymous referees and by Paolo Bertoldi have led to a much improved paper. All errors are ours.

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Appendices

Appendix 1. Proof of Proposition 2

The incentive compatible constraint (IC) would induce the consumer or project recipient to choose to implement energy efficiency projects according to his true type θ, which means that the first- and second-order condition for the consumer’s optimisation problem must be satisfied at \( \widehat{\theta}=\theta \):

$$ {T}^{\prime}\left(\widehat{\theta}\right)+\theta {E}^{\prime}\left(\widehat{\theta}\right)-{I}^{\prime}\left(E\left(\widehat{\theta}\right)\right){E}^{\prime}\left(\widehat{\theta}\right)=0\ \mathrm{FOC} $$
(A1)
$$ {T}^{\prime \prime \left(\widehat{\theta}\right)}+\theta {E}^{\prime \prime}\left(\widehat{\theta}\right)-{I}^{\prime \prime}\left(E\left(\widehat{\theta}\right)\right){\left[{E}^{\prime}\left(\widehat{\theta}\right)\right]}^2-{I}^{\prime}\left(E\left(\widehat{\theta}\right)\right){E}^{\prime \prime}\left(\widehat{\theta}\right)\le 0\ \mathrm{SOC} $$
(A2)

If we further differentiate (A1) with respect to θ, we obtain:

$$ {T}^{\prime \prime \left(\widehat{\theta}\right)}+{E}^{\prime}\left(\theta \right)+\theta {E}^{\prime \prime}\left(\widehat{\theta}\right)-{I}^{\prime \prime}\left(E\left(\widehat{\theta}\right)\right){\left[{E}^{\prime}\left(\widehat{\theta}\right)\right]}^2-{I}^{\prime}\left(E\left(\widehat{\theta}\right)\right){E}^{\prime \prime}\left(\widehat{\theta}\right)=0 $$
(A3)

Taking the result from (A2), the equation of (A3) implies E(θ) > 0. To derive the function of the optimal subsidised project, we follow the standard procedure introduced by Mirrlees (1971).

Appling the envelop theorem on the consumer’s objective function (12), we obtain

$$ \frac{d U\left(\widehat{\theta},\theta \right)}{d\theta}=E\left(\widehat{\theta}\right)>0 $$

Therefore, by integrating,

$$ U\left(\theta \right)={\int}_{\theta_{\_}}^{\theta }E(z) dz+E\left({\theta}_{\_}\right) $$

At the optimum, the individual rationality constraint (IR) at the lowest type is binding; therefore,

$$ E\left({\theta}_{\_}\right)=0\ \mathrm{and}\ U\left(\theta \right)={\int}_{\theta_{\_}}^{\theta }E(z) dz. $$
(A4)

From the consumer’s objective function (12), the above equation implies that:

\( T\left(\theta \right)=I\left(E\left(\theta \right)\right)-\theta E\left(\theta \right)+{\int}_{\theta_{\_}}^{\overline{\theta}}E(z) dz \). Substituting for T(θ) in the project developer’s objective function, the project developer’s problem becomes:

$$ \underset{E\left(\theta \right)}{\max }{\int}_{\theta_{\_}}^{\overline{\theta}}\left[V\left(E\left(\theta \right)\right)-I\left(E\left(\theta \right)\right)+\theta E\left(\theta \right)-{\int}_{\theta_{\_}}^{\overline{\theta}}E(z) d z\right]f\left(\theta \right) d\theta $$

After integration by parts, we obtain a modified problem

$$ \underset{E\left(\theta \right)}{\max }{\int}_{\theta_{\_}}^{\overline{\theta}}\left[V\left(E\left(\theta \right)\right)-I\left(E\left(\theta \right)\right)-\theta E\left(\theta \right)-\frac{1+F\left(\theta \right)}{f\left(\theta \right)}E\left(\theta \right)\right]f\left(\theta \right) d\theta $$
(A5)

The solution to the maximisation problem is given by the first-order condition with respect to E(θ) under the integral. Thus, we have:

$$ {V}^{\prime}\left(E\left(\theta \right)\right)={I}^{\prime}\left(E\left(\theta \right)\right)-\theta +\frac{1-F\left(\theta \right)}{f\left(\theta \right)} $$
(A6)

Thus, the project developer offers subsidised projects to the consumers such that the marginal benefit from the energy efficiency project equals the marginal net cost while including an informational rent. Because the project developer’s benefit function V is assumed concave in E, the second-order condition for the project developer’s maximisation problem is satisfied.

From Eq. (A6), we can immediately infer that the level of efficiency for the highest top consumer \( \overline{\theta} \) is not distorted. However, for consumers whose type is below \( \overline{\theta} \), \( \frac{1-F\left(\theta \right)}{f\left(\theta \right)} \), it is positive. Since V is concave in E, their subsidised project will be distorted downwards.

Finally, we need to check that the optimal solution in (A6) satisfies the monotonicity constraint for E(θ) in (3). Differentiate (A6) with respect to θ, we get

$$ {E}^{\prime}\left(\theta \right)=\frac{1-\frac{d}{d\theta}\left(\frac{1-F\left(\theta \right)}{f\left(\theta \right)}\right)}{I^{\prime \prime}\left(E\left(\theta \right)\right)-{V}^{\prime \prime}\left(E\left(\theta \right)\right)} $$
(A7)

Since I is the assumed convex and V is the assumed concave in E, the monotonicity constraint E(θ) > 0 is satisfied as long as the \( \frac{1-F\left(\theta \right)}{f\left(\theta \right)} \) is decreasing in θ.

Appendix 2

Table 1 Table of key variables

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Shen, P., Betz, R. & Yong, S.K. Energy efficiency subsidies, additionality and incentive compatibility under hidden information. Energy Efficiency 12, 1429–1442 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12053-018-9745-2

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