Abstract
Energy transition from fossil fuels to renewables is instrumental in mitigating climate change. Low-income countries have a higher share of renewable energy in their total energy consumption than rich countries (WDI, 2023). Thus, it is imperative to examine the role of energy transition in affecting relative CO2 emissions between rich and poor sections of the societies across income groups of the countries. In this context, our study contributes by constructing the carbon inequality models with renewable and non-renewable energy consumption as prime explanatory variables separately for 114 countries over a data period 1990–2019. The models are estimated individually for high-middle-low-income countries by controlling for foreign direct investment (FDI), economic growth, and innovations. Starting with preliminary econometric operations, we employ the dynamic simulated panel autoregressive distributed lag approach and Driscoll-Kraay standard error regression for empirical investigation. We find that energy transition reduces carbon inequality globally. Innovation has a negative impact, economic growth has a positive impact on carbon inequality, and FDI has an asymmetric impact based on the income level of the countries. The crucial global policy implications are discussed.
Similar content being viewed by others
Data Availability
Data sources are given. Data used in the analysis can be made available upon request.
Notes
More specifically, on account of availability of carbon inequality data till the year 2019 from 1990, our analysis is restricted to focus on for the period 1990–2019.
The equations have a semi-logarithmic form (i.e., lnREN, lnINO, and lnGDP). Due to the negative and minimum values, as well as lower mean and standard deviation values, FDI is not in logarithm form.
For example, the Russian-Ukraine war has disrupted the global energy market. This was due the sanctions imposed on Russia as a part retaliation, supply chain disruption in international energy market, etc.
References
Adebayo TS, Kirikkaleli D (2021) Impact of renewable energy consumption, globalization, and technological innovation on environmental degradation in Japan: application of wavelet tools. Environ Dev Sustain 23(11):16057–16082
Adekoya OB, Ajayi GE, Suhrab M, Oliyide JA (2022) How critical are resource rents, agriculture, growth, and renewable energy to environmental degradation in the resource-rich African countries? The role of institutional quality. Energy Policy 164:112888
Ahmad N, Youjin L, Žiković S, Belyaeva Z (2023) The effects of technological innovation on sustainable development and environmental degradation: evidence from China. Technol Soc 72:102184
Akalpler E, Hove S (2019) Carbon emissions, energy use, real GDP per capita and trade matrix in the Indian economy-an ARDL approach. Energy 168:1081–1093
Akbas YE, Lebe F (2021) Poverty, income inequality, and energy consumption based on EKC hypothesis: evidence from developed and developing countries
Alam MS, Paramati SR (2015) Do oil consumption and economic growth intensify environmental degradation? Evid Dev Econ Appl Econ 47(48):5186–5203
Al-Mulali U, Solarin SA, Sheau-Ting L, Ozturk I (2016) Does moving towards renewable energy cause water and land inefficiency? An empirical investigation. Energy Policy 93:303–314
Alola AA, Donve UT (2021) Environmental implication of coal and oil energy utilization in Turkey: is the EKC hypothesis related to energy? Manag Environ Quality: an Intl J 32(3):543–559
Alola AA, Joshua U (2020) Carbon emission effect of energy transition and globalization: inference from the low-, lower middle-, upper middle-, and high-income economies. Environ Sci Pollut Res 27(30):38276–38286
Anzalchi A, Sarwat A (2015) Analysis of carbon tax as an incentive toward building sustainable grid with renewable energy utilization. In 2015 seventh annual IEEE Green Technologies Conference (pp. 103–109). IEEE.
Arlota C, de Medeiros Costa HK (2021) Climate change, carbon capture and storage (CCS), energy transition, and justice: where we are now, and where are (should be) we headed?. In Carbon Capture and Storage in International Energy Policy and Law (pp. 385–393). Elsevier
Baloch MA, Mahmood N, Zhang JW (2019) Effect of natural resources, renewable energy and economic development on CO2 emissions in BRICS countries. Sci Total Environ 678:632–638
Bashir MF, Pan Y, Shahbaz M, Ghosh S (2023) How energy transition and environmental innovation ensure environmental sustainability? Contextual evidence from Top-10 manufacturing countries. Renew Energy 204:697–709
Bekhet HA, Matar A, Yasmin T (2017) CO2 emissions, energy consumption, economic growth, and financial development in GCC countries: dynamic simultaneous equation models. Renew Sustain Energy Rev 70:117–132
Ben Jebli M, Ben Youssef S, Ozturk I (2015) The role of renewable energy consumption and trade: environmental kuznets curve analysis for sub-saharan Africa countries. Afr Dev Rev 27(3):288–300
Breusch TS, Pagan AR (1980a) The Lagrange multiplier test and its applications to model specification in econometrics. Rev Econ Stud 47(1):239–253
Caglar AE, Yavuz E (2023) The role of environmental protection expenditures and renewable energy consumption in the context of ecological challenges: insights from the European Union with the novel panel econometric approach. J Environ Manage 331:117317
Chakravarty D, Mandal SK (2020) Is economic growth a cause or cure for environmental degradation? Empirical evidences from selected developing economies. Environ Sustain Indicat 7:100045
Cho JH, Sohn SY (2018) A novel decomposition analysis of green patent applications for the evaluation of RandD efforts to reduce CO2 emissions from fossil fuel energy consumption. J Clean Prod 193:290–299
Destek MA, Ulucak R, Dogan E (2018) Analyzing the environmental Kuznets curve for the EU countries: the role of ecological footprint. Environ Sci Pollut Res 25(29):29387–29396
Dogan E, Ulucak R, Kocak E, Isik C (2020) The use of ecological footprint in estimating the environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis for BRICST by considering cross-section dependence and heterogeneity. Sci Total Environ 723:138063
Driscoll JC, Kraay AC (1998) Consistent covariance matrix estimation with spatially dependent panel data. Rev Econ Stat 80(4):549–560
Ehigiamusoe KU, Dogan E (2022) The role of interaction effect between renewable energy consumption and real income in carbon emissions: evidence from low-income countries. Renew Sustain Energy Rev 154:111883
Espoir DK, Sunge R, Alola AA (2024) Time-varying causality nexus of (non) renewable electricity utilization, real output, and carbon emission among selected African states. Environ Dev Sustain 26(2):5275–5298
Gormus S, Aydin M (2020) Revisiting the environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis using innovation: new evidence from the top 10 innovative economies. Environ Sci Pollut Res 27:27904–27913
IEA, (2024). Internation Energy Agency. https://www.iea.org/energy-system/renewables
Javed A, Rapposelli A, Khan F, Javed A (2023) The impact of green technology innovation, environmental taxes, and renewable energy consumption on ecological footprint in Italy: fresh evidence from novel dynamic ARDL simulations. Technol Forecast Soc Chang 191:122534
Jiang Y, Khan H (2023) The relationship between renewable energy consumption, technological innovations, and carbon dioxide emission: evidence from two-step system GMM. Environ Sci Pollut Res 30(2):4187–4202
Jiang L, Zhou HF, Bai L, Zhou P (2018) Does foreign direct investment drive environmental degradation in China? An empirical study based on air quality index from a spatial perspective. J Clean Prod 176:864–872
Jordan S, Philips AQ (2018) Cointegration testing and dynamic simulations of autoregressive distributed lag models. Stand Genomic Sci 18(4):902–923
Kenner D (2019) Carbon inequality: the role of the richest in climate change. Routledge
Khan MK, Teng JZ, Khan MI (2019) Effect of energy consumption and economic growth on carbon dioxide emissions in Pakistan with dynamic ARDL simulations approach. Environ Sci Pollut Res 26:23480–23490
Khan S, Yahong W, Zeeshan A (2022) Impact of poverty and income inequality on the ecological footprint in Asian developing economies: assessment of Sustainable Development Goals. Energy Rep 8:670–679
Kim MH, Adilov N (2012) The lesser of two evils: an empirical investigation of foreign direct investment-pollution tradeoff. Appl Econ 44(20):2597–2606
Lau LS, Choong CK, Eng YK (2014) Investigation of the environmental Kuznets curve for carbon emissions in Malaysia: do foreign direct investment and trade matter? Energy Policy 68:490–497
Lau CK, Gozgor G, Mahalik MK, Patel G, Li J (2023) Introducing a new measure of energy transition: green quality of energy mix and its impact on CO2 emissions. Energy Econ 122:106702
Leal PH, Marques AC (2020) Rediscovering the EKC hypothesis for the 20 highest CO2 emitters among OECD countries by level of globalization. International Economics 164:36–47
Liu H, Anwar A, Razzaq A, Yang L (2022) The key role of renewable energy consumption, technological innovation and institutional quality in formulating the SDG policies for emerging economies: evidence from quantile regression. Energy Rep 8:11810–11824
Luo J, Ali SA, Aziz B, Aljarba A, Akeel H, Hanif I (2023) Impact of natural resource rents and economic growth on environmental degradation in the context of COP-26: evidence from low-income, middle-income, and high-income Asian countries. Resour Policy 80:103269
Mahalik MK, Patel G, Sahoo BK, Rahman MM (2023) Impact of income inequality on renewable energy demand in south Asian economies. Energy Policy 180:113628
Mahalik MK, Padhan H, Patel G, Mishra S, Chyrmang R (2024) The role of gender life expectancy in environmental degradation: new insights for the BRICS economies. Environ Dev Sustain 26(4):9305–9334
Mejía-Montero A, Alonso-Serna L, Altamirano-Allende C (2020) The role of social resistance in shaping energy transition policy in Mexico: the case of wind power in Oaxaca. In The regulation and policy of Latin American energy transitions (pp. 303–318). Elsevier
Ottinger G (2013) The winds of change: environmental justice in energy transitions. Sci Cult 22(2):222–229
Ozcan B, Tzeremes PG, Tzeremes NG (2020) Energy consumption, economic growth and environmental degradation in OECD countries. Econ Model 84:203–213
Özokcu S, Özdemir Ö (2017) Economic growth, energy, and environmental Kuznets curve. Renew Sustain Energy Rev 72:639–647
Pao HT, Tsai CM (2011) Multivariate Granger causality between CO2 emissions, energy consumption, FDI (foreign direct investment) and GDP (gross domestic product): evidence from a panel of BRIC (Brazil, Russian Federation, India, and China) countries. Energy 36(1):685–693
Pesaran MH (2007) A simple panel unit root test in the presence of cross-section dependence. J Appl Economet 22(2):265–312
Pesaran MH (2015) Testing weak cross-sectional dependence in large panels. Economet Rev 34(6–10):1089–1117
Pesaran MH, Shin Y, Smith RJ (2001) Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships. J Appl Economet 16(3):289–326
Pesaran MH, Ullah A, Yamagata T (2008) A bias-adjusted LM test of error cross-section independence. Economet J 11(1):105–127
Sahu AK, Mahalik MK, Patel G, Pal S (2023) The role of environmental degradation in macroeconomic instability: panel evidence from emerging economies. Environ Sci Pollut Res 30(37):86879–86891
Sarkodie SA, Strezov V (2019) Effect of foreign direct investments, economic development and energy consumption on greenhouse gas emissions in developing countries. Sci Total Environ 646:862–871
Sarkodie SA, Strezov V, Weldekidan H, Asamoah EF, Owusu PA, Doyi INY (2019) Environmental sustainability assessment using dynamic autoregressive-distributed lag simulations—nexus between greenhouse gas emissions, biomass energy, food and economic growth. Sci Total Environ 668:318–332
Shahbaz M, Nasir MA, Roubaud D (2018) Environmental degradation in France: the effects of FDI, financial development, and energy innovations. Energy Economics 74:843–857
Shan S, Genç SY, Kamran HW, Dinca G (2021) Role of green technology innovation and renewable energy in carbon neutrality: a sustainable investigation from Turkey. J Environ Manage 294:113004
Sharif A, Mishra S, Sinha A, Jiao Z, Shahbaz M, Afshan S (2020) The renewable energy consumption-environmental degradation nexus in Top-10 polluted countries: fresh insights from quantile-on-quantile regression approach. Renew Energy 150:670–690
Shittu W, Adedoyin FF, Shah MI, Musibau HO (2021) An investigation of the nexus between natural resources, environmental performance, energy security and environmental degradation: evidence from Asia. Resour Policy 73:102227
Shobande OA, Ogbeifun L (2023) Pooling cross-sectional and time series data for estimating causality between technological innovation, affluence and carbon dynamics: a comparative evidence from developed and developing countries. Technol Forecast Soc Chang 187:122192
Sun X, Xiao S, Ren X, Xu B (2023) Time-varying impact of information and communication technology on carbon emissions. Energy Econ 118:106492
Ulucak R, Bilgili F (2018) A reinvestigation of EKC model by ecological footprint measurement for high, middle and low-income countries. J Clean Prod 188:144–157
Umar M, Safi A (2023) Do green finance and innovation matter for environmental protection? A case of OECD economies. Energy Econ 119:106560
Villanthenkodath MA, Pal S (2024) Environmental degradation in geopolitical risk and uncertainty contexts for India: a comparison of ecological footprint, CO2 emissions, and load capacity factor. Energ Clim Change 5:100122
Walter I, Ugelow JL (1979) Environmental policies in developing countries. Ambio 102–109
Wang Y, Villanthenkodath MA, Haseeb M (2023) The dynamic link between eco-innovation and ecological footprint in India: does the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) hold? Manag Environ Quality: an Intl J 34(5):1225–1247
WDI (2024) World Development Indicator. The World Bank, Washington DC, USA https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/EG.FEC.RNEW.ZS.
Wei G, Bi M, Liu X, Zhang Z, He BJ (2023) Investigating the impact of multi-dimensional urbanization and FDI on carbon emissions in the belt and road initiative region: Direct and spillover effects. J Clean Prod 384:135608
Wen J, Mughal N, Zhao J, Shabbir MS, Niedbała G, Jain V, Anwar A (2021) Does globalization matter for environmental degradation? Nexus among energy consumption, economic growth, and carbon dioxide emission. Energy Policy 153:112230
Westerlund J (2008) Panel cointegration tests of the Fisher effect. J Appl Econ 23(2):193–233 (Direct and spillover effects. Journal of Cleaner Production, 384, 135608)
Yilanci V, Pata UK (2020) Investigating the EKC hypothesis for China: the role of economic complexity on ecological footprint. Environ Sci Pollut Res 27(26):32683–32694
Zarsky L (1999) Havens, halos and spaghetti: untangling the evidence about foreign direct investment and the environment. Foreign Direct Invest Environ 13(8):47–74
Zhang C, Zhou X (2016) Does foreign direct investment lead to lower CO2 emissions? Evidence from a regional analysis in China. Renew Sustain Energy Rev 58:943–951
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Contributions
All authors contributed to the study conception and design. Material preparation, data collection, and analysis were performed by Shreya Pal. Literature review is done by Anjan Kumar Sahu. Theoretical analysis and the first draft of the manuscript were written by Gupteswar Patel, and all authors commented on previous versions of the manuscript. All authors read and approved the final manuscript.
Corresponding author
Ethics declarations
Ethics approval
Not applicable.
Consent to participate
Not applicable.
Consent for publication
Not applicable.
Competing interests
The authors declare no competing interests.
Additional information
Responsible Editor: Ilhan Ozturk
Publisher's Note
Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.
Rights and permissions
Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law.
About this article
Cite this article
Patel, G., Pal, S. & Sahu, A.K. Does energy transition reduce carbon inequality? A global analysis. Environ Sci Pollut Res 31, 34689–34708 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-024-33542-0
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-024-33542-0