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Educational Attainment and Timing to First Union Across Three Generations of Mexican Women

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Abstract

We use data from Wave 3 of the Mexican Family Life Survey (N = 7,276) and discrete-time regression analyses to evaluate changes in the association between educational attainment and timing to first union across three generations of women in Mexico, including a mature cohort (born between 1930 and 1949), a middle cohort (born between 1950 and 1969), and a young cohort (born between 1970 and 1979). Mirroring prior research, we find a curvilinear pattern between educational attainment and timing to first union for women born between 1930 and 1969, such that once we account for the delaying effect of school enrollment, those with the lowest (0–5 years) and highest levels of education (13+ years) are characterized by the earliest transition to a first union. For women born between 1970 and 1979, however, we find that the relationship between educational attainment and timing to first union has changed. In contrast to their peers born in earlier cohorts, highly educated women in Mexico are now postponing first union formation relative to the least educated. We draw on competing theories of educational attainment and timing to first union to help clarify these patterns in the context of Mexico.

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Notes

  1. In our review of the literature, we refer broadly to the institution of marriage. In practice, we operationalize marriage as including both legal marriages and consensual unions. We use the term “first union” to describe our dependent variable.

  2. 125 women were interviewed after 2009 and were born 1980 or later. We placed these women in with the 1970–1979 cohorts because although they were born after 1979, there were too few to label the cohort as representative of women through 1982.

  3. We also calculated the AIC (Akaike's information criterion) for both models and Model B had a smaller value than Model A (40700 vs. 40727), indicating better model fit.

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Acknowledgments

Rhiannon A. Kroeger acknowledges support by an F32 NICHD Ruth L. Kirschstein National Research Service Award (F32 HD072616), as well as an NICHD center grant to the Population Research Center at The University of Texas at Austin (R24 HD042849). Rhiannon A. Kroeger, Reanne Frank, and Kammi K. Schmeer also acknowledge the support of the Institute for Population Research at The Ohio State University, supported by a grant from the Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute for Child Health and Development (R24 HD058484).

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Correspondence to Rhiannon A. Kroeger.

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Kroeger, R.A., Frank, R. & Schmeer, K.K. Educational Attainment and Timing to First Union Across Three Generations of Mexican Women. Popul Res Policy Rev 34, 417–435 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11113-014-9351-8

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