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Optimization of land use planning under multi-objective demand—the case of Changchun City, China

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Abstract

Modeling and scenario analysis are the core elements of land use change research, and in the face of the increasingly serious ecological and environmental problems in urbanization, it is important to carry out land use simulation studies under different protection constraints for scientific planning and policy formulation. Taking Changchun City, the capital of Jilin Province, a pilot national eco-province, as an example, a CLUE-S model with coupled landscape ecological security patterns was constructed to predict and simulate the land use structure and layout under multi-objective optimization scenarios in the planning target year (2030), and the results were analyzed based on landscape index evaluation. The study found the following: (i) the proportion of ecological land area under low, medium, and high security levels in the study area was 8.7%, 64.8%, and 26.5%, respectively; (ii) under the current development trend scenario, the trend of increasing fragmentation of cultivated land patches in Changchun in 2030 will remain unchanged, with construction land spreading along the periphery in a compact and continuous pattern, while ecological land will be seriously encroached upon; and (iii) in the 2030 multi-objective optimization scenario, land use patches of all types will begin to show a tendency to cluster, with less landscape fragmentation and more connectivity, while cultivated land and construction land will also begin to converge and do not deteriorate as a result of spatial conflicts over ecological land.

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Funding

This work was supported by the Ministry of Science and Technology, China (2018YFD1100103), the 111 project, China (B17024), the National Natural Science Foundation of China (71774085, 72174089).

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. College of Land Management, Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing, 210095, China

    Wenjun Wu, Minghao Ou & Jie Guo

  2. School of Life Sciences, Fudan University, Shanghai, 200438, China

    Xinyi Qiu

  3. Center of Urban-Coral Joint Development and Land Management Innovation, Nanjing, 210095, China

    Minghao Ou & Jie Guo

  4. State and Local Joint Engineering Research Center of Rural Land Resources Utilization and Consolidation, Nanjing, 210095, China

    Minghao Ou & Jie Guo

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All authors contributed to the study conception and design. Material preparation, data collection, and analysis were performed by Wenjun Wu and Xinyi Qiu. The inspiration and framework were provided by Minghao OU, who is the only corresponding author, and funding for the research was provided by Jie Guo. The first draft of the manuscript was written by Wenjun Wu, and all authors commented on previous versions of the manuscript. All authors read and approved the final manuscript.

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Correspondence to Minghao Ou.

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Wu, W., Qiu, X., Ou, M. et al. Optimization of land use planning under multi-objective demand—the case of Changchun City, China. Environ Sci Pollut Res 31, 9512–9534 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-023-31763-3

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