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Does the unemployment rate matter for environmental issues in the G7 nations? New testing for the environmental Phillips curve using the load capacity factor

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Abstract

Environmental decay is one of the few facts on which all nations throughout the world could agree. In this intricate context, Kashem & Rahman (Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 27: 31153–31170, 2020) introduced the Environmental Phillips Curve to underscore the association between unemployment and environmental dilapidation, a correlation that has been further scrutinized in subsequent studies. Nonetheless, no reexamination of the EPC proposition has been conducted in G7 members, particularly considering the Load Capacity Factor (LCF) as a robust ecological indicator. This limitation prompted this investigation to re-evaluate the EPC hypothesis and the Load Capacity Curve (LCC) in G7 members over the period 1980 to 2021 using various tests and estimation methods, including slope homogeneity tests, cross-section dependence (CSD) tests, second-generation unit root and co-integration tests, PMG-ARDL and CS-ARDL estimations, and the causality check using Juodis et al. (Empirical Economics 60(1): 93–112, 2021) procedure. The empirical findings validate the existence of both the EPC and LCC hypotheses, revealing a negative correlation among unemployment and ecological deterioration, while the link between GDP and LCF exhibits a U-shaped association. Furthermore, the study recommends that G7 economies should create environmentally friendly jobs in areas with high unemployment rates by encouraging companies to operate in the environmental sector, such as the renewable energy markets.

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Hicham Ayad: Conceptualization, Methodology, Software, Formal analysis, Writing—Original Draft. Aissa Djedaiet: Data Curation, Visualization, Writing—Review & Editing.

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See Fig. 5.

Fig. 5
figure 5

The LCF's historical development in G7 countries

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Ayad, H., Djedaiet, A. Does the unemployment rate matter for environmental issues in the G7 nations? New testing for the environmental Phillips curve using the load capacity factor. Environ Dev Sustain (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10668-024-04956-0

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