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Primary energy consumption structure and the influencing factors in China: an income decomposition and post-economic crisis era perspective

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Abstract

China’s coal-based energy structure makes its carbon peak and neutrality goals very challenging. As a result, optimizing the energy structure has become an important means, and researching its influencing factors and trends has become the foundation and prerequisite for policy formulation related to energy structure optimization. Especially after the severe economic crisis, the economic structure has undergone profound changes, and the impact of related factors on the energy structure has also changed. This study adopts regression methods considering heteroskedasticity and cross-section correlation to study the panel data of 30 provinces in China and obtains the changes in the relationship between fossil and non-fossil fuel consumption in different regions and their influencing factors after two global financial crises. Research results show that China’s energy consumption tends to decouple from GDP. Income structure changes, especially trade changes, are important factors in influencing energy consumption and energy structure. The deviation between energy resource distribution and consumption distribution tends to increase. Regional heteroskedasticity is evident in the impact of urbanization development models, energy prices, and efficiency.

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Data availability

The datasets are available from the corresponding author on reasonable request.

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Funding

This work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant numbers 72173046, 72174113, and 71603086).

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All authors contributed to the study’s conception and design. Jianghua Liu and Ting Wang are mainly responsible for material preparation, data collection, and analysis. The first draft of the manuscript was written by Jianghua Liu and mainly revised by Yongqiang Xu, and all authors commented on previous versions of the manuscript. All authors read and approved the final manuscript.

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Correspondence to Jianghua Liu.

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Wang, T., Liu, J. & Xu, Y. Primary energy consumption structure and the influencing factors in China: an income decomposition and post-economic crisis era perspective. Environ Sci Pollut Res 29, 77908–77926 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-022-21202-0

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