Abstract
Literature on the informative role of advertising indicates that advertising quantity can serve as an indicator of product quality. As product life cycles grow shorter, firms in many industries spend significant amounts on advertising during the prelaunch period to create large initial demand. Thus, the role of prelaunch advertising may differ from that of postlaunch advertising, and a proper understanding of these differences is important. This study provides an empirical investigation of whether advertising is a reliable indicator of quality before and after product launches, using the data from the movie industry. Analyses of 1078 movies released during 2003–2011 show that postlaunch advertising is a reliable quality indicator and increases revenues, whereas prelaunch advertising is not a reliable quality indicator, even if it leads to higher revenues.
Similar content being viewed by others
Notes
In the prelaunch advertising equation, we include competition and seasonality in the first week; the postlaunch advertising equation instead includes average competition and seasonality over the subsequent weeks.
Because we use the same sample for the different regression models, it is not possible to apply the typical equality test of two regression coefficients, which is based on independent samples. Instead, we check the significance of the difference between the two coefficients by comparing their confidence intervals. If two intervals overlap, there is no statistical difference between the two coefficients.
References
Ackerberg, D. (2001). Empirically distinguishing informative and prestige effects of advertising. RAND Journal of Economics, 32(2), 316–333.
Bagwell, K. (2007). The economic analysis of advertising. Handbook of Industrial Organization, 3, 1701–1844.
Basuroy, S., Desai, K. K., & Talukdar, D. (2006). An empirical investigation of signaling in the motion picture industry. Journal of Marketing Research, 43(2), 287–295.
Boulding, W., & Christen, M. (2003). Sustainable pioneering advantage? Profit implications of market entry order. Marketing Science, 22(3), 371–392.
Boulding, W., Lee, E., & Staelin, R. (1994). Marketing the mix: do advertising, promotions and sales force activities lead to differentiation? Journal of Marketing Research, 31, 159–172.
Chandy, R. K., Tellis, G. J., MacInnis, D. J., & Thaivanich, P. (2001). What to say when: advertising appeals in evolving markets. Journal of Marketing Research, 38(4), 399–414.
Chen, Y., Liu, Y., & Zhang, J. (2012). When do third-party product reviews affect firm value and what can firms do? The case of media critics and professional movie reviews. Journal of Marketing, 75, 116–134.
Chen, Y., & Xie, J. (2005). Third-party product review and firm marketing strategy. Marketing Science, 24(2), 218–240.
Desai, P. (2000). Multiple messages to retain retailers: signaling new product demand. Marketing Science, 19(4), 381–389.
Eckard, W. (1991). Competition and the cigarette TV advertising ban. Economic Inquiry, 29, 119–133.
Elberse, A., & Anand, B. (2007). The effectiveness of pre-release advertising for motion pictures: an empirical investigation using a simulated market. Information Economics and Policy, 19(2), 319–343.
Elberse, A., & Eliashberg, J. (2003). Demand and supply dynamics for sequentially released products in international markets: the case of motion pictures. Marketing Science, 22(3), 329–354.
Hausman, J. A., & Taylor, W. E. (1981). Panel data and unobservable individual effects. Econometrica, 49(6), 1377–1398.
Ho, J., Dhar, T., & Weinberg, C. (2009). Playoff payoff: super bowl advertising for movies. International Journal of Research in Marketing, 26, 168–179.
Jones, M., & Ritz, C. (1991). Incorporating distribution into new product diffusion models. International Journal of Research in Marketing, 8, 91–112.
Joshi, A., & Hanssens, D. (2009). Movie advertising and the stock market valuation of studios: a case of ‘great expectations’? Marketing Science, 28(2), 239–250.
Kennedy, P. (2008). A guide to econometrics. Hoboken: Wiley-Blackwell.
Kihlstrom, R., & Riordan, M. (1984). Advertising as a signal. Journal of Political Economy, 92(3), 427–450.
Kirmani, A. (1990). The effect of perceived advertising costs on brand perceptions. Journal of Consumer Research, 17(2), 160–171.
Kirmani, A., & Wright, P. (1989). Money talks: perceived advertising expense and expected product quality. Journal of Consumer Research, 16(3), 344–353.
Kopalle, P., & Lehmann, D. (1995). The effects of advertised and observed quality on expectations about new product quality? Journal of Marketing Research, 32(3), 8–24.
Kopalle, P., & Lehmann, D. (2006). Setting quality expectations when entering a market: what should the promise be? Marketing Science, 25(1), 8–24.
List, J. (2003). The does market experience eliminate market anomalies? Quarterly Journal of Economics, 118(1), 41–71.
Maheswaran, D. (1994). Country of origin as a stereotype: effects of consumer expertise and attribute strength on product evaluations. Journal of Consumer Research, 21(2), 354–365.
Milgrom, P., & Roberts, J. (1986). Price and advertising signals of product quality. Journal of Political Economy, 94(4), 796–821.
Narayanan, S., Manchanda, P., & Chintagunta, P. (2005). Temporal differences in the role of marketing communication for new product categories. Journal of Marketing Research, 42, 278–291.
Nelson, P. (1970). Information and customer behavior. Journal of Political Economy, 78, 311–329.
Nelson, P. (1974). Advertising as information. Journal of Political Economy, 82, 729–754.
Reddy, S., Swaminathan, V., & Motley, C. (1998). Exploring the determinants of broadway show success. Journal of Marketing Research, 35(August), 370–383.
Rennhoff, A., & Wilbur, K. (2011). The effectiveness of post-release movie advertising. International Journal of Advertising, 30(2), 305–328.
Sethuraman, R., Tellis, G. J., & Briesch, R. A. (2011). How well does advertising work? Generalizations from meta-analysis of brand advertising elasticities. Journal of Marketing Research, 48(3), 457–471.
Tellis, G. J., & Fornell, C. (1988). The relationship between advertising and product quality over the product life cycle: a contingency theory. Journal of Marketing Research, 25(1), 64–71.
Tellis, G., & Johnson, J. (2007). The value of quality. Marketing Science, 26(6), 758–773.
Vogel, H. (2007). Entertainment industry economics: a guide for financial analysis (7th ed.). Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Zhao, H. (2000). Raising awareness and signaling quality to uninformed consumers: a price-advertising model. Marketing Science, 19(4), 390–396.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Song, R., Jang, S. & Cai, G.(. Does advertising indicate product quality? Evidence from prelaunch and postlaunch advertising in the movie industry. Mark Lett 27, 791–804 (2016). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11002-015-9377-7
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11002-015-9377-7