Abstract
In this study, we address a major problem in the measurement of firm performance and the regulation of natural monopolies, namely the intertemporal character of long-term investment decisions. Specifically, we focus on the impact of adjustment costs of investments on estimates of firms’ technical and cost inefficiency. We make use of a nonparametric dynamic data envelopment analysis to investigate the dynamic inefficiency of electricity distribution and transmission companies in the US during the years 2004–2011. These results are compared to their static counterparts. Our empirical findings reveal that ignoring long-term investments and their corresponding adjustment costs significantly distorts both firm-specific and industrial inefficiency estimates and may thus create misleading incentives for the regulated firms to cut investments.
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Notes
See, for example, Joskow (2008) for a review on incentive-based regulation in electricity networks.
CEPA et al. (2010) estimate the economic lifetime of capital assets in the electricity transmission and distribution industry to vary between 10 and 140 years. The weighted average is calculated to be around 50 years for electricity transmission and around 70 years for electricity distribution. In contrast, a typical regulatory period within incentive-based regulation schemes comprises three to 8 years (EYGM Limited 2013).
In regulatory practice, quality enhancing and capacity expanding investments are usually excluded from the pure benchmarking exercise and considered separately, e.g. via an additional quality and/or expansion factor in the price- or revenue-cap formula (see Eq. 1).
Obtaining reliable estimates for shadow values of quasi-fixed factors is methodologically challenging. This is because each shadow value represents a scarcity indicator for the respective quasi-fixed factor and thus depends on the initial capital stock vector, output quantities and input prices. This endogeneity calls for a simultaneous determination of optimal firm-specific input quantities and firm-specific shadow values of quasi-fixed factors (Oude Lansink and Silva 2013). However, a simultaneous determination translates into a nonlinear problem with severe numerical difficulties. For this reason, we use an alternative sequential approach to determine the shadow value of the quasi-fixed factor within our empirical application (see Sect. 6).
For a detailed discussion on the duality between the dynamic directional distance function and the current value of the optimal value function of the intertemporal cost minimization problem, see Oude Lansink and Silva (2013).
The index is calculated from the average annual pay data obtained from the Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages, which is published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics: http://www.bls.gov/cew/cewind.htm#year=2010&qtr=1&own=5&ind=10&size=0.
Obtained from the Bureau of Labor Statistics: http://data.bls.gov/timeseries/PCU221122221122.
Obtained from the Bureau of Labor Statistics: http://www.bls.gov/cpi/data.htm.
A detailed description of the parametric approximation of the firm-specific shadow values of capital is provided in the Appendix.
For a limited number of observations, we find dynamic cost inefficiency values greater than one. This is the case when actual and optimal investments show a huge difference. Considering these observations as extreme cases, we denote them as outliers and do not include them in our further analysis.
Since we use only one variable input measured in monetary terms (OPEX) in our empirical application, the obtained results on the static technical inefficiency can also be interpreted as a static cost inefficiency measure, that is, inefficiency due to over-usage in cost.
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Acknowledgments
The authors would like to thank Christian Growitsch, Felix Höffler, Alfons Oude Lansink and Spiro Stefanou for helpful comments and suggestions as well as Julia Bellenbaum for excellent research assistance.
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Appendices
Appendix 1: Parametric approximation of firm-specific shadow values of capital
The dynamic cost function in a quadratic functional form is given by
where the subscripts i and t denote the firm and year, respectively; W represents long-run costs; QE is the flow of electricity; QC is the number of customers; K is the capital stock; t is a time trend; and c and w are the price of capital and the price of the variable input, respectively.
Representing the dynamic cost function by \(g(\cdot )\), we estimate the parameters of Eq. 12 by solving the following minimization problem:
The problem minimizes the sum of squared residuals of the quadratic dynamic cost function subject to a set of inequality constraints that impose monotonicity required by economic theory. The shadow value of capital is then approximated by the first derivative of the cost function with respect to the capital stock:
Appendix 2
See Table 4.
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Nick, S., Wetzel, H. The hidden cost of investment: the impact of adjustment costs on firm performance measurement and regulation. J Regul Econ 49, 33–55 (2016). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11149-015-9285-z
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11149-015-9285-z
Keywords
- Dynamic inefficiency
- Dynamic directional distance function
- Dynamic data envelopment analysis
- Electricity transmission and distribution