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An assessment of subduction zone-generated tsunami hazards in New Zealand Ports

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Abstract

For the role they play in domestic and international shipping and inter-island transport, ports are a critical part of New Zealand’s infrastructure network. With ports located along coastlines having similar exposure to tsunami hazards, multiple facilities could experience structural damage and operational disruption during a single event. In this study, we evaluated tsunami effects in terms of water levels and current speeds at 13 ports as caused by both local and distant source subduction zone earthquakes over a range of source moment magnitude scenarios. The results suggest that while the tsunami hazard varies between ports, it is generally highest along the eastern coastline due to its exposure to tsunami generated along the Southern Kermadec, Hikurangi and South American Subduction Zones. While a Hikurangi earthquake has the potential to generate the most devastating impacts at individual ports, an earthquake off the Peruvian coastline has the potential to impact operations and infrastructure at the largest number of ports. Such an event could affect international trade capacity, regional recovery and domestic inter-island transport. Due to the potential for damage and disruption at multiple ports in a single event, this study highlights the importance of a broader national and international transport system perspective to inform potential resilience investments.

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source model. Results are presented as a stacked bar plot with each tier indicating the cumulative increase in water level and current speed. Note that different vertical scales are used for each source

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source model. Results are presented as a stacked bar plot with each tier indicating the cumulative increase in water level and current speed. Note that different vertical scales are used for each source

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Acknowledgements

We acknowledge the funding from the University of Auckland and the Resilience to Nature’s Challenges National Science Challenge.

Funding

Funding for this research was received from the University of Auckland and the Resilience to Nature’s Challenges National Science Challenge.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research Ltd., 301 Evans Bay Parade, Greta Point, Wellington, 6021, New Zealand

    Benjamin Popovich

  2. Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand

    Benjamin Popovich & Liam Wotherspoon

  3. eCoast Marine Consulting and Research https://www.ecoast.co.nz/

    Jose Borrero

  4. Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA

    Jose Borrero

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  1. Benjamin Popovich
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Popovich, B., Wotherspoon, L. & Borrero, J. An assessment of subduction zone-generated tsunami hazards in New Zealand Ports. Nat Hazards 107, 171–193 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-021-04578-z

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