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A physics-based earthquake simulator and its application to seismic hazard assessment in Calabria (Southern Italy) region

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An Erratum to this article was published on 16 May 2017

Abstract

The use of a newly developed earthquake simulator has allowed the production of catalogs lasting 100 kyr and containing more than 100,000 events of magnitudes ≥4.5. The model of the fault system upon which we applied the simulator code was obtained from the DISS 3.2.0 database, selecting all the faults that are recognized on the Calabria region, for a total of 22 fault segments. The application of our simulation algorithm provides typical features in time, space and magnitude behavior of the seismicity, which can be compared with those of the real observations. The results of the physics-based simulator algorithm were compared with those obtained by an alternative method using a slip-rate balanced technique. Finally, as an example of a possible use of synthetic catalogs, an attenuation law has been applied to all the events reported in the synthetic catalog for the production of maps showing the exceedance probability of given values of PGA on the territory under investigation.

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Acknowledgements

We are very grateful to two anonymous reviewers for their comments that help to clarify some aspects of the work.

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Correspondence to Rodolfo Console.

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An erratum to this article is available at http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11600-017-0045-6.

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Console, R., Nardi, A., Carluccio, R. et al. A physics-based earthquake simulator and its application to seismic hazard assessment in Calabria (Southern Italy) region. Acta Geophys. 65, 243–257 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11600-017-0020-2

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