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Analysis of land use and land cover change using machine learning algorithm in Yola North Local Government Area of Adamawa State, Nigeria

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Abstract

The dynamic use of land that results from urbanization has an impact on the urban ecosystem. Yola North Local Government Area (Yola North LGA) of Adamawa state, Nigeria, has experienced tremendous changes in its land use and land cover (LULC) over the past two decades due to the influx of people from rural areas seeking for the benefits of its economic activities. The goal of this research is to develop an efficient and accurate framework for continuous monitoring of land use and land cover (LULC) change and quantify the transformation in land use and land cover pattern over a specific period (between 2002 and 2022). Land sat images of 2002, 2012, and 2022 were obtained, and the Support Vector Machine classification method was utilized to stratify the images. Land Change Modeler (LCM) tool in Idrissi Selva software was then used to analyze the LULC change. SVM produced a good classification result for all three years, with 2022 having the highest overall accuracy of 95.5%, followed by 2002 with 90% and 2012 with 87.7% which indicates the validity of the algorithm for future predictions. The results showed that severe land changes have occurred over the course of two decades in built-up (37.32%), vegetation (forest, scrubland, and grassland) (−3.27%), bare surface (−33.47%), and water bodies (−0.59%). Such changes in LULC could lead to agricultural land lost and reduced food supply. This research develops a robust framework for continuous land use monitoring, utilizing machine learning and geo-spatial data for urban planning, natural resource management, and environmental conservation. In conclusion, this study underscores the efficacy of support vector machine algorithm in analyzing complex land use and land cover changes.

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Data availability

The data that support the findings of this study are openly available in United State Geological Survey at [http://www.earthexplorer.usgs.gov], reference number [Path: 185 and Row: 054].

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Software for this research is available in Get in to Pc at https://getintopc.com.

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Contributions

AA and MI conceived the presented idea. AA and IYG performed the computations and analyzed the data. AA and BAA verified the analytical methods. MM collected data for this study, while MI and SMZ supervised the findings of this work. All authors discussed the results and contributed to the final manuscript.

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Correspondence to Auwal Aliyu.

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We hereby certify that we have participated sufficiently in the intellectual content, conception and design of this work, the analysis and interpretation of the data as well as the writing of the manuscript, to take public responsibility for it and have agreed to have our name listed as a contributor. We believe the manuscript represents valid work; neither this manuscript nor one with substantially similar content under our authorship has been published elsewhere.

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We certify that all the data collected during the study is presented in this manuscript and no data from the study has been or will be published separately. The author signs for and accepts responsibility for releasing this material on behalf of any and all co-authors. The article will be published under the terms of Machine learning—Springer Nature which allows others to reuse, copy, and redistribute the material in any medium or format, even commercially, as long as the author and original source are properly cited. We give the rights to the corresponding author to make necessary changes as per the request of the Journal.

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The authors declare no competing interests.

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Aliyu, A., Isma’il, M., Zubairu, S.M. et al. Analysis of land use and land cover change using machine learning algorithm in Yola North Local Government Area of Adamawa State, Nigeria. Environ Monit Assess 195, 1470 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10661-023-12112-w

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