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Assessing a Transition to 100% Renewable Power Generation in a Non-interconnected Area: A Case Study for La Réunion Island

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Abstract

In this paper, we present a comprehensive, multi-timescale approach to evaluate energy transition policies aiming at fully renewable generation in power systems of non-interconnected areas, typically islands or remote regions. The approach links three dynamic models: (i) a capacity expansion model, ETEM-SG, proposes an investment and generation plan for typical days, up to 2030; (ii) a simplified dispatch model is used to validate the generation plan for a full year of weather data and demand variations; and (iii) a static and dynamic analysis of the power system is used to assess the stability of the new power system for rapid events such as a sudden reduction of renewable generation. The proposed three-step approach generates a cost-effective long-term investment planning that ensures the balance between supply and demand at an hourly time step and the stability of the power system at a timescale of milliseconds. The presentation is based on a case study fully described in a report [1] made with ADEME, the French Agency for Ecological Transition, for the French island of La Réunion. It shows how a reliable 100% renewable power supply is achievable by 2030, in this area.

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Data Availability Statement

The datasets generated during and/or analysed during the current study are available from the corresponding author on reasonable request.

Code Availability

The ETEM-SG model used in this research is an open-source model.

Notes

  1. Agence de l’Environnement et de la Maîtrise de l’Énergie - Agence pour la transition écologique.

  2. This comprised islands of La Réunion, Mayotte, Corse, Guadeloupe, Martinique, and French Guyana.

  3. Robustness and reliability refer to (i) the ability to achieve balance between supply and demand for typical annual weather sequences and (ii) the design of a power system that remains stable in the event of unforeseen disturbances.

  4. For information, visit the Enerdata site https://www.enerdata.net/solutions/medpro-medee-model.html

  5. MDE means: maîtrise de la demande en eńergie

  6. French Energy Regulatory Commission.

  7. Residual capacities are the installed capacities at the beginning of the planning horizon. These installed capacities remain available for the remaining life of the technologies.

References

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  2. Agence del’Environnement et de la Maîtrisede l’Énergie. L’exercice de prospective de l’ADEME, Vision 2030-2050. Technical report, ADEME, 2012. https://www.ademe.fr/sites/default/files/assets/documents/85536_vision_2030-2050_document_technique.pdf

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Funding

The research has been funded by ADEME, France. First and fourth authors gratefully acknowledge the support provided by Qatar National Research Fund under Grant Agreement No. NPRP10-0212-170447 and by the Canadian IVADO programme (VORTEXProject). The first author also acknowledges support provided by FONDECYT 1190325 and by ANILLO ACT192094, Chile.

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All authors contributed to the research and the manuscript. All authors read and approved the final manuscript.

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Correspondence to Frédéric Babonneau.

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Babonneau, F., Biscaglia, S., Chotard, D. et al. Assessing a Transition to 100% Renewable Power Generation in a Non-interconnected Area: A Case Study for La Réunion Island. Environ Model Assess 26, 911–926 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10666-021-09798-y

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