Abstract
The Bodrum/Kos earthquake that occurred around the island of Kos (Greece) on July 20, 2017, caused serious uneasiness for the people of the region. The earthquake, which occurred 10 km away from Bodrum (36.929° N-27.414° E) at 22:31 UT and at a depth of 7 km, was reported with Mw 6.6. This paper examines the ionospheric anomalies by the means of the total electron content (TEC) map of 61 days. This work utilizes the GNSS-based time-domain TEC map. The TEC (TECU) map is interpolated with Bodrum, Turkey, locations at 35.000° N-37.500° N and 25.000° E-30.000° E. This problem presents a frequency-domain TEC map by exhibiting its amplitudes with Fourier transformation spectral analysis. Earthquakes, solar activities, and geomagnetic storms that can potentially reason anomalies are studied in this essay. The F10.7 (sfu) governs the solar activity effect. OMNI web space weather condition tools direct geomagnetic storms discussion. Statistical approach determines the TEC map boundaries. The TEC map out of the boundaries is marked as an anomaly. The paper detects 11-day TEC map anomalies (7 of these days are before the earthquake). As any space weather condition effect could not be detected, the anomalies on June 22 and 23 and July 1, 2, and 4 possibly are the precursors of the Bodrum/Kos event. The anomalies on July 8 and 15 are probably associated with the earthquake and geomagnetic storms. The source of the anomaly on days July 21 and August 3, 5, and 20 may be the aftershocks of the earthquake and geomagnetic storms.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Aframovich EL, Astafyeva EI (2008) TEC anomalies—local TEC changes prior to earthquakes or TEC response to solar and geomagnetic activity changes? Earth Planets Space 60(9):961–966
Aframovich EL, Astafieva EI, Gokhberg MB, Lapshin VM, Permyakova VE, Steblov GM, Shalimov SL (2004) Variations of the total electron content in the ionosphere from GPS data recorded during the Hector Mine earthquake of October 16, 1999, California. Rus J Earth Sci 6(5):339–354. https://doi.org/10.2205/2004ES000155
Ansari K, Corumluoglu O, Panda SK (2017) Analysis of ionospheric TEC from GNSS observables over the Turkish region and predictability of IRI and SPIM models. Astrophys Space Sci 362:65. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10509-017-3043-x
Ansari K, Corumluoglu O, Verma P (2018) The triangulated affine transformation parameters and barycentric coordinates of turkish permanent GPS network. Surv Rev 50:362:412–415. https://doi.org/10.1080/00396265.2017.1297016
Bagiya MS, Joshi HP, Iyer KN, Aggarwal M, Ravindran S, Pathan BM (2009) TEC variations during low solar activity period (2005–2007) near the equatorial ionospheric anomaly crest region in India. Ann Geophys 27:1047–1057. https://doi.org/10.5194/angeo-27-1047-2009
Baker DN (1998) What is space weather? Adv Space Res 22(1):7–16. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0273-1177(97)01095-8
Baral R, Adhikari B, Calabia A, Shah M, Kumar RM, Silwal A, Bohara S, Manandhar R, Peral L, Frías MDR (2023) Spectral features of Forbush decreases during geomagnetic storms. J Atmos Solar Terr Phys 242:105981. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jastp.2022.105981
Basciftci F, Bulbul S (2022) Investigation of ionospheric TEC changes potentially related to Seferihisar-Izmir earthquake (30 October 2020, MW 6.6). Bull Geophys Oceanogr. https://doi.org/10.4430/bgo00394
Basu S, Basu Su, Rich FJ, Groves KM, MacKenzie E, Coker C, Sahai Y, Fagundes PR, Becker-Guedes F (2007) Response of the equatorial ionosphere at dusk to penetration electric fields during intense magnetic storms. J Geophys Res 112:A08308. https://doi.org/10.1029/2006JA012192
Biswas S, Chowdhury S, Sasmal S, Politis DZ, Potirakis SM, Hayakawa M (2022) Numerical modelling of sub-ionospheric very low frequency radio signal anomalies during the Samos (Greece) earthquake (M = 6.9) on October 30, 2020. Adv Space Res 70(5):1453–1471. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asr.2022.06.016
Bulbul S, Basciftci F (2021) TEC anomalies observed before and after Sivrice-Elaziğ earthquake (24 January 2020, Mw: 6.8). Arab J Geosci 14:1077. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12517-021-07426-3
Dach R, Lutz S, Walser P, Fridez P (2015) : Bernese GNSS software version 5.2, Switzerland, Astronomical Institute, University of Bern
Dautermann T, Calais E, Lognonné P, Mattioli GS (2009) Lithosphere-atmosphere-ionosphere coupling after the 2003 explosive eruption of the Soufriere Hills Volcano, Montserrat. Geophys J Int 179:1537–1546
Davies K, Baker DM (1965) Ionospheric effects observed around time of alaskan earthquake of March 28 1964. J Phys Res 70:2251–2253
Debnath L, Bahatta D (2007) Integral transforms and their applications. second ed., Taylor and Francis LLC
Eroglu E (2018) Mathematical modeling of the moderate storm on 28 February 2008. New Astron 60:33–41. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.newast.2017.10.002
Eroglu E (2022a) Ionospheric anomalies related to the Mw 6.5 Samar, Philippines earthquake. Acta Geophys 71(2):601–611. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11600-022-00980-8
Eroglu E (2022b) Ionospheric anomalies probably related to the Mw 7.1 northern Mid-Atlantic Ridge earthquake. Adv Space Res. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asr.2022.12.010
Freund FT (2011) Pre-earthquake signals: underlying physical processes. J Asian Earth Sci 41:383–400
Freund FT, Takeuchi A, Lau BW (2006) Electric currents streaming out of stressed Igneous rocks–a step towards understanding pre-earthquake low frequency EM emissions. Phys Chem Earth 31:389–396
Freund FT, Kulahci IG, Cyr G, Ling J, Winnick M, Tregloan-Reed J, Freund MM (2009) Air ionization at rock surfaces and pre-earthquake signals. J Atmos Sol Terr Phy 71:1824–1834
Fu HS, Khotyaintsev YV, Vaivads A, Retinò A, André M (2013) Energetic electron acceleration by unsteady magnetic reconnection. Nat Phys 9:426–430. https://doi.org/10.1038/nphys2664
Fu HS, Vaivads A, Khotyaintsev YV, André M, Cao JB, Olshevsky VJ, Eastwood P, Retinò A (2017) Intermittent energy dissipation by turbulent reconnection. Geophys Res Lett 44(1):37–43. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016GL071787
Ghosh S, Sasmal S, Naja M, Potirakis S, Hayakawa M (2022) Study of aerosol anomaly associated with large earthquakes (M > 6). Adv Space Res 71(1):129–143. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asr.2022.08.051
Hobara Y, Watanabe M, Miyajima R, Kikuchi H, Tsuda T, Hayakawa M (2022) On the spatio-temporal dependence of anomalies in the atmospheric electric field just around the time of earthquakes. Atmosphere 13(10):1619. https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos13101619
Inyurt S (2019) İyonosferik tec dalgalanmalarının (manyetik fırtına, solar aktivite ve deprem kaynaklı) uydu bazlı konumlama sistemleriyle araştırılması, PhD. Dissertation, Zonguldak Bülent Ecevit University (in Turkish)
Inyurt S (2020) Modeling and comparison of two geomagnetic storms. Adv Space Res 65(3):966–977. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asr.2019.11.001
Ke F, Wang J, Tu M, Wang X, Wang X, Zhao X, Deng J (2018) Enhancing reliability of seismo-ionospheric anomaly detection with the linear correlation between total electron content and the solar activity index F10.7: Nepal earthquake 2015. J Geodyn 121:88–95
Klotz S, Johnson NL (1983) Encyclopedia of statistical sciences. Wiley
Koklu K (2020) Mathematical analysis of the 09 March 2012 intense storm. Adv Space Res 66(4):932–941. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asr.2020.04.053
Koklu K (2022) Using artificial neural networks for comparison of the 09 March 2012 intense and 08 May 2014 weak storms. Adv Space Res 70:2929–2940. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asr.2022.07.067.10
Leonard RS, Barnes RA (1965) Observation of ionospheric disturbances following Alaska earthquake. J Phys Res 70:1250–1253
Lin CC, Shen MH, Chou MY, Chen CH, Yue J, Chen PC, Matsumura M (2017) Concentric traveling ionospheric disturbances triggered by the launch of a SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket. Geophys Res Lett 44:7578–7586
Liu JY, Chuo YJ, Shan SJ, Tsaı YB, Chen YI, Pulınets SA, Yu SB (2004) Pre-earthquake ionospheric anomalies registered by continuous GPS TEC measurements. Ann Geophys 22(5):1585–1593. https://doi.org/10.5194/angeo-22-1585-2004
Liu JY, Chen YI, Chen CH, Hattori K (2010) Temporal and spatial precursors in the ionospheric global positioning system (GPS) total electron content observed before the 26 December 2004 M9.3 Sumatra–Andaman earthquake. J Geophys Res 115:A09312. https://doi.org/10.1029/2010JA015313
Lu G, Goncharenko L, Nicolls MJ, Maute A, Coster A, Paxton LJ (2012) Ionospheric and thermospheric variations associated with prompt penetration electric fields. J Geophys Res 117:A08312. https://doi.org/10.1029/2012JA017769
Mannucci AJ, Tsurutani BT, Kelley MC, Iijima BA, Komjathy A (2009) Local time dependence of the prompt ionospheric response for the 7, 9, and 10 November 2004 superstorms. J Geophys Res 114:A10308. https://doi.org/10.1029/2009JA014043
Manoj C, Maus S (2012) A real-time forecast service for the ionospheric equatorial zonal electric field. Space Weather 10:1–9
Manoj C, Maus S, Lühr H, Alken P (2008) Penetration characteristics of the interplanetary electric field to the daytime equatorial ionosphere. J Geophys Res 113:A12310. https://doi.org/10.1029/2008JA013381
Namgaladze AA, Zolotov OV, Karpov MI, Romanovskaya YV (2012) Manifestations of the earthquake preparations in the ionosphere total electron content variations. Nat Sci 4(11):848–855
Paul B, Gordiyenko G, Galav P (2020) Study of the low and mid-latitude ionospheric response to the geomagnetic storm of 20th December 2015. Astrophys Space Sci 365:174. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10509-020-03884-5
Politis DZ, Potirakis SM, Kundu S, Chowdhury S, Sasmal S, Hayakawa M (2022) Critical dynamics in stratospheric potential energy variations prior to significant (M > 6.7) earthquakes. Symmetry 14(9):1939. https://doi.org/10.3390/sym14091939
Pulinets S, Boyarchuk K (2004) Ionospheric precursors of earthquakes. Springer, Berlin. https://doi.org/10.1007/b137616
Pulinets SA, Ouzounov D, Karelin AV, Boyarchuk KA, Pokhmelnykh LA (2006) The physical nature of thermal anomalies observed before strong earthquakes. Phys Chem Earth 31:43–153
Satti MS, Ehsan M, Abbas A, Shah M, Junior JFO, Naqvi NA (2022) Atmospheric and ionospheric precursors associated with Mw ≥ 6.5 earthquakes from multiple satellites. J Atmos Solar Terr Phys 227:105802. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jastp.2021.105802
Schaer S (1999) Mapping and predicting the earth’s ionosphere using the global positioning system, Ph.D Thesis, Universitat Bern, Switzerland
Schaer S, Gurtner W, Feltens J (1998) IONEX: The ionosphere map exchange format version 1, In: roceedings of the 1998 IGS analysis centers workshop, ESOC, Darmstadt, Germany, 9–11 February 1998, 233–247
Senturk E, Livaoglu H, Cepni MS (2019) A Comprehensive analysis of ionospheric anomalies before the Mw 7.1 Van earthquake on 23 October 2011. J Navig 72:702–720
Senturk E, Inyurt S, Sertcelik I (2020) Ionospheric anomalies associated with the mw 7.3 Iran–Iraq border earthquake and a moderate magnetic storm. Ann Geophys 38:1031–1043. https://doi.org/10.5194/angeo-38-1031-2020
Tariq MA, Shah M, Hernández-Pajares M, Iqbal T (2019) Pre-earthquake ionospheric anomalies before three major earthquakes by GPS-TEC and GIM-TEC data during 2015–2017. Adv Space Res 63(7):2088–2099. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asr.2018.12.028
Tsurutani BT, Gonzalez WD, Gonzalez ALC, Guarnieri FL, Gopalswamy N, Grande M, Kamide Y, Kasahara Y, Lu G, Mann I, McPherron R, Soraas F, Vasyliunas V (2006) Corotating solar wind streams and recurrent geomagnetic activity: a review. J Geophys Res Space Phys 111:A7. https://doi.org/10.1029/2005JA011273
Tsurutani BT, Verkhoglyadova OP, Mannucci AJ, Saito A, Araki T, Yumoto K, Tsuda T, Abdu MA, Sobral JHA, Gonzalez WD, McCreadie H, Lakhina GS, Vasyliūnas VM (2008) Prompt penetration electric fields (PPEFs) and their ionospheric effects during the great magnetic storm of 30–31 October 2003. J Geophys Res 113:A05311. https://doi.org/10.1029/2007JA012879
Ulukavak M, Yalcinkaya M (2017) Precursor analysis of ionospheric GPS-TEC variations before the 2010 M7.2 Baja California earthquake. Geomat Nat Haz Risk 8(2):295–308. https://doi.org/10.1080/19475705.2016.1208684
Usoskin IG (2017) A history of solar activity over millennia. Living Rev Sol Phys 14:3. https://doi.org/10.1007/s41116-017-0006-9
Yildirim O, Inyurt S, Mekik C (2016) Review of variations in Mw < 7 earthquake motions on position and TEC (Mw = 6.5 Aegean Sea earthquake sample). Nat Hazards Earth Syst Sci 16:543–557. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-16-543-2016
Acknowledgements
The authors thank The National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) and Kyoto University. The authors also want to thank the Center for Orbit Determination in Europe (CODE). Research of E. Nane is partially funded by the Simons Foundation Collaboration Grants for Mathematicians. This paper is dedicated to the eyewitnesses of the 6 February earthquake that occurred on the Turkey-Syria border and devastated the people of the settlement.
Funding
The authors have not disclosed any funding. This work is partially funded by the Simons Foundation Collaboration Grants for Mathematicians.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Ethics declarations
Conflict of interest
The authors have no conflict of interest to declare that are relevant to the content of this article.
Additional information
Publisher’s Note
Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.
Rights and permissions
Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law.
About this article
Cite this article
Eroglu, E., Nane, E. & Göker, Ü.D. Seismo-ionospheric anomalies related to the Mw 6.6, July 20, 2017, earthquake in Bodrum, Turkey. Nat Hazards 117, 1521–1539 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-023-05914-1
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-023-05914-1