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Incremental criterion validity of message perceptions and effects perceptions in the context of anti-smoking messages

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Abstract

To select promising health messages, formative research has often relied on perceived message effectiveness (PME) scales assessing either of two related constructs, message perceptions (persuasive potential) and effects perceptions (potential for behavioral impact). We sought to examine their incremental criterion validity within a comparative framework. Participants were 703 U.S. adult smokers (ages \(\ge\) 21) who received anti-smoking or comparable control (littering) messages on their cigarette packs for 3 weeks. Structural equation models examined both PME constructs as simultaneous correlates of outcomes from the UNC Tobacco Warnings Model. Message perceptions demonstrated incremental criterion validity with attention, an early behavioral antecedent (\(\beta\) = 0.82, p < .001). Effects perceptions demonstrated incremental criterion validity with later behavioral antecedents (range \(\beta\) = 0.74–0.87, all p < .01) and quitting behaviors (\(\beta\) = 0.36–0.66, all p < .001). Formative research on anti-smoking messages may benefit from focusing on effects perceptions to characterize potential for behavior change.

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Acknowledgements

Research reported in this publication was supported by Grant Number P50CA180907 from the National Cancer Institute and FDA Center for Tobacco Products. Research reported in this publication was also partially supported by the National Institute on Drug Abuse through grant funding awarded to Dr. Gottfredson (K01DA0351523). The content is solely the responsibility of the authors and does not necessarily represent the official views of the National Institutes of Health or the Food and Drug Administration.

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Correspondence to Sabeeh A. Baig.

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None of the authors have received funding from tobacco product manufacturers. Dr. Brewer has served as a paid consultant in litigation against tobacco companies. Dr. Ribisl has served as an expert consultant in litigation against cigarette manufacturers and Internet tobacco vendors. Dr. Ribisl is also a member of the Tobacco Products Scientific Advisory Committee for the FDA Center for Tobacco Products. The views expressed in this paper are his and not those of the FDA. The authors declare no conflict of interest.

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All procedures followed were in accordance with ethical standards of the responsible committee on human experimentation (institutional and national) and with the Helsinki Declaration of 1975, as revised in 2000. Informed consent was obtained from all individual participants included in the study.

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Baig, S.A., Noar, S.M., Gottfredson, N.C. et al. Incremental criterion validity of message perceptions and effects perceptions in the context of anti-smoking messages. J Behav Med 44, 74–83 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10865-020-00163-0

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10865-020-00163-0

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