Abstract
Over the last several decades, environmental sustainability along with social as well as economic growth has been given key importance due to the pressure it imposes on an economy. Therefore, to achieve these three goals together, the world now advances toward attaining sustainable development agenda signed in 2015. The objective of this study is to scrutinize the impact of structural transformation (STR) on socioeconomic and environmental progress captured by sustainable development (SDI) for a global sample of 122 countries. We consider the period from 2000 to 2019 and employ two-step system GMM methodology to take endogeneity into account which might exist between STR and SDI. In line with the literature of economic growth and STR, we include other variables such as corruption, population growth, government consumption and investment. The results from the two-step system GMM suggest that STR positively affects socioeconomic and environmental progress. We also consider the countries according to World Bank income classifications and K means clustering based on the value of STR. For low, upper middle-income and high-income sample, we find that STR positively affects socioeconomic and environmental progress, while it has no significant impact on such progress for lower middle-income category. Having stable structural transformation benefits the economy, society and environment, while unstable structural transformation is not beneficial. Based on the results, policy directions are suggested for the full sample as well as for the subsamples in order to achieve sustainability in all the sectors.
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Abbreviations
- ARDL:
-
Autoregressive distributed lag
- BCI:
-
Bayesian corruption index
- DEVI:
-
Development index
- DSK:
-
Driscoll–Kraay estimator
- ECF:
-
Ecological footprint
- ECX:
-
Economic complexity
- EII:
-
Ecological impact index
- FAO:
-
Food and Agriculture Organization
- GDP:
-
Gross domestic product
- GMM:
-
Generalized method of moment
- GOVC:
-
Government consumption
- GR:
-
Growth
- HDI:
-
Human development index
- INV:
-
Investment
- MDG:
-
Millennium development goals
- MG:
-
Mean group
- MLE:
-
Maximum likelihood estimation
- NARDL:
-
Nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag
- NICs:
-
Newly industrialized countries
- OECD:
-
Organization for economic cooperation and development
- OLS:
-
Ordinary least square
- PM2.5:
-
Particulate matter 2.5
- PMG:
-
Pooled mean group
- POLS:
-
Pooled OLS
- POPG:
-
Population growth
- SDG:
-
Sustainable development goal
- SDI:
-
Sustainable development
- STR:
-
Structural transformation
- TFP:
-
Total factor productivity
- UN:
-
United Nations
- WDI:
-
World development indicators
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The research funding from the Ministry of Science and Higher Education of the Russian Federation (Ural Federal University Program of Development within the Priority-2030 Program) is gratefully acknowledged.
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The research funding from the Ministry of Science and Higher Education of the Russian Federation (Ural Federal University Program of Development within the Priority-2030 Program) is gratefully acknowledged.
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Kong, L., Sofuoğlu, E., Ishola, B.D. et al. Sustainable development through structural transformation: a pathway to economic, social, and environmental progress. Econ Change Restruct 57, 27 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10644-024-09583-3
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10644-024-09583-3