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Influence of Climate Changes in the Barents Sea Level Mode on Port Hydraulic Engineering

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Power Technology and Engineering Aims and scope

The article discusses the operation of seaport hydraulic structures in the Arctic region of the Russian Federation. Currently, the sea transport infrastructure of the Arctic region is actively developing. There, according to IPCC, the consequences of global climate change, which are currently not taken into account when designing port hydraulic structures, are most significantly pronounced. Analysis of the results of climate change simulation for the global mean sea level and regional models of the Barents Sea showed a significant change in level marks for the port hydraulic structures of the Arctic region by 2100. The level of the Barents Sea for predictions under the SSP5-8.5 scenario varies from 68 cm for Murmansk to 112 cm for Indiga, which leads to an increase in hydrostatic and wave loads, and also increases the risk of emergencies. Taking into account the predictive climate changes in the design of port hydraulic structures will reduce the risk of emergencies during the life cycle of the facility, as well as reduce operating costs due to the absence of the need for major reconstruction caused by the need to take beyond design loads.

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Correspondence to T. V. Dolgushev.

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Translated from Gidrotekhnicheskoe Stroitel’svo, No. 12, December 2022, pp. 40 – 48. DOI: https://doi.org/10.34831/EP.2022.75.95.005

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Dolgushev, T.V. Influence of Climate Changes in the Barents Sea Level Mode on Port Hydraulic Engineering. Power Technol Eng 57, 75–84 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10749-023-01625-6

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