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Circulating vitamin D and breast cancer risk: an international pooling project of 17 cohorts

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Abstract

Laboratory and animal research support a protective role for vitamin D in breast carcinogenesis, but epidemiologic studies have been inconclusive. To examine comprehensively the relationship of circulating 25-hydroxyvitamin D [25(OH)D] to subsequent breast cancer incidence, we harmonized and pooled participant-level data from 10 U.S. and 7 European prospective cohorts. Included were 10,484 invasive breast cancer cases and 12,953 matched controls. Median age (interdecile range) was 57 (42–68) years at blood collection and 63 (49–75) years at breast cancer diagnosis. Prediagnostic circulating 25(OH)D was either newly measured using a widely accepted immunoassay and laboratory or, if previously measured by the cohort, calibrated to this assay to permit using a common metric. Study-specific relative risks (RRs) for season-standardized 25(OH)D concentrations were estimated by conditional logistic regression and combined by random-effects models. Circulating 25(OH)D increased from a median of 22.6 nmol/L in consortium-wide decile 1 to 93.2 nmol/L in decile 10. Breast cancer risk in each decile was not statistically significantly different from risk in decile 5 in models adjusted for breast cancer risk factors, and no trend was apparent (P-trend = 0.64). Compared to women with sufficient 25(OH)D based on Institute of Medicine guidelines (50– < 62.5 nmol/L), RRs were not statistically significantly different at either low concentrations (< 20 nmol/L, 3% of controls) or high concentrations (100– < 125 nmol/L, 3% of controls; ≥ 125 nmol/L, 0.7% of controls). RR per 25 nmol/L increase in 25(OH)D was 0.99 [95% confidence intervaI (CI) 0.95–1.03]. Associations remained null across subgroups, including those defined by body mass index, physical activity, latitude, and season of blood collection. Although none of the associations by tumor characteristics reached statistical significance, suggestive inverse associations were seen for distant and triple negative tumors. Circulating 25(OH)D, comparably measured in 17 international cohorts and season-standardized, was not related to subsequent incidence of invasive breast cancer over a broad range in vitamin D status.

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Data availability

The data described in the manuscript will not be made available because we do not have permission to disclose or release the data from the participating cohorts, as specified in their executed data use agreements.

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Author contributions

The Circulating Biomarkers and Breast and Colorectal Cancer Consortium was conceived by WCW, SSW, and RGZ and directed by SSW and RGZ. KV, AMM, AZJ, MW, MHG, SSY, SJW, MLM, AHE, NRC, TH, SSW, and RGZ designed the breast cancer study and developed the methodology. Data were provided by investigators from each participating cohort and harmonized by KV, AMM, AZJ, SSY, TH, TKM, SSW, and RGZ. The vitamin D assays were conducted in the laboratory of RLH. Epidemiologic and statistical analyses were conducted by MW, MHG, SSY, and TH with KV, AMM, AZJ, SSW, and RGZ providing input and interpretation. RGZ wrote the initial draft of the manuscript, with KV, AMM, AZJ, and SSW providing extensive input and review on multiple versions of the manuscript. All authors reviewed, edited, and approved the final version of the manuscript. 

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Deceased: Ronald L. Horst.

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Visvanathan, K., Mondul, A.M., Zeleniuch-Jacquotte, A. et al. Circulating vitamin D and breast cancer risk: an international pooling project of 17 cohorts. Eur J Epidemiol 38, 11–29 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10654-022-00921-1

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