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Nonlinear dynamics and multifractal analysis of minimum–maximum temperature and solar radiation over Lagos State, Nigeria

  • Review Article - Atmospheric & Space Sciences
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Abstract

This study focuses on investigating the chaotic and multifractal behavior of atmospheric time series of solar radiation (solar), maximum temperature (Tmax), and minimum temperature (Tmin) over Lagos State for a period of 24 years. Chaotic quantifiers such as sample entropy, Lyapunov exponent, and correlation dimension were employed to unveil the chaotic nature of the time series. Values of Lyapunov exponents obtained for the three parameters were in the range 0.251–0.261, which confirms chaos in the time series. The scaling properties of the time series were revealed by applying the Multifractal Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (MFDFA). Based on the multifractal strength, we infer that the dynamics of solar radiation (0.932) is different from that of maximum temperature (0.155) and minimum temperature (0.198). The time series have a long-range correlation and broad probability distribution. Results obtained showed that the time series is chaotic and exhibited a multifractal behavior. The results also show that chaotic and multifractal analyses are useful in unveiling the complex dynamics of the atmosphere.

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Acknowledgements

Many thanks to the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NIMET) for providing the data that was used for the research.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Adekunle Ajasin University, Akungba, Akoko, Nigeria

    Joshua Akinsusi

  2. Federal University of Technology, Akure, Nigeria

    Samuel Ogunjo & Ibiyinka Fuwape

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  1. Joshua Akinsusi
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  2. Samuel Ogunjo
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  3. Ibiyinka Fuwape
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Correspondence to Joshua Akinsusi.

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Edited by Prof. Ioannis Pytharoulis (ASSOCIATE EDITOR) / Prof. Theodore Karacostas (CO-EDITOR-IN-CHIEF).

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Akinsusi, J., Ogunjo, S. & Fuwape, I. Nonlinear dynamics and multifractal analysis of minimum–maximum temperature and solar radiation over Lagos State, Nigeria. Acta Geophys. 70, 2171–2178 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11600-022-00879-4

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