Abstract
Simon (Biometrika 52:425–440, 1955) demonstrated that distributional principles are not necessarily field-specific. Several investigations across various disciplines have referred to similar types of power-law distributions, which inherently incline towards the concentration of the outcome variable. These patterns are often attributed to the so-called “success-breeds-success” (SBS) principle. The first aim of this paper is to decipher the fundamentals of this principle across various disciplines. The second aim is to create a supra-disciplinary model that is able to serve as a default analytical tool for the modelling of SBS dynamics within competitive stochastic systems, for the purpose of which we position homogeneous agents with self-preserving behaviour in competition for scarce resources. It is given that: (1) Agents are not auto-reproductive; hence the self-preservation stimulus forces them to appropriate resources; (2) appropriable resources exist in limited quantities at a given time and in a given space, and agents must compete for these scarce resources; (3) agents implicitly pursue their competitiveness in order to appropriate enough resources for their lifelong reproduction; and (4) the more resources the agent has in the present, the higher the probability of his appropriation in the future. Assuming these conditions, we ran a simulation of 25 million mutual interactions based on the binary dyadic tree for two-agent competition. Despite the perfectly competitive market conditions, the results revealed diverging accumulation trajectories. In contrast to mainstream economic models, the paper provides new perspectives on competition and suggests, in particular, that the distributional dynamics of competitive markets comprise the inequality-driving force in market economies.
Similar content being viewed by others
Data availability
The data that support the findings of this study are available upon request in Zenodo at https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.3755745
References
Aghion, P., Howitt, P.W.: A model of growth through creative destruction. Econometrica 60(2), 323–351 (1992)
Allison, P.D., Long, J.S., Krauze, T.K.: Cumulative advantage and inequality in science. Am. Sociol. Rev. 47(5), 615–625 (1982)
Anazawa, M.: Inequality in resource allocation and population dynamics models. R. Soc. Open Sci. 6(7), 182178 (2019)
Arthur, B.W.: Increasing Returns and Path Dependence in the Economy. University of Michigan Press, Michigan (1994)
Bask, M., Bask, M.: Cumulative (dis)advantage and the matthew effect in life-course analysis. PLoS ONE 10(11), 1–14 (2015)
Beverton, R.J.H., Holt, S.J.: On the Dynamics of Exploited Fish Populations. Fisheries Investigations Series II, vol. 19. Springer, London (1957)
Blank, R.M., Dabady, M., Citro, C.F.: Measuring Racial Discrimination. The National Academies Press, Washington (2004)
Boghosian, B.M.: Kinetics of Wealth and the Pareto Law. Phys. Rev. E 89(4), 042804–042825 (2014a)
Boghosian, B.M.: Fokker-planck description of wealth dynamics and the origin of Pareto’s Law. J. Modern Phys. C 25, 1441008–1441015 (2014b)
Boghosian, B.M.: The Inescapable casino. Sci. Am. 321(5), 70–77 (2019)
Boghosian, B.M., Johnson, M., Marcq, J.A.: An H theorem for Boltzmann’s equation for the yard-sale model of asset exchange (The gini coefficient as an H-functional). J. Stat. Phys. 161(6), 1339–1350 (2015)
Chen, Y.S.: Analysis of Lotka’s law: the Simon-Yule approach. Inf. Process. Manag. 25, 527–544 (1989)
Cole, S.: Professional standing and the reception of scientific discoveries. Am. J. Sociol. 76(2), 286–306 (1970)
Cole, J.R., Cole, S.: Social Stratification in Science. The University of Chicago Press, Chicago (1973)
Dannefer, D.: Cumulative advantage/disadvantage and the life course: Cross-fertilizing age and social science theory. J. Gerontol. Ser. B 58(6), S327–S337 (2003)
De Solla Price, D.: A general theory of bibliometric and other cumulative advantage processes. J. Am. Soc. Inf. Sci. 27(5), 292–306 (1976)
Di Prete, T., Eirich, G.M.: Cumulative advantage as a mechanism for inequality: a review of theoretical and empirical developments. Ann. Rev. Sociol. 32, 271–297 (2006)
Dyson, M.L., Henzi, P.S., Halliday, T.R., Barrett, L.: Success breeds success in mating male reed frogs (Hyperolius marmoratus). Proc. R. Soc. B – Biol. Sci. 265(1404), 1417–1421 (1998)
Eeckhout, J.: Gibrat’s law for (All) cities. Am. Econ. Rev. 94(5), 1429–1451 (2004)
Egghe, L., Rousseau, R.: Generalized success-breeds-success principle leading to time-dependent informetric distributions. J. Am. Soc. Inf. Sci. 46(6), 426–445 (1995)
Egghe, L., Rousseau, R.: Stochastic processes determined by a general success-breeds-success principle. Math. Comput. Model. 23(4), 93–104 (1996)
Flaig, G., Stadler, M.: Success breeds success. The dynamics of the innovation process. Empir. Econ. 19(1), 55–68 (1994)
Frank, R.H., Cook, P.J.: The Winner Take All Society: How More and More Americans Compete for Ever Fewer and Bigger Prizes, Encouraging Economic Waste, Income Inequality, and an Impoverished Cultural Life. Free Press, New York (1995)
Gabaix, X., Lasry, J.-M., Lions, P.-L., Moll, B.: The dynamics of inequality. Econometrica 84(6), 2071–2111 (2016)
Geroski, P.A.: Markets for technology: knowledge, innovation and appropriability. In: Stoneman, P. (ed.) Handbook of the economics of innovation and technological change, pp. 90–131. Blackwell Publishers, Oxford (1995)
Gibrat, R.: Les inégalités économiques. Librairie du Recueil Sirey, Paris (1931)
Glazer, A.: The advantages of being first. Am. Econ. Rev. 75(3), 473–480 (1985)
Gould, R.V.: The origins of status hierarchies: A formal theory and empirical test. Am. J. Sociol. 107(5), 1143–1178 (2002)
Hassel, M.P.: Density-dependence in single-species populations. J. Anim. Ecol. 44, 283–295 (1975)
Huber, J.C.: Cumulative advantage and success-breeds-success: The value of time pattern analysis. J. Am. Soc. Inf. Sci. 49(5), 471–476 (1998)
Ijiri, Y., Simon, H.A.: Skew Distributions and the Sizes of Business Finns. North-Holland, Amsterdam (1977)
Iso-Ahola, S.E., Dotson, C.O.: Psychological momentum: Why success breeds success. Rev. Gen. Psychol. 18, 19–33 (2014)
Jiang, B., Sun, L., Figueiredo, D.R., Ribeiro, B., Towsley, D.: On the duration and intensity of cumulative advantage competitions. J. Stat. Mech. Theory Exp. 11, P11022 (2015)
Kalecki, M.: On the gibrat distribution. Econometrica 13(2), 161–170 (1945)
Kerin, R.A., Varadarajan, P.R., Peterson, R.A.: First-mover advantage: a synthesis, conceptual framework, and research propositions. J. Mark. 56(4), 33–52 (1992)
Kohring, G.A.: Ising models of social impact: the role of cumulative advantage. J. Phys. I 6, 301–308 (1996)
Maialeh, R.: Persisting inequality: a case of probabilistic drive towards divergence. Acta Oeconomica 67(2), 215–234 (2017)
Maialeh, R.: Dynamic Models and Inequality: The Role of the Market Mechanism in Economic Distribution. Springer, Cham (2020)
Mayer, K.U., Maas, I., Wagner, M.: Socioeconomic conditions and social inequalities in old age. In: Baltes, P.B., Mayer, K.U. (eds.) The Berlin Aging Study: Aging from 70 to 100, pp. 227–255. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge (1999)
Merton, R.K.: The Matthew effect in science. In: Storer, N. (ed.) The Sociology of Science, pp. 439–459. The University of Chicago Press, Chicago (1973a)
Merton, R.K.: The normative structure of science. In: Storer, N. (ed.) The Sociology of Science, pp. 267–278. The University of Chicago Press, Chicago (1973b)
Merton, R.K.: The Matthew effect II: Cumulative advantage and the symbolism of intellectual property. Isis 79(4), 606–623 (1988)
Nicholson, A.J.: An outline of the dynamics of animal populations. Aust. J. Zool. 2(1), 9–65 (1954)
O’Rand, A.: Cumulative advantage theory in life course research. Annu. Rev. Gerontol. Geriatr. 22, 14–30 (2002)
Park, T.: Beetles, competition, and populations. Science 138(3548), 1369–1375 (1962)
Pierson, P.: Increasing returns, path dependence, and the study of politics. Am. Political Sci. Rev. 94(2), 251–267 (2000)
Piketty, T., Saez, E., Zucman, G.: Distributional national accounts: methods and estimates for the United States. Q. J. Econ. 133(2), 553–609 (2018)
Pluchino, A., Biondo, A.E., Rapisarda, A.: Talent versus luck: the role of randomness in success and failure. Adv. Complex Syst. 21(03N04), 1–31 (2018)
Ricker, W.E.: Stock and recruitment. J. Fish. Res. Board Can. 11(5), 559–623 (1954)
Ross, C.E., Wu, C.L.: Education, age, and the cumulative advantage in health. J. Health Soc. Behav. 37, 104–120 (1996)
Simon, H.A.: On a class of skew distribution functions. Biometrika 52, 425–440 (1955)
Sutton, J.: Gibrat’s legacy. J. Econ. Lit. 35(1), 40–59 (1997)
Thewissen, S., Nolan, B., Roser, M.: Incomes across the distribution. https://ourworldindata.org/incomes-across-the-distribution (2019). Accessed 24 Dec 2019
van de Rijt, A., Kang, S.M., Patil, A.: Field experiments of success-breeds-success dynamics. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. 111(19), 6934–6939 (2014)
Wilson, E.O.: Sociobiology: The New Synthesis. Harvard University Press, Cambridge (1975)
Yule, G.U.: The Statistical Study of Literary Vocabulary. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge (1944)
Yule, G.U.: A mathematical theory of evolution, based on the conclusions of Dr. J. C. Willis. F.R.S. Phil. Trans. B 213, 21 (1924)
Zuckerman, H.: Scientific Elite: Nobel Laureates in the United States. Free Press, New York (1977)
Zuckerman, H.: Accumulation of advantage and disadvantage: The theory and its intellectual biography. In: Mongardini, C., Tabboni, S. (eds.) Robert K. Merton and Contemporary Sociology, pp. 139–162. Transaction Publishers, New York (1988)
Acknowledgements
I would like to extend my special thanks to the participants of the International Atlantic Economic Society Conference which was held in October 2022 in Washington D.C. I also wish to thank Umut Ünal, Robert Jahoda, Jiri Vyhlidal and others from RILSA for their insightful comments. Finally, I am deeply obliged to the two anonymous reviewers of the study for their time and effort when reviewing the manuscript. I sincerely appreciate their valuable comments and suggestions, which helped me to improve the quality and clarity of the manuscript.
Funding
This study was partly supported by the Ministry of Labour and Social Affairs of the Czech Republic (IP70203).
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Ethics declarations
Conflict of interest
The author is the managing director of an independent public research institution (the Research Institute for Labour and Social Affairs—RILSA) and has no relevant financial or non-financial interests to disclose.
Additional information
Publisher's Note
Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.
Rights and permissions
Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law.
About this article
Cite this article
Maialeh, R. Success-breeds-success distributional dynamics in stochastic competitive systems. Qual Quant 58, 1901–1916 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11135-023-01721-9
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11135-023-01721-9