Abstract
We apply the environmental equivalence property of Poisson games (Myerson, In Int J Game Theory 27:375–392, 1998b) to show that, in contests in which the number of contestants is a Poisson random variable with at least two expected contestants and a non-increasing return to effort, ex-ante aggregate effort is less than in a corresponding contest wherein the number of participants is equal to the expected number of contestants under uncertainty. Uncertainty about the number of participants in a rent-seeking contest seems natural. With rent-seeking contests attracting socially wasteful investments of effort or scarce resources, uncertainty generates a social benefit.
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Notes
Münster (2006) also assumed a Binomial distribution of contestants to obtain results regarding contests with an uncertain number of contestants. Notice that a Poisson distribution is the limiting case of a Binominal distribution.
Higgins et al. (1985) find perfect dissipation ex-ante when the number of contestants is determined endogenously.
A detailed computation of \(\tilde{\pi }(n)\) has been carried out in Myerson and Wärneryd (2006).
Szidarovszky and Okuguchi (Szidarovszky & Okuguchi 1997) have showed that monotonicity and concavity of f are sufficient conditions for the existence of a unique symmetric pure interior Nash equilibrium.
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We thank Monika Köppl-Turyna, Heinrich Ursprung, three anonymous referees and the editor of this journal for helpful comments.
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Kahana, N., Klunover, D. A note on Poisson contests. Public Choice 165, 97–102 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11127-015-0295-2
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11127-015-0295-2