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Impact of industrial agglomeration on environmental pollution from perspective of foreign direct investment—a panel threshold analysis for Chinese provinces

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Abstract

In the course of China’s rapid economic development, the coexistence of industrial development and dominant industrial agglomeration (AGG), along with growing environmental problems, has attracted widespread attention from scholars. Although the linear relationship between the two has been analyzed in depth in the research literature, a concomitant phenomenon, i.e., the gradual expansion in the scale of foreign direct investment (FDI), has been overlooked. By employing threshold panel regression model, this paper attempts to construct a theoretical model with embedded AGG and FDI, and incorporates other factors affecting environmental pollution (POL). For examining the mechanism of AGG on POL, we proposed a testable theoretical hypothesis, and conducted an empirical study by combining panel data of POL and AGG at the provincial level in China. The measurement index of a control variable was changed to check the robustness of our results, and the coefficient sign of each explanatory variable was not changed, confirming the robustness of main results. Overall, AGG improves regional POL, but the impact of FDI is stage-specific and roughly there are three stages. Specifically, the positive effect of AGG on POL is strong when FDI is at a low level. When the level of FDI crosses the first threshold and continues to rise, the positive effect of AGG on POL reaches its strongest; until the second threshold is crossed, the positive effect of AGG starts diminishing slowly. Concluding this, for promoting economic development and environmental protection in the region in parallel, government and enterprises should prioritize the increment in FDI, with an equalization of levels of AGG and FDI, in order to enhance the improvement effect of AGG on POL.

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Data Availability

The datasets are available on reasonable request.

Abbreviations

AGG:

industrial agglomeration

AHP:

analytic hierarchy process

CBES:

China Bureau of Environmental Statistics

CIES:

China Industrial Economic Statistics Yearbook

FDI:

foreign direct investment

FE:

fixed effects model

GDP:

gross domestic product

GMM:

generalized moment estimation

LQ:

location entropy

POL:

environmental pollution

REG:

environmental regulation level

SEM:

structural equation modeling

STR:

industrial structure

TEC:

technological level

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Funding

This work is supported by funding from the National Natural Science Foundation of China, under Grant Nos. 71663014, 72041028 and 71963012.

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Contributions

This collaboration work was carried out by all the authors. LS proposed the original idea and wrote the original draft. DH performed all empirical analysis and modelling. DH and LS prepared the figures. DH and WJ wrote some parts of the manuscript. LS and RS supervised and reviewed the manuscript. All authors read and approved the final submitted version of the manuscript.

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Rabia Shahid.

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Competing interests

The authors declare no competing interests.

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Responsible Editor: Ilhan Ozturk

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Shijie, L., Hou, D., Jin, W. et al. Impact of industrial agglomeration on environmental pollution from perspective of foreign direct investment—a panel threshold analysis for Chinese provinces. Environ Sci Pollut Res 28, 58592–58605 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-021-14823-4

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-021-14823-4

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