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Mapping determinants of rural poverty in Guangxi — a less developed region of China

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Abstract

Rapid urbanization in China has led to an increasing imbalance in regional development. The Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, a less developed border province with unique cultural diversity, has a relatively large population (4.52 million people in 2015) under the poverty line, according to the national standard of poverty. China has launched a national campaign to reduce poverty using a wide range of new development policies and large-scale investment. However, there have been few studies on the determinants of poverty at the county level across a province. This paper aims to explore the spatial and social differences related to poverty among 109 counties by considering the spatial heterogeneity of poverty determinants. Spatial statistical models revealed that slope (Slp), GDP per capita (GDPP), the ethnic minority population ratio (EMPR), medical and technical personnel of healthcare institutions (MTP) and illiteracy rate (IR) significantly affect the patterns of the poverty rate, with a high adjusted R2 (0.67), while the poverty rate affects GDPP, IR, MTP and EMPR; i.e., the effects are interactional. Furthermore, the IR is significantly affected by the provision of schools and transportation conditions. Among these determinants, social factors may be key. The spatial patterns of these relationships demonstrate remarkable variation across the province and between minor and major groups. This quantitative evidence is enhanced by indepth interviews with selected groups. These results are expected to be useful for the anti-poverty project in Guangxi.

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Acknowledgements

This work was supported by Guangxi Scholarship Fund of Guangxi Education Department, the Natural Science Foundation of China (41661085, 41661043, 41461021), the Guangxi Scholarship Fund of Guangxi Education Department, China, and by the Guangxi Scientific Project, China (No. AD19110140) and the Innovative Team Project of Guangxi Natural Science Foundation, China (2016JJF15001). The authors would like to thank the anonymous reviewers for their constructive comments to the revision of this paper.

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Correspondence to Yuan Lu.

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Zhao, Yj., Lu, Y. Mapping determinants of rural poverty in Guangxi — a less developed region of China. J. Mt. Sci. 17, 1749–1762 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11629-019-5760-9

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11629-019-5760-9

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