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Empirical models for the prediction of ground motion duration for intraplate earthquakes

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Abstract

Many empirical relationships for the earthquake ground motion duration were developed for interplate region, whereas only a very limited number of empirical relationships exist for intraplate region. Also, the existing relationships were developed based mostly on the scaled recorded interplate earthquakes to represent intraplate earthquakes. To the author’s knowledge, none of the existing relationships for the intraplate regions were developed using only the data from intraplate regions. Therefore, an attempt is made in this study to develop empirical predictive relationships of earthquake ground motion duration (i.e., significant and bracketed) with earthquake magnitude, hypocentral distance, and site conditions (i.e., rock and soil sites) using the data compiled from intraplate regions of Canada, Australia, Peninsular India, and the central and southern parts of the USA. The compiled earthquake ground motion data consists of 600 records with moment magnitudes ranging from 3.0 to 6.5 and hypocentral distances ranging from 4 to 1000 km. The non-linear mixed-effect (NLMEs) and logistic regression techniques (to account for zero duration) were used to fit predictive models to the duration data. The bracketed duration was found to be decreased with an increase in the hypocentral distance and increased with an increase in the magnitude of the earthquake. The significant duration was found to be increased with the increase in the magnitude and hypocentral distance of the earthquake. Both significant and bracketed durations were predicted higher in rock sites than in soil sites. The predictive relationships developed herein are compared with the existing relationships for interplate and intraplate regions. The developed relationship for bracketed duration predicts lower durations for rock and soil sites. However, the developed relationship for a significant duration predicts lower durations up to a certain distance and thereafter predicts higher durations compared to the existing relationships.

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Acknowledgements

First author would like to thank “Board of Research in Nuclear Sciences (BRNS),” Department of Atomic Energy (DAE), Government of India, for funding the project titled “Seismic site classification for Indian shallow soil deposits” (Ref. No. Sanction No. 2012/36/33-BRNS-1656 dated October 10, 2012).

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Department of Civil Engineering, Indian Institute of Science, Bangalore, 560012, India

    P. Anbazhagan, Ketan Bajaj, P. J. Mariya Dayana & H. Madhura

  2. School of Civil, Mining and Environmental Engineering, University of Wollongong, Wollongong, NSW, 2500, Australia

    M. Neaz Sheikh

  3. Bhabha Atomic Research Centre, Trombay, Mumbai, 400085, India

    G. R. Reddy

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  1. P. Anbazhagan
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  2. M. Neaz Sheikh
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  3. Ketan Bajaj
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  4. P. J. Mariya Dayana
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  5. H. Madhura
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  6. G. R. Reddy
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Correspondence to P. Anbazhagan.

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Anbazhagan, P., Neaz Sheikh, M., Bajaj, K. et al. Empirical models for the prediction of ground motion duration for intraplate earthquakes. J Seismol 21, 1001–1021 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10950-017-9648-2

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