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Ineffective Pregnancy Prevention During Adolescence: Assisting Healthcare Providers in Portugal With Individualized Risk Assessment

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Abstract

In this study, we describe the relative contributions of and interactions between individual risk factors associated with ineffective pregnancy prevention among female adolescents in Portugal. Our sample consisted of 856 sexually experienced female adolescents (10–19 years) who did not intend to become pregnant. Of these, 379 were pregnant, and the residual (477) had never been pregnant. We used classification tree analysis to describe the interplay among a set of established sociodemographic, familial, reproductive, and relationship factors as predictors of ineffective pregnancy prevention. The tree model showed good predictive properties. Seven profiles predicted one-half to all the cases of ineffective pregnancy prevention. Ineffective pregnancy prevention was predicted by adolescents’ grade level and different combinations of variables, specifically female age, age at the time of first sexual intercourse, religious beliefs, place of residence, maternal pregnancy before age 20, household structure in childhood, and partner’s age difference. According to our findings, limiting assessments to the cumulative presence of risk factors may be insufficient to accurately identify adolescents at elevated risk of unwanted pregnancy, as the impact of any given risk factor may vary according to other factors. Our findings may contribute to the development of a risk assessment tool that may support healthcare providers’ efforts to provide individualized risk assessment for adolescent patients and, thus, to better support pregnancy prevention.

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All authors contributed significantly to the conception and design, acquisition of the data, or the analysis and interpretation of the data and to the drafting of the article or revising it critically for important intellectual content. All authors have agreed to the by-line order of authorship and to the submission of this version of the manuscript to this journal. We confirm that this work is original and has not been published elsewhere, nor is it currently under consideration for publication elsewhere.

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Correspondence to Raquel Pires.

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All procedures performed in this study involving human participants were in accordance with the ethical standards of the national research committees (Comissão Nacional de Proteção de Dados, Direção-Geral de Inovação e Desenvolvimento Curricular) and with the 1964 Helsinki Declaration and its later amendments or comparable ethical standards. The sample was collected among 48 public health services and 22 public schools after approval by their Ethics Committees and Direction Boards. Detailed information about the study’s aims and procedures was provided to all potential participants, and written informed consent was obtained from those who agreed to participate and parents/legal guardians of minors, as well written informed assent by underaged adolescents.

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This study was conducted within the Relationships, Development & Health research group of the R&D Unit Center for Research in Neuropsychology and Cognitive Behavioral Intervention. Raquel Pires, Joana Pereira, and Anabela Araújo-Pedrosa were supported by doctoral scholarships from the Portuguese Foundation for Science and Technology (FCT-SFRH/BD/63949/2009, SFRH/BD/89435/2012, and SFRH/BD/3168/2000, respectively). These doctoral scholarships were co-financed by the European Social Fund. The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.

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Pires, R., Pereira, J., Araújo-Pedrosa , A. et al. Ineffective Pregnancy Prevention During Adolescence: Assisting Healthcare Providers in Portugal With Individualized Risk Assessment. J Primary Prevent 42, 385–407 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10935-021-00637-0

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