Skip to main content

Advertisement

Log in

Does energy conversion contribute to economic development in emerging and growth leading economies (EAGLE’s): evidence from panel ARDL approach

  • Research Article
  • Published:
Environmental Science and Pollution Research Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

Energy is an essential indication of productivity, usage, and nation-building in the development context. However, energy diversity that emphasizes renewables is still vital for economic development in emerging nations. This study examines the impact of renewable energy on economic development in emerging and growth-leading economies (EAGLE’s) from 1980 to 2019. The econometric procedure used in this study is pooled mean group regression/Panel ARDL approach. The study’s results support the growth-conservation theory and demonstrate that wealth creation is not dependent entirely on fossil fuels and that other energy sources may also be used. There is a positive association between renewable energy production and consumption and economic development in EAGLE countries. For the overall sample selected, the association between the long run and short is positive and significant, whereas individual analysis for each country provided mixed results. In the short run, the association between renewable energy consumption and economic development for Bangladesh, India, Indonesia, Mexico, and Philippines is negative. While in production, most countries showed positive and significant results except Brazil, Indonesia, Mexico, and Russia. The result of this study will help policy makers from the selected countries towards the use of renewable energy production and consumption, its importance and contribution to the economic development of these countries. However, some countries showed a negative relationship particularly Russian economy is rich in natural resources (oil, natural gas). While the remaining countries that showed negative relationship have number of problems associated with renewable energy consumption and production. This study refers the attention of policy makers from developing countries to consider the potential impact of renewable energy for the economic development. Energy transition can also contribute to the environmental protection and the reduction of greenhouse gases.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

Data availability

The data used in this study are publically available on the World Bank data bank and for energy-related is available on “Energy Information Administration.”

Abbreviations

GDP:

Gross domestic product

NRE:

Non-renewable energy

RE:

Renewable energy

EAGLE’s:

Emerging and growth leading economies

ARDL:

Autoregressive distributed lag

References

  • Acemoglu D, Restrepo P (2020) Robots and jobs: evidence from US labor markets. J Polit Econ 128(6):2188–2244

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Afonso TL, Marques AC, Fuinhas JA (2017) Strategies to make renewable energy sources compatible with economic growth. Energ Strat Rev 18:121–126

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Al-Mulali U, Fereidouni HG, Lee JY (2014) Electricity consumption from renewable and non-renewable sources and economic growth: evidence from Latin American countries. Renew Sustain Energy Rev 30:290–298

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Al-Mulali U, Fereidouni HG, Lee JY, Sab CNBC (2013) Examining the bi-directional long run relationship between renewable energy consumption and GDP growth. Renew Sustain Energy Rev 22:209–222

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ali HS, Law SH, Zannah TI (2016) Dynamic impact of urbanization, economic growth, energy consumption, and trade openness on CO 2 emissions in Nigeria. Environ Sci Pollut Res 23:12435–12443

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Alper A, Oguz O (2016) The role of renewable energy consumption in economic growth: evidence from asymmetric causality. Renew Sustain Energy Rev 60:953–959

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Apergis N, Payne JE (2009) Energy consumption and economic growth in Central America: evidence from a panel cointegration and error correction model. Energy Economics 31(2):211–216

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Apergis N, Payne JE (2010) Renewable energy consumption and economic growth: evidence from a panel of OECD countries. Energy Policy 38(1):656–660

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Apergis N, Payne JE (2011) On the causal dynamics between renewable and non-renewable energy consumption and economic growth in developed and developing countries. Energy Systems 2(3):299–312

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Apergis N, Payne JE (2012) Renewable and non-renewable energy consumption-growth nexus: evidence from a panel error correction model. Energy Economics 34(3):733–738

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Awodumi OB, Adewuyi AO (2020) The role of non-renewable energy consumption in economic growth and carbon emission: evidence from oil producing economies in Africa. Energ Strat Rev 27:100434

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ayres RU (2001) The minimum complexity of endogenous growth models: the role of physical resource flows. Energy 26(9):817–838

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Baltagi BH, Hashem Pesaran M (2007) Heterogeneity and cross section dependence in panel data models: theory and applications introduction (Vol. 22, pp. 229–232): Wiley Online Library

  • Bashir MF (2022) Discovering the evolution of pollution haven hypothesis: a literature review and future research agenda. Environ Sci Pollut Res 29(32):48210–48232. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-022-20782-1

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bashir MF, Ma B, Bashir MA, Shahzad L (2021) Scientific data-driven evaluation of academic publications on environmental Kuznets curve. Environ Sci Pollut Res 28:16982–16999

  • Bashir MA, Dengfeng Z, Bashir MF, Rahim S, Xi Z (2022a) Exploring the role of economic and institutional indicators for carbon and GHG emissions: policy-based analysis for OECD countries. Environ Sci Pollut Reshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-022-24332-7

  • Bashir MF, Benjiang M, Hussain HI, Shahbaz M, Koca K, Shahzadi I (2022b) Evaluating environmental commitments to COP21 and the role of economic complexity, renewable energy, financial development, urbanization, and energy innovation: empirical evidence from the RCEP countries. Renewable Energy 184:541–550

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bashir MF, Sadiq M, Talbi B, Shahzad L, Adnan Bashir M (2022c) An outlook on the development of renewable energy, policy measures to reshape the current energy mix, and how to achieve sustainable economic growth in the post COVID-19 era. Environ Sci Pollut Res 29(29):43636–43647. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-022-20010-w

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bashir MF, Ma B, Bashir MA, Radulescu M, Shahzad U (2022d) Investigating the role of environmental taxes and regulations for renewable energy consumption: evidence from developed economies. Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja 35(1):1262–1284

  • Bashir MF, Pan Y, Shahbaz M, Ghosh S (2023) How energy transition and environmental innovation ensure environmental sustainability? Contextual evidence from Top-10 manufacturing countries. Renewable Energy

  • Bhattacharya M, Paramati SR, Ozturk I, Bhattacharya S (2016) The effect of renewable energy consumption on economic growth: evidence from top 38 countries. Appl Energy 162:733–741

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bilgili F, Ozturk I (2015) Biomass energy and economic growth nexus in G7 countries: evidence from dynamic panel data. Renew Sustain Energy Rev 49:132–138

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Breitung J, Pesaran MH (2008) Unit roots and cointegration in panels The econometrics of panel data (pp. 279–322): Springer

  • Breusch TS, Pagan AR (1980) The Lagrange multiplier test and its applications to model specification in econometrics. Rev Econ Stud 47(1):239–253

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Chen J, Su F, Jain V, Salman A, Tabash MI, Haddad AM, ... Shabbir MS (2022) Does renewable energy matter to achieve sustainable development goals? The impact of renewable energy strategies on sustainable economic growth. Front Energy Res, 10, 829252

  • Destek MA, Aslan A (2017) Renewable and non-renewable energy consumption and economic growth in emerging economies: evidence from bootstrap panel causality. Renewable Energy 111:757–763

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dogan E (2016) Analyzing the linkage between renewable and non-renewable energy consumption and economic growth by considering structural break in time-series data. Renewable Energy 99:1126–1136

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Edenhofer O, Pichs-Madruga R, Sokona Y, Seyboth K, Matschoss P, Kadner S, ... Schlömer S (2011) IPCC special report on renewable energy sources and climate change mitigation. Prepared By Working Group III of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK

  • Fang Y (2011) Economic welfare impacts from renewable energy consumption: the China experience. Renew Sustain Energy Rev 15(9):5120–5128

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hsiao C & Pesaran MH (2004) Random coefficient panel data models. Available at SSRN 572783

  • Huang B-N, Hwang MJ, Yang CW (2008) Causal relationship between energy consumption and GDP growth revisited: a dynamic panel data approach. Ecol Econ 67(1):41–54

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Inglesi-Lotz R (2016) The impact of renewable energy consumption to economic growth: a panel data application. Energy Economics 53:58–63

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ito K (2017) CO2 emissions, renewable and non-renewable energy consumption, and economic growth: evidence from panel data for developing countries. Intl Econ 151:1–6

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Jakovac P (2018) Causality between energy consumption and economic growth: literature review. Paper presented at the Proceedings of the 5th International Conference on Education and Social Sciences, Istanbul

  • Kahia M, Aïssa MSB, Lanouar C (2017) Renewable and non-renewable energy use-economic growth nexus: the case of MENA Net Oil Importing Countries. Renew Sustain Energy Rev 71:127–140

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kharlamova G, Nate S, Chernyak O (2016) Renewable energy and security for Ukraine: challenge or smart way? J Intl Stud, 9(1)

  • Koçak E, Şarkgüneşi A (2017) The renewable energy and economic growth nexus in Black Sea and Balkan countries. Energy Policy 100:51–57

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kraft J, Kraft A (1978) On the relationship between energy and GNP. J Energy Dev, 401–403

  • Li R, Wang Q, Liu Y, Jiang R (2021) Per-capita carbon emissions in 147 countries: the effect of economic, energy, social, and trade structural changes. Sustain Prod Consump 27:1149–1164

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lu W-C (2017) Renewable energy, carbon emissions, and economic growth in 24 Asian countries: evidence from panel cointegration analysis. Environ Sci Pollut Res 24(33):26006–26015

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Lütkepohl H (1982) Non-causality due to omitted variables. J Econometr 19(2–3):367–378

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Maji IK (2015) Does clean energy contribute to economic growth? Evidence from Nigeria. Energy Rep 1:145–150

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Menegaki AN (2011) Growth and renewable energy in Europe: a random effect model with evidence for neutrality hypothesis. Energy Economics 33(2):257–263

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ntanos S, Kyriakopoulos G, Chalikias M, Arabatzis G, Skordoulis M (2018) Public perceptions and willingness to pay for renewable energy: a case study from Greece. Sustainability 10(3):687

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ocal O, Aslan A (2013) Renewable energy consumption–economic growth nexus in Turkey. Renew Sustain Energy Rev 28:494–499

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • OECD (2018) Putting faces to the jobs at risk of automation: OECD Publishing Paris.

  • Omri A, Mabrouk NB, Sassi-Tmar A (2015) Modeling the causal linkages between nuclear energy, renewable energy and economic growth in developed and developing countries. Renew Sustain Energy Rev 42:1012–1022

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Owusu PA, Asumadu-Sarkodie S (2016) A review of renewable energy sources, sustainability issues and climate change mitigation. Cogent Engineering 3(1):1167990

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ozcan B, Ozturk I (2019) Renewable energy consumption-economic growth nexus in emerging countries: a bootstrap panel causality test. Renew Sustain Energy Rev 104:30–37

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ozturk I, Acaravci A (2011) Electricity consumption and real GDP causality nexus: evidence from ARDL bounds testing approach for 11 MENA countries. Appl Energy 88(8):2885–2892

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ozturk I, Bilgili F (2015) Economic growth and biomass consumption nexus: dynamic panel analysis for Sub-Sahara African countries. Appl Energy 137:110–116

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Pao H-T, Li Y-Y, Fu H-C (2014) Clean energy, non-clean energy, and economic growth in the MIST countries. Energy Policy 67:932–942

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Razmi SF, Bajgiran BR, Behname M, Salari TE, Razmi SMJ (2020) The relationship of renewable energy consumption to stock market development and economic growth in Iran. Renewable Energy 145:2019–2024

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Rodríguez-Monroy C, Mármol-Acitores G, Nilsson-Cifuentes G (2018) Electricity generation in Chile using non-conventional renewable energy sources–A focus on biomass. Renew Sustain Energy Rev 81:937–945

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Salim RA, Hassan K, Shafiei S (2014) Renewable and non-renewable energy consumption and economic activities: further evidence from OECD countries. Energy Economics 44:350–360

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Shahbaz M, Bashir MF, Bashir MA, Shahzad L (2021) A bibliometric analysis and systematic literature review of tourism-environmental degradation nexus. Environ Sci Pollut Res 28(41):58241–58257. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-021-14798-2

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Shakouri B, Khoshnevis Yazdi S (2017) Causality between renewable energy, energy consumption, and economic growth. Energy Sources Part B 12(9):838–845

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Singh N, Nyuur R, Richmond B (2019) Renewable energy development as a driver of economic growth: evidence from multivariate panel data analysis. Sustainability 11(8):2418

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Vaona A (2012) Granger non-causality tests between (non) renewable energy consumption and output in Italy since 1861: the (ir) relevance of structural breaks. Energy Policy 45:226–236

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Venkatraja B (2020) Does renewable energy affect economic growth? Evidence from panel data estimation of BRIC countries. Int J Sust Dev World 27(2):107–113

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Waheed R, Sarwar S, Wei C (2019) The survey of economic growth, energy consumption and carbon emission. Energy Rep 5:1103–1115

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wang Q, Wang X, Li R (2022) Does urbanization redefine the environmental Kuznets curve? An empirical analysis of 134 Countries. Sustain Cities Soc 76:103382

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wang Q, Zhang F, Li R (2023) Revisiting the environmental kuznets curve hypothesis in 208 counties: the roles of trade openness, human capital, renewable energy and natural resource rent. Environ Res 216:114637

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Yilanci V, Haouas I, Ozgur O, Sarkodie SA (2021) Energy diversification and economic development in emergent countries: evidence from Fourier function-driven bootstrap panel causality test. Front Energy Res 9:632712

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Yildirim E (2014) Energy use, CO2 emission and foreign direct investment: is there any inconsistence between causal relations? Front Energy 8(3):269–278

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Yildirim E, Saraç Ş, Aslan A (2012) Energy consumption and economic growth in the USA: evidence from renewable energy. Renew Sustain Energy Rev 16(9):6770–6774

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zafar MW, Shahbaz M, Hou F, Sinha A (2018) ¬¬¬¬¬¬ From nonrenewable to renewable energy and its impact on economic growth: silver line of research & development expenditures in APEC countries

  • Zeb R, Salar L, Awan U, Zaman K, Shahbaz M (2014) Causal links between renewable energy, environmental degradation and economic growth in selected SAARC countries: progress towards green economy. Renewable Energy 71:123–132

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Contributions

The following statements should be used “conceptualization, Salman Ali Shah; methodology, Salman Ali Shah. Shuaib Ali; software, Wang Tianqi; validation, He Chengying, Wang Tianqi and Salman Ali Shah; formal analysis, Salman Ali Shah; investigation, Shuaib Ali; resources, He Chengying; data curation, Salman Ali Shah and Shuaib Ali; writing original draft preparation, Salman Ali Shah; writing, review and editing, Salman Ali Shah Shuaib Ali and Wang Tianqi; visualization, He Chengying and Wang Tianqi; supervision, He Chengying; project administration, He Chengying; funding acquisition. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Chengying He.

Ethics declarations

Ethics approval

Not applicable. This manuscript does not involve researching humans or animals.

Consent to participate

All of the authors consented to participate in the drafting of this manuscript.

Consent for publication

All of the authors consented to publish this manuscript.

Competing interests

The authors declare no competing interests.

Additional information

Responsible Editor: Ilhan Ozturk

Publisher's note

Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

Rights and permissions

Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law.

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Shah, S.A., Ali, S., Wang, T. et al. Does energy conversion contribute to economic development in emerging and growth leading economies (EAGLE’s): evidence from panel ARDL approach. Environ Sci Pollut Res 30, 64472–64485 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-023-26875-9

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-023-26875-9

Keywords

Navigation