Abstract
This paper considers the supplier investment decision-making problem in a supply chain consisting of an original equipment manufacturer (OEM), a global supplier, and a local supplier. To reduce dependence on global suppliers and improve supply stability, we develop a differential game model to investigate the optimal investment decisions of the OEM towards the local supplier under different risk scenarios and the impact of different risks on the optimal decisions. The results show that investment efficiency and risks have a significant impact on OEM investment decisions. Specifically, when the OEM has higher investment efficiency, investing in the local supplier is profitable for the OEM; conversely, when the investment efficiency of the OEM is lower, it does not invest. In addition, an increase in the supply risk of the global supplier will lower the entry threshold for OEM investment, but an increase in the supply risk of the local supplier and the reputational risk of both will increase this threshold, meaning that only the OEM with significantly higher investment efficiency can profit.
Similar content being viewed by others
Data Availability
Data sharing not applicable to this article as no datasets were generated or analysed during the current study.
References
Allon G, Van Mieghem J A (2010). Global dual sourcing: Tailored base-surge allocation to near- and offshore production. Management Science 56(1): 110–124.
Amir R, Erickson P, Jin J (2017). On the microeconomic foundations of linear demand for differentiated products. Journal of Economic Theory 169: 641–665.
Ang E, Iancu D A, Swinney R (2017). Disruption risk and optimal sourcing in multitier supply networks. Management Science 63(8): 2397–2419.
Bai C, Sarkis J (2016). Supplier development investment strategies: A game theoretic evaluation. Annals of Operations Research 240(2): 583–615.
Bray R L, Serpa J C, Colak A (2019). Supply chain proximity and product quality. Management Science 65(9): 4079–4099.
Cachon G P, Lariviere M A (1999). Capacity allocation using past sales: When to turn-and-earn. Management Science 45(5): 685–703.
Cai X, Li J, Lian Z, Liu Z (2022). Fixed allocation of capacity for multiple retailers under demand competition. Omega 110: 102629.
Christopher M, Lee H (2004). Mitigating supply chain risk through improved confidence. International Journal of Physical Distribution & Logistics Management 34(5): 388–396.
Christopher M, Mena C, Khan O, Yurt O (2011). Approaches to managing global sourcing risk. Supply Chain Management 16(2): 67–81.
Colombo L, Labrecciosa P (2019). Stackelberg versus Cournot: A differential game approach. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 101: 239–261.
Crettez B, Hayek N, Zaccour G (2018). Brand imitation: A dynamic-game approach. International Journal of Production Economics 205: 139–155.
Dong B, Tang W, Zhou C, Ren Y (2021). Is dual sourcing a better choice? The impact of reliability improvement and contract manufacturer encroachment. Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review 149: 102275.
Eccles R G, Newquist S C, Schatz R (2007). Reputation and its risks. Harvard Business Review 85(2): 104–114.
El Ouardighi F (2014). Supply quality management with optimal wholesale price and revenue sharing contracts: A two-stage game approach. International Journal of Production Economics 156: 260–268.
El Ouardighi F, Kogan K (2013). Dynamic conformance and design quality in a supply chain: An assessment of contracts’ coordinating power. Annals of Operations Research 211(1): 137–166.
Erickson G M (1995). Differential game models of advertising competition. European Journal of Operational Research 83(3): 431–438.
Fan X, Chen K, Chen Y J (2023). Is price commitment a better solution to control carbon emissions and promote technology investment?. Management Science 69(1): 325–341.
Federgruen A, Liu Z, Lu L (2022). Dual sourcing: Creating and utilizing flexible capacities with a second supply source. Production and Operations Management 31(7): 2789–2805.
Ferreira K J, Simchi-Levi D, Wang H (2018). Online network revenue management using Thompson sampling. Operations Research 66(6): 1586–1602.
Friedl G, Wagner S M (2012). Supplier development or supplier switching?. International Journal of Production Research 50(11): 3066–3079.
Garvin D A (1988). Managing Quality: The Strategic and Competitive Edge. Simon and Schuster, UK.
Ha A Y, Tian Q, Tong S (2017). Information sharing in competing supply chains with production cost reduction. Manufacturing & Service Operations Management 19(2): 246–262.
Hao J, Li J, Wu D, Sun X (2020). Portfolio optimisation of material purchase considering supply risk - A multi-objective programming model. International Journal of Production Economics 230: 107803.
He L, Rong Y, Shen Z J M (2020). Product sourcing and distribution strategies under supply disruption and recall risks. Production and Operations Management 29(1): 9–23.
Jain T, Hazra J (2017). Dual sourcing under suppliers’ capacity investments. International Journal of Production Economics 183: 103–115.
Jiang Q, Tao F, Fan T, Lai K (2020). Research on decision making of two supply chains with RFID technology. Chinese Journal of Management Science 28(11): 120–129.
Krause D R, Handfield R B, Tyler B B (2007). The relationships between supplier development, commitment, social capital accumulation and performance improvement. Journal of Operations Management 25(2): 528–545.
Kumar M, Basu P, Avittathur B (2018). Pricing and sourcing strategies for competing retailers in supply chains under disruption risk. European Journal of Operational Research 265(2): 533–543.
Lee H H, Li C (2018). Supplier quality management: Investment, inspection, and incentives. Production and Operations Management 27(2): 304–322.
Li J, Cai X, Liu Z (2017). Allocating capacity with demand competition: Fixed factor allocation. Decision Sciences 48(3): 523–560.
Litman T (2009). Transportation cost and benefit analysis. Victoria Transport Policy Institute 31: 1–19.
Liu G, Zhang J, Tang W (2015). Strategic transfer pricing in a marketing-operations interface with quality level and advertising dependent goodwill. Omega 56: 1–15.
Liu G, Wang H, Shao X (2023). Technology investments into a supplier with upstream entry. European Journal of Operational Research 305(1): 240–259.
Liu Y, Ma D, Hu J, Zhang Z (2021). Sales mode selection of fresh food supply chain based on blockchain technology under different channel competition. Computers & Industrial Engineering 162: 107730.
Lu M, Huang S, Shen Z J M (2011). Product substitution and dual sourcing under random supply failures. Transportation Research Part B: Methodological 45(8): 1251–1265.
Na Q, Ma Y, Liu A, Jiang Y (2020). Enterprise dynamic pricing and research and development investment decision considering consumer strategy behavior. Journal of Systems & Management 30(1): 133–141.
Namdar J, Li X, Sawhney R, Pradhan N (2018). Supply chain resilience for single and multiple sourcing in the presence of disruption risks. International Journal of Production Research 56(6): 2339–2360.
Nerlove M, Arrow K J (1962). Optimal advertising policy under dynamic conditions. Economica 29(114): 129–142.
Niu B, Li J, Zhang J, Cheng H K, Tan Y (2019). Strategic analysis of dual sourcing and dual channel with an unreliable alternative supplier. Production and Operations Management 28(3): 570–587.
Qi A, Ahn H S, Sinha A (2015). Investing in a shared supplier in a competitive market: Stochastic capacity case. Production and Operations Management 24(10): 1537–1551.
Quigley J, Walls L, Demirel G, MacCarthy B L, Parsa M (2018). Supplier quality improvement: The value of information under uncertainty. European Journal of Operational Research 264(3): 932–947.
Silbermayr L, Minner S (2016). Dual sourcing under disruption risk and cost improvement through learning. European Journal of Operational Research 250(1): 226–238.
Su P, Liu S (2015). Dual sourcing in managing operational and disruption risks in contract manufacturing. International Journal of Production Research 53(1): 291–306.
Talluri S, Narasimhan R, Chung W (2010). Manufacturer cooperation in supplier development under risk. European Journal of Operational Research 207(1): 165–173.
Tarei P K, Kumar G, Ramkumar M (2022). A Mean-Variance robust model to minimize operational risk and supply chain cost under aleatory uncertainty: A real-life case application in petroleum supply chain. Computers & Industrial Engineering 166: 107949.
Theodorakioglou Y, Gotzamani K, Tsiolvas G (2006). Supplier management and its relationship to buyers’ quality management. Supply Chain Management: An International Journal 11(2): 148–159.
Wang J, Yan Y, Du H, Zhao R (2020). The optimal sales format for green products considering downstream investment. International Journal of Production Research 58(4): 1107–1126.
Wang Y, Gilland W, Tomlin B (2010). Mitigating supply risk: Dual sourcing or process improvement? Manufacturing & Service Operations Management 12(3): 489–510.
Wang Y, Xu X, Zhu Q (2021). Carbon emission reduction decisions of supply chain members under cap-and-trade regulations: A differential game analysis. Computers & Industrial Engineering 162: 107711.
Xia L, Bai Y, Ghose S, Qin J (2020). Differential game analysis of carbon emissions reduction and promotion in a sustainable supply chain considering social preferences. Annals of Operations Research 310: 257–292.
Xue C, Wu Y, Zhu W, Zhao X, Chen J (2022). Mitigating behavioral supply risk under dual sourcing: Evidence from an order allocation game. Production and Operations Management 31(4): 1788–1801.
Yin Z, Guan X, Xiao L (2017). Managing global sourcing with disruption risks in an assemble-to-order system. Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review 108: 1–17.
Yin Z, Wang C, Yin Q (2018). Coordinating overseas and local sourcing through a capacitated expediting transportation policy. Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review 118: 258–271.
Yin Z, Wang C, Yin Q (2018). Single or dual sourcing: decision-making in the presence of supply chain disruption risks. Omega 37(4): 788–800.
Zhu K, Zhang R Q, Tsung F (2007). Pushing quality improvement along supply chains. Management Science 53(3): 421–436.
Zhu S X (2015). Analysis of dual sourcing strategies under supply disruptions. International Journal of Production Economics 170: 191–203.
Zsidisin G A (2003). A grounded definition of supply risk. Journal of Purchasing and Supply Management 9: 217–224.
Acknowledgments
The authors are very grateful to the editor-in-chief, the associate editor, and the anonymous referees for their constructive comments and suggestions that have greatly improved this article. This work has been supported in part by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC) under Grant No.72271208, and the China Postdoctoral Science Foundation under Grant No.2023M741907.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Ethics declarations
The authors declare no conflict of interest.
Additional information
Zhaowei Miao is a professor of the School of Management at Xiamen University. He received his BS degree in mathematics from Nanjing University and his PhD degree in industrial engineering and engineering management from Hong Kong University of Science and Technology. His research interests are in the areas of supply chain management, network flow and algorithm design. His research papers have been published in journals including Naval Research Logistics, European Journal of Operational Research, Omega, etc.
Yu Wang is a postdoctoral researcher in the School of Management at Xiamen University. She received her BS degree in logistics management and her PhD degree in management science and engineering both from Shandong University of Science and Technology. Her research areas include green supply chain management, green innovation, and CSR.
Rongjing Zhu is a PhD candidate in management science and engineering at Xiamen University. His research interests are in the areas of supply chain management, remanufacturing and outsourcing.
Lili Shangguan is a postdoctoral researcher in the School of Economics and Management at Tsinghua University. She received her BS degree in logistics management from Fuzhou University and her PhD degree in management science and engineering from Xiamen University. Her research interests include e-commerce, pricing strategy and supply chain management.
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Miao, Z., Wang, Y., Zhu, R. et al. Supplier Development under Supply Risk and Reputational Risk. J. Syst. Sci. Syst. Eng. (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11518-024-5595-y
Published:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11518-024-5595-y