Skip to main content
Log in

Development dynamics: Pre and Post Brexit analysis of United Kingdom

  • Published:
Quality & Quantity Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

The main prospective of this research is to analysis the industrial development (IDV) nexus for a sample of Pre Brexit Polling and After Brexit Polling in the economy of United Kingdom. The prevalence of structural, political and institutional instabilities in the region under study makes it important to study from a policy perspective. The specific objective of the current study is to check the nature of relationship between capital account openness, trade openness, equity openness and IDV for Pre Brexit Polling and After Brexit Polling in United Kingdom. The current study utilized time series data set for Pre-Brexit analysis data from May 1, 2014 to June 23, 2016 and Post-Brexit analysis data from June 24, 2016 to May 1, 2018. Initially multiple regression methods was applied and in next step VAR, Impulse response function and Variance decomposition has been applied for describing shocks, quantifying shocks and explaining intra and inter dependencies respectively. Results showed that Financial openness policies and macroeconomic policies should be totally reformulated and redesigned as the previously followed policies does not contributed in IDV in Pre Brexit Polling and Post Brexit Polling in United Kingdom.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Ang, J.B., McKibbin, W.J.: Financial liberalization, financial sector development and growth: evidence from Malaysia. J. Dev. Econ. 84(1), 215–233 (2007)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Atiq, Z.: Essays on Financial Liberalisation, Financial Crises and Economic Growth. Thesis for Doctor of Philosophy in the Faculty of Humanities, University of Manchester, UK (2014)

  • Babatunde, M.A.: Can trade liberalization stimulate export performance in Sub-Saharan Africa? J. Int. Glob. Econ. Stud. 2(1), 68–92 (2009)

    Google Scholar 

  • Beck, T., Demirgüç-Kunt, A., Levine, R.: Law and finance: why does legal origin matter? J. Comp. Econ. 31(4), 653–675 (2003)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bhagwati, J.: In Defense of Globalization. Oxford University Press, Oxford (2004)

    Google Scholar 

  • Cornwall, J.: Diffusion, convergence and Kaldor’s laws. Econ. J. 86(342), 307–314 (1976)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Cornwall, J.: Modern capitalism: its growth and transformation. Martin Robertson, London (1977)

    Google Scholar 

  • Dickey, D.A., Fuller, W.A.: Likelihood ratio statistics for autoregressive time series with a unit root. Econom. J. Econom. Soc. 49, 1057–1072 (1981)

    Google Scholar 

  • Edwards, S.: Openness, productivity and growth: what do we really know? J. Dev. Econ. 98, 383–398 (1998)

    Google Scholar 

  • Fagerberg, J.: Technology and international differences in growth rates. J. Econ. Lit. 32(3), 1147–1175 (1994)

    Google Scholar 

  • Fagerberg, J., Verspagen, B.: Technology-gaps, innovation-diffusion and transformation: an evolutionary interpretation. Res. Policy 31(8), 1291–1304 (2002)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Guadagno, F.: The determinanths of industrialisation in developing countries, 1960–2005 (No. 031). United Nations University-Maastricht Economic and Social Research Institute on Innovation and Technology (MERIT) (2016)

  • Heeks, R.: India’s Software Industry: State Policy, Liberalisation and Industrial Development. Sage Publications Inc., Thousand Oaks (1996)

    Google Scholar 

  • Jawad, M., Naz, M.: Pre and Post effect of Brexit polling on United Kingdom economy: an econometrics analysis of transactional change. Qual. Quant. (2018). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11135-018-0746-1

    Google Scholar 

  • Jones, D.R., Schonlau, M., Welch, W.J.: Efficient global optimization of expensive black-box functions. J. Glob. Optim. 13(4), 455–492 (1998)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kaldor, N.: The case for regional policies. Scott. J. Polit. Econ. 17(3), 337–348 (1970)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kabango, G.P., Paloni, A.: Financial liberalisation and industrial development in Malawi. Reserve Bank of Malawi and University of Glasgow, Lilongwe (2010). http://www.gla.ac.uk/media/media_145952_en.pdf

  • Kniivilä, M.: Industrial development and economic growth: Implications for poverty reduction and income inequality. Industrial development for the 21st century: Sustainable development Perspectives. United Nations publication, Sales No. 07.II.A.1 (2007)

  • Kouassi, R.N.G.: Les chemins du développement de l’Afrique. Book Editions L'Harmattan (2008)

  • Lee, B.D.: Politics of Industrialization: The Textile Industry in South Korea and the Philippines. Northwestern University, Evanston (1992)

    Google Scholar 

  • Lucas, R.E.: On the mechanics of economic development. Econom. Soc. Monogr. 29, 61–70 (1998)

    Google Scholar 

  • McKinnon, R.I.: Money and Capital in Economic Development. Brookings Institution Press, Washington (1973)

    Google Scholar 

  • Ng, F., Yeats, A.J.: Good governance and trade policy: are they the keys to Africa’s global integration and growth? World bank Policy research working paper (1998). https://doi.org/10.1596/1813-9450-2038

  • Prasad, E., Rogoff, K., Wei, S.J., Kose, M.A.: Effects of financial globalization on developing countries: some empirical evidence. In: India’s and China’s Recent Experience with Reform and Growth, pp. 201–228. Palgrave Macmillan UK (2005)

  • Prebisch, R.: The economic development of Latin America and its principal problems. Econ. Bull. Latin Am. E/CN.12/89/Rev.l, 1–59 (1962)

  • Rajan, R.G., Zingales, L.: Financial Dependence and Growth (No. w5758). National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge (1996)

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Rajan, R.G., Zingales, L.: Financial dependence and growth. Am. Econ. Rev. 88, 559–586 (1998)

    Google Scholar 

  • Rodriguez, F., Rodrik, D.: Trade policy and economic growth: a skeptical guide to cross-national evidence. NBER Working Paper Series, Working Paper 7081, Cambridge, MA: NBER (2001)

  • Romer, P.M.: Increasing returns and long-run growth. J. Polit. Econ. 94(5), 1002–1037 (1986)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Romer, P.: Are nonconvexities Important for Understanding Growth? (No. w3271). National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge (1990)

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Shafaeddin, M.S.: Trade liberalization and economic reform in developing countries. IMFWorld Bank Policy Reform 155, 2–20 (2005)

    Google Scholar 

  • Shaw, E.: Financial Deepening in Economic Growth, vol. 19(73.21), pp. 1–278. Oxford University Press, New York (1973)

    Google Scholar 

  • Shin, W.Z.: Knowledge diffusion, economic growth, and industrialization: a study of the Korean Industrialization process. Unpublished Doctoral Dissertation, University of Utah (2003)

  • Singh, A.: Financial liberalisation, stockmarkets and economic development. Econ. J. 107(442), 771–782 (1997)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Solow, R.M.: A contribution to the theory of economic growth. Q. J. Econ. 70(1), 65–94 (1956)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Stiglitz, J.: Development policies in a world of globalization. Paper presented in New International Trends for Economic Development, BNDES, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil (2002)

  • Walton, J.: Theory and research on industrialization. Ann. Rev. Sociol. 13(1), 89–108 (1987)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zelleke, G., Sraiheen, A., Gupta, K.: Human Capital, Productivity and Economic Growth in 31 Sub-Saharan African Countries for the Period 1975–2008. Int. J. Econ. Finance 5(10), 1 (2013)

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Funding

Funding was provided by Schlumberger Foundation.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Muhammad Jawad.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Jawad, M., Maroof, Z. & Naz, M. Development dynamics: Pre and Post Brexit analysis of United Kingdom. Qual Quant 53, 791–811 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11135-018-0789-3

Download citation

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11135-018-0789-3

Keywords

Navigation