Skip to main content

Advertisement

Log in

Extreme rainfall and vulnerability assessment: case study of Uttarakhand rivers

  • Original Paper
  • Published:
Natural Hazards Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

The torrential rains in June 2013 combined with melting of snow caused voluminous floods in the rivers of Uttarakhand and subsequently triggered widespread mud, landslides and debris deposition. The event caused instability of the channel by shifting the banks. Erosion rendered many locations along the banks vulnerable to economic and human loss. The shifts in reaches are calculated by digitizing the bank line using satellite imageries of year 2005, 2010 and 2015. The extent and magnitude of risks have been assessed based on information of past events, rapid field assessments, current mitigation measures and interactions with the locals. The findings from these interactions, and secondary data based on geospatial analysis of bank line changes have been used in the identification of vulnerable reaches along the major rivers. Criteria to identify the vulnerable reaches are based on risk, exposure and hazards in that area. The magnitude of risks due to flood hazards on various exposures along the riverbank is calculated based on qualitatively derived scores. River basins focusing on rainfall, topography, drainage pattern, soil, landslide and exiting infrastructure in relation to vulnerability of the region using GIS data are discussed in details. A fuller understanding will enable decision makers towards more efficient resources management for prevention and protection of river banks due to flood events. In addition to this, an official online decision support system (www.urmis.dhi-india.com) with collaborating partners and organizations for relevant data, information and document has been created.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3
Fig. 4
Fig. 5
Fig. 6
Fig. 7
Fig. 8
Fig. 9
Fig. 10

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • AHEC/IITR Report (2011) Assessment of cumulative impact of hydropower project in Alaknanda and Bhagirathi Basin for MoEF, GOI, New Delhi

  • Ahmed B, Ilan Kelman (2018) Measuring community vulnerability to environmental hazards: a method for combining quantitative and qualitative data. Nat Hazards Rev 19(3):04018008. https://doi.org/10.1061/(asce)nh.1527-6996.0000290

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Allen SK, Rastner P, Arora M, Huggel C, Stoffel M (2016) Lake outburst and debris flow disaster at Kedarnath, June 2013: hydrometeorological triggering and topographic predisposition. Landslides 13(6):1479–1491

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Auden JB (1934) The geology of the Krol belt. Bee. Geol Surv India 67(4):357–454

    Google Scholar 

  • Bajracharya SR, Mool P (2009) Glaciers, glacial lakes and glacial lake outburst floods in the Mount Everest region, Nepal. Ann Glaciol 50(53):81–86

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bhambri R, Mehta M, Dobhal DP, Gupta AK, Pratap B, Kesarwani K, Verma A (2016) Devastation in the Kedarnath (Mandakini) Valley, Garhwal Himalaya, during 16–17 June 2013: a remote sensing and ground-based assessment. Nat Hazards 80(3):1801–1822. https://doi.org/10.1007/S11069-015-2033-y

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bharti V (2015) Investigation of extreme rainfall events over the Northwest Himalaya region using satellite data, Enschede, The Netherlands, Thesis pp 1–60

  • Bhatt GD, Sinha K, Deka PK, Kumar A (2014) Flood hazard and risk assessment in Chamoli District, Uttarakhand using satellite remote sensing and GIS techniques. Int J Innov Res Sci Eng Technol 3(8):15348–15356. https://doi.org/10.15680/ijirset.2014.0308039

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bollin C, Hidajat R (2006) Community-based disaster risk index: pilot implementation in Indonesia. In: Birkmann J (ed) Measuring vulnerability to natural hazards—towards disaster resilient societies. UNU-Press, Tokyo

    Google Scholar 

  • Celerier J, Harrison TM, Beyssac O, Herman F, Dunlap JW, Webb AA (2009) The Kumaun and Garwhal Lesser Himalaya, India: Part 2. Thermal and deformation histories. Geol Soc Am Bull 121(9-10):1281–1297 ISSN 0016-7606

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Cho C, Li R, Wang S-Y, Yoon JH, Gillies RR (2016) Anthropogenic footprint of climate change in the June 2013 Northern India flood. Clim Dyn 46(3):797–805. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2613-2

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Clague JJ, Evans SG (2000) A review of catastrophic drainage of moraine-dammed lakes in British Columbia. Quat Sci Rev 19:1763–1783

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Damodar P, Parineeta D (2013) Uttarakhand rainfall: since 1901 and in light of the 2013 disaster. SANDRP, Climate Change, Uttarakhand. September 25, 2013

  • Dhingra D, Chakrapani GJ (2004) Estimation of silicate weathering in Upper Ganga river in Himalayas, India. Himal Geol 25(2):139–144

    Google Scholar 

  • Dobhal DP, Mehta M, Srivastava D (2013a) Influence of debris cover on terminus retreat and mass changes of Chorabari Glacier, Garhwal region, central Himalaya, India. J Glaciol 59(217):961–971

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dobhal DP, Gupta AK, Mehta M, Khandelwal DD (2013b) Kedarnath disaster: facts and plausible causes. Curr Sci 105(2):171–174

    Google Scholar 

  • Dube A, Ashrit R, Ashish A, Sharma K, Iyengar GR, Rajagopal EN, Basu S (2013) Forecasting the heavy rainfall during Himalayan flooding—June 2013. Weather Clim Extremes. 4(2014):22–34. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2014.03.004

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Fujita K, Sakai A, Takenaka S, Nuimura T, Surazakov AB, Sawagaki T, Yamanokuchi T (2013) Potential flood volume of Himalayan glacial lakes. Nat Hazards Earth Syst Sci 13:1827–1839. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-13-1827-2013

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gansser A (1964) Geology of the himalayas. Wiley Inter-Science, New York, p 289

    Google Scholar 

  • Greiving S, Fleischhauer M, Lückenkötter J (2006) A methodology for an integrated risk assessment of spatially relevant hazards. J Environ Plann Manag 49(1):1–19

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Guha-Sapir D, Below R, Hoyois P (2014). EM-DAT: international disaster database. Université Catholique de Louvain, Brussels, Belgium. www.emdat.be. Accessed 06 June 2018

  • ICIMOD (2011) Glacial lakes and glacial lake outburst floods in Nepal. International Centre for Integrated Mountain Development (ICIMOD), Kathmandu

    Google Scholar 

  • Immerzeel WW, Beek LPH, Bierkens MFP (2010) Climate change will affect the Asian water towers. Science. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1183188

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Jain SK (2008) Impact of retreat of Gangotri glacier on the flow of Ganga River. Curr Sci 95(8):25

    Google Scholar 

  • Krishnaswamy VS, Shanker Ravi (1982) Scope of development, exploration and preliminary assessment of the geothermal resource potential of India. Rec Geol Surv India 111(2):17–40

    Google Scholar 

  • Martha TR, Roy P, Govindharaj KB, Kumar KV, Diwakar PG, Dadhwal VK (2014) Landslides triggered by the June 2013 extreme rainfall event in parts of Uttarakhand state, India. Landslides 12(1):135–146. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10346-014-0540-7

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Nadim F, Kjekstad O, Peduzzi P, Herold C, Jaedicke C (2006) Global landslide and avalanche hotspots. Landslides 3:159–173

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • O’Connor JE, Hardison JH, Costa JE (2001) Debris flows from failures of Neoglacial-age moraine dams in the Three Sisters and Mount Jefferson wilderness areas, Oregon. US Geological Survey Professional Paper 1606

  • Petley D (2012) Global patterns of loss of life from landslides. Geology 40(10):927–930. https://doi.org/10.1130/G33217.1

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Pranab KD (2013) The Himalayan Tsunami—Cloudburst, flash flood & death toll: a geographical postmortem. IOSR J Environ Sci Toxicol Food Technol 7(2):33-45. e-ISSN: 2319-2402, p- ISSN: 2319-2399

  • Rao Durga KHV, Rao Venkateshwar V, Dadhwal VK, Diwakar PG (2014) Kedarnath flash floods: a hydrological and hydraulic simulation study. Curr Sci 106(4):598–603

    Google Scholar 

  • Ravi S, Sorabh G, Swapneel K, Lalit K (2017) Geotechnical investigation across a failed hill slope in Uttarakhand—a case study. In: Indian geotechnical conference 2017 GeoNEst 14-16 December 2017, IIT Guwahati, India

  • Sati SP, Gahalaut VK (2013) The fury of the floods in the north-west Himalayan region: the Kedarnath tragedy. Geomat Nat Hazards Risk 4:193–201

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Thakkar H, Dandekar P (2013) Uttarakhand Deluge: How human actions and neglect converted a natural phenomenon into a massive disaster. Cumulative Impact Assessment · Ministry Of Environment And Forests. SANDRP Jun 21 2013

  • Thakkar H, Dandekar P, Damodar P, Parag JS, Ganesh G (2013) Dams, rivers and people; working for water resources development as if democracy, people and environment matter, 11(5–6), June–July 2013

  • Van Westen CJ Quan Luna B Vargas Franco RD (2010) Development of training materials on the use of geo-information for multi-hazard risk assessment in a mountainous environment. In: Malet J-P, Glade T, Casagli N (eds) Mountain risks: bringing science to society: proceedings of the mountain risks international conference, Firenze, Italy, 24–26 November 2010. Strasbourg: CERG, 2010. ISBN 2-95183317-1-5, pp 469–475

  • Verma RK, Hamza VM, Panda PK (1970) Further study of the correlation of heat flow with age of basement rocks. Tectonophysics 10:301

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Vilimek V, Emmer A, Huggel C, Schaub Y, Würmli S (2013) Database of glacial lake outburst floods (GLOFs) IPL project No. 179. Landslides 11:161–165. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10346-013-0448-7

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Vishwanath VH and Tomaszewski B (2018) Flood hazard, vulnerability and risk assessments for Uttarakhand State in India. In: Geospatial technologies and geographic information science for crisis management (GIS) proceedings of the 15th ISCRAM Conference—Rochester, NY, USA May 2018

  • Vohra YK, Olijnik H, Grosshans W, Holzapfel WB (1981) Structural phase transitions in yttrium under pressure. Phys Rev Lett 47(15):1065

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Worni R, Huggel C, Stoffel M (2013) Glacier lakes in the Indian Himalayas from an area-wide glacial lake inventory to on-site and modeling based risk assessment of critical glacial lakes. Sci Total Environ 468–469:s71–s84

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgement

This work has been carried out as preliminary part of the project funded by World Bank for “River Morphological Analysis and design for River Training and Bank Protection Works in Uttarakhand state for Project Implementation Unit TA and CBDRM”, Uttarakhand Disaster Recovery Project (URDP). With the grace and guidance of the spirit, we express gratitude to the Government of Uttarakhand, World Bank, UDRP, CWC, IMD and HEPs. We are deeply grateful various experts from IIRS Dehradun and IIT Roorkee for their insights during the project. Last but not least, our thanks go to WRD team members especially, Gorm Jeppesen (HoD,WRD), Lalit Monhan, Apuraban, Nilav and Amit (HoD, IT) for sharing their wisdom during the course of this work.

Funding

Funding was provided by DHI India.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Madhu Joshi.

Additional information

Publisher's Note

Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Ghosh, T.K., Jakobsen, F., Joshi, M. et al. Extreme rainfall and vulnerability assessment: case study of Uttarakhand rivers. Nat Hazards 99, 665–687 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-019-03765-3

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-019-03765-3

Keywords

Navigation