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Fire foci dynamics and their relationship with socioenvironmental factors and meteorological systems in the state of Alagoas, Northeast Brazil

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Abstract

The objective is to evaluate the fire foci dynamics via environmental satellites and their relationship with socioenvironmental factors and meteorological systems in the state of Alagoas, Brazil. Data considered the period between 2000 and 2017 and was obtained from CPTEC/INPE. Annual and monthly analyzes were performed based on descriptive, exploratory (boxplot) and multivariate statistics analyzes (cluster analysis (CA), principal component analysis (PCA)) and Poisson regression models (based on 2000 and 2010 census data). CA based on the Ward method identified five fire foci homogeneous groups (G1 to G5), while Coruripe did not classify within any group (NA); therefore, the CA technique was consistent (CCC = 0.772). Group G1 is found in all regions of Alagoas, while G2, G5, and NA groups are found in Baixo São Francisco, Litoral, and Zona da Mata regions. Most fire foci were observed in the Litoral region. Seasonally, the largest records were from October to December months for all groups, influenced by the sugarcane harvesting period. The G4 group and Coruripe accounted for 60,767 foci (32.1%). The highest number of fire foci occurred in 2012 and 2015 (between 8000 and 9000 foci), caused by the action of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation. The Poisson regression showed that the dynamics of fire foci are directly associated with the Gini index and Human Development Index (models 1 and 3). Based on the PCA, the three components captured 78.8% of the total variance explained, and they were strongly influenced by the variables: population, GDP, and demographic density. The municipality of Maceió has the largest contribution from the fire foci, with values higher than 40%, and in PC1 and PC2 are related to urban densification and population growth.

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Acknowledgments

The authors are grateful to the Center for Weather Forecasting and Climate Studies/National Institute of Space Research (CPTEC/INPE) for making available the fire foci data via BDQueimadas data bank. The authors also thank ESA of the CCI-CL group for making available the world’s coverage data via annual maps version 2.0.7. The first author thanks the research productivity scholarship granted by the National Council of Scientific and Technological Development (CNPq) process number 309681/2019-7. The authors also thank CNPq for the funding project 424605/2018-0—linked to the Universal Notice No. 28/2018. The second author thanks CNPq for the Junior Postdoctoral Scholarship No. 161023/2019-3.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Institute of Atmospheric Sciences (ICAT), Federal University of Alagoas (UFAL), Maceió, Alagoas, 57072-260, Brazil

    José Francisco de Oliveira-Júnior, Washington Luiz Félix Correia Filho & Paulo José dos Santos

  2. Postgraduate Program in Biosystems Engineering (PGEB), Federal Fluminense University (UFF), Niterói, Rio de Janeiro, 24220-900, Brazil

    José Francisco de Oliveira-Júnior, Gustavo Bastos Lyra & Bruno Serafini Sobral

  3. National Institute for Space Research (INPE), Av. dos Astronautas, 1758-Jardim da Granja, São José dos Campos, São Paulo, 12227-010, Brazil

    Laurízio Emanuel Ribeiro Alves

  4. Department of Environmental Sciences (DCA), Institute of Forests (IF), Rural Federal University of Rio de Janeiro (UFRRJ), Seropédica, Rio de Janeiro, 23897-000, Brazil

    Gustavo Bastos Lyra

  5. School of Industrial Metallurgical Engineering of Volta Redonda, Technological Center, Federal Fluminense University (UFF), Volta Redonda, Rio de Janeiro, 27255-250, Brazil

    Givanildo de Gois

  6. Department of Geography, State University of Mato Grosso (UNEMAT), Sinop, Mato Grosso, 78550-000, Brazil

    Carlos Antonio da Silva Junior

  7. Land and Cartography Institute of Rio de Janeiro (ITERJ), State Secretary for the Environment and Sustentability (SEAS-RJ), Rua Regente Feijó, 7, Centro, Rio de Janeiro, 20060-060, Brazil

    Bruno Serafini Sobral

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  1. José Francisco de Oliveira-Júnior
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  2. Washington Luiz Félix Correia Filho
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  3. Laurízio Emanuel Ribeiro Alves
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  4. Gustavo Bastos Lyra
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  5. Givanildo de Gois
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  6. Carlos Antonio da Silva Junior
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  7. Paulo José dos Santos
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  8. Bruno Serafini Sobral
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Correspondence to Carlos Antonio da Silva Junior.

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de Oliveira-Júnior, J.F., Filho, W.L.F.C., Alves, L.E.R. et al. Fire foci dynamics and their relationship with socioenvironmental factors and meteorological systems in the state of Alagoas, Northeast Brazil. Environ Monit Assess 192, 654 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10661-020-08588-5

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