Skip to main content

Advertisement

Log in

Exploring Option Pricing and Hedging via Volatility Asymmetry

  • Published:
Computational Economics Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

This paper evaluates the application of two well-known asymmetric stochastic volatility (ASV) models to option price forecasting and dynamic delta hedging. They are specified in discrete time in contrast to the classical stochastic volatility models used in option pricing. There is some related literature, but little is known about the empirical implications of volatility asymmetry on option pricing. The objectives of this paper are to estimate ASV option pricing models using a Bayesian approach unknown in this type of literature, and to investigate the effect of volatility asymmetry on option pricing for different size equity sectors and periods of volatility. Using the S&P MidCap 400 and S&P 500 European call option quotes, results show that volatility asymmetry benefits the accuracy of option price forecasting and hedging cost effectiveness in the large-cap equity sector. However, ASV models do not improve the option price forecasting and dynamic hedging in the mid-cap equity sector.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3
Fig. 4
Fig. 5
Fig. 6

Similar content being viewed by others

Notes

  1. Leverage implies volatility asymmetry, but not all types of volatility asymmetry imply leverage. Hereafter, we refer to the broader concept of volatility asymmetry.

  2. Note that the p values of the tests of kurtosis and skewness have been obtained using the procedure by Premaratne and Bera (2017), which allows us to test kurtosis in the presence of asymmetry and skewness in the presence of excess of kurtosis.

  3. Hereafter, figures do not include “OP” in the model names due to lack of space.

References

  • Asai, M. (2008). Autoregressive stochastic volatility models with heavy-tailed distributions: A comparison with multifactor volatility models. Journal of Empirical Finance, 15(2), 332–341.

    Google Scholar 

  • Asai, M., & McAleer, M. (2006). Asymmetric multivariate stochastic volatility. Econometric Reviews, 25(2–3), 453–473.

    Google Scholar 

  • Asai, M., & McAleer, M. (2011). Alternative asymmetric stochastic volatility models. Econometric Reviews, 30, 548–564.

    Google Scholar 

  • Badescu, A., Elliot, R., Grigoryeva, L., & Ortega, J. P. (2016). Option pricing and hedging under non-affine autoregressive stochastic volatility models. https://cdi-icd.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/DR-16-08_Badescu_Elliott_Grigoryeva_Ortega_Option-pricing-and-hedging.pdf

  • Bakshi, G., Cao, C., & Chen, Z. (1997). Empirical performance of alternative option pricing models. Journal of Finance, 53, 499–547.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bates, D. (2000). Post-87 crash fears in S&P 500 futures options. Journal of Econometrics, 94, 181–238.

    Google Scholar 

  • Benzoni, L. (2002). Pricing options under stochastic volatility: An empirical investigation. Technical report, Carlson School of Management

  • Black, F. (1976). Studies in stock price volatility changes. In Proceedings of the 1976 business meeting of the business and economics statistics section, American Statistical Association pp (177–181).

  • Bormetti, G., Casarin, R., Corsi, F., & Livieri, G. (2020). A stochastic volatility model with realized measures for option pricing. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics. https://doi.org/10.1080/07350015.2019.1604371

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Breidt, F. (1996). A threshold autoregressive stochastic volatility model. In VI Latin American congress of probability and mathematical statistics (CLAPEM), Valparaiso, Chile, Citeseer.

  • Broadie, M., & Detemple, J. (2004). Option pricing: Valuation models and applications. Management Science, 50(9), 1145–1177.

    Google Scholar 

  • Carnero, M., Peña, D., & Ruiz, E. (2004). Persistence and kurtosis in garch and stochastic volatility models. Journal of Financial Econometrics, 2(2), 319–342.

    Google Scholar 

  • Catania, L., & Bernardi, M. (2017). MCS: Model confidence set procedure. https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=MCS, r package version 0.1.3.

  • Chernov, M., & Ghysels, E. (2000). A study towards a unified approach to the joint estimation of objective and risk neutral measures for the purpose of option valuation. Journal of Financial Economics, 56, 407–458.

    Google Scholar 

  • Christie, A. (1982). The stochastic behavior of common stock variances. Journal of Financial Economics, 10(4), 407–432.

    Google Scholar 

  • Christoffersen, P., Heston, S., & Jacobs, K. (2009). The shape and term structure of the index option smirk: Why multifactor stochastic volatility models work so well. Management Science, 55, 1914–1932.

    Google Scholar 

  • Christoffersen, P., & Jacobs, K. (2004). Which garch model for option valuation? Management Science, 50(9), 1204–1221.

    Google Scholar 

  • Danielsson, J. (1994). Stochastic volatility in asset prices: Estimation with simulated maximum likelihood. Journal of Econometrics, 64, 375–400.

    Google Scholar 

  • Duan, J. (1995). The GARCH option pricing model. Mathematical Finance, 5, 13–32.

    Google Scholar 

  • Durbin, J., & Koopman, S. (1997). Monte Carlo maximum likelihood estimation for non-Gaussian state space models. Biometrika, 84, 669–684.

    Google Scholar 

  • Engle, R., & Ng, V. (1993). Measuring and testing the impact of news on volatility. The Journal of Finance, 48(5), 1779–1801.

    Google Scholar 

  • Esperança, J. P., Gama, A. P. M., & Gulamhussen, M. A. (2003). Corporate debt policy of small firms: An empirical (re)examination. Journal of Small Business and Enterprise Development, 10(1), 62–80.

    Google Scholar 

  • Fridman, M., & Harris, L. (1998). A maximum likelihood approach for non-Gaussian stochastic volatility models. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 16(3), 284–291.

    Google Scholar 

  • Giovanni, D., Ortobelli, S., & Rachev, S. (2008). Delta hedging strategies comparison. European Journal of Operational Research, 185, 1615–1631.

    Google Scholar 

  • Glosten, L., Jaganathan, R., & Runkle, D. (1993). On the relation between the expected value and the volatility of the nominal excess returns on stocks. Journal of Finance, 48, 1779–1801.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hansen, P., Lunde, A., & Nason, J. (2011). The model confidence set. Econometrica, 79, 453–497.

    Google Scholar 

  • Harvey, A., & Shephard, N. (1996). Estimation of an asymmetric stochastic volatility model for asset returns. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 14(4), 429–34.

    Google Scholar 

  • Heston, S., & Nandi, S. (2000). A closed form garch option pricing model. Review of Financial Studies, 13, 585–625.

    Google Scholar 

  • Jacquier, E., Polson, N., & Rossi, P. (2004). Bayesian analysis of stochastic volatility models with fat-tails and correlated errors. Journal of Econometrics, 122(1), 185–212.

    Google Scholar 

  • Jiang, G. J., & van der Sluis, P. J. (1999). Index option pricing models with stochastic volatility and stochastic interest rates. Review of Finance, 3(3), 273–310.

    Google Scholar 

  • Jones, C. (2003). The dynamics of stochastic volatility: Evidence from underlying and options markets. Journal of Econometrics, 116, 181–224.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kim, S., Shephard, N., & Chib, S. (1998). Stochastic volatility: Likelihood inference and comparison with ARCH models. The Review of Economic Studies, 65(3), 361–393.

    Google Scholar 

  • Liesenfeld, R., & Jung, R. C. (2000). Stochastic volatility models: Conditional normality versus heavy-tailed distributions. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 15(2), 137–160.

    Google Scholar 

  • Mao, X., Czellar, V., Ruiz, E., & Veiga, H. (2020). Asymmetric stochastic volatility models: Properties and particle filter-based simulated maximum likelihood estimation. Econometrics and Statistics, 13, 84–105.

    Google Scholar 

  • Mao, X., Ruiz, E., & Veiga, H. (2017). Threshold stochastic volatility: Properties and forecasting. International Journal of Forecasting, 33(4), 1105–1123.

    Google Scholar 

  • McAleer, M. (2005). Automated inference and learning in modeling financial volatility. Econometric Theory, 21(1), 232–261.

    Google Scholar 

  • Meyer, R., & Yu, J. (2000). BUGS for a Bayesian analysis of stochastic volatility models. The Econometrics Journal, 3(2), 198–215.

    Google Scholar 

  • Michaelas, N., Chittenden, F., & Poutziouris, P. (1999). Financial policy and capital structure choice in U.K. SMEs: Empirical evidence from company panel data. Small Business Economics, 12(2), 113–130.

    Google Scholar 

  • Nandi, S. (1998). How important is the correlation between returns and volatility in a stochastic volatility model? Empirical evidence from pricing and hedging in the S&P 500 index options market. Journal of Banking & Finance, 22(5), 589–610.

    Google Scholar 

  • Nelson, D. (1991). Conditional heteroscedasticity in asset pricing: A new approach. Econometrica, 59, 347–370.

    Google Scholar 

  • Omori, Y., Chib, S., Shephard, N., & Nakajima, J. (2007). Stochastic volatility with leverage: Fast and efficient likelihood inference. Journal of Econometrics, 140(2), 425–449.

    Google Scholar 

  • Pan, J. (2002). The jump-risk premia implicit in options: Evidence from a integrated time-series study. Journal of Financial Economics, 63, 3–50.

    Google Scholar 

  • Park, Y. H. (2016). The effects of asymmetric volatility and jumps on the pricing of VIX derivatives. Journal of Econometrics, 192(1), 313–328.

    Google Scholar 

  • Plummer, M. (2003). JAGS: A program for analysis of Bayesian graphical models using Gibbs sampling. In Proceedings of the 3rd international workshop on distributed statistical computing.

  • Premaratne, G., & Bera, A. K. (2017). Adjusting the tests for skewness and kurtosis for distributional misspecifications. Communications in Statistics—Simulation and Computation, 46(5), 3599–3613.

    Google Scholar 

  • Renault, E. (1997). Econometric models of option pricing errors. In D. Kreps & K. Wallis (Eds.), Advances in economics and econometrics: Theory and applications (Vol. 3). Cambridge University Press.

  • Richard, J., & Zhang, W. (2007). Efficient high-dimensional importance sampling. Journal of Econometrics, 141, 1385–1411.

    Google Scholar 

  • Sandmann, G., & Koopman, S. (1998). Estimation of stochastic volatility models via Monte Carlo maximum likelihood. Journal of Econometrics, 87(2), 271–301.

    Google Scholar 

  • Sayilgan, G., Karabacak, K., & Küçükkocao, G. (2006). The firm-specific determinants of corporate capital structure: Evidence from Turkish panel data. Investment Management and Financial Innovations, 3(3), 125–139.

    Google Scholar 

  • Shephard, N., & Pitt, M. (1997). Likelihood analysis of non-Gaussian measurement time series. Biometrika, 84(3), 653–667.

    Google Scholar 

  • So, M., Li, W., & Lam, K. (2002). A threshold stochastic volatility model. Journal of Forecasting, 21(7), 473–500.

    Google Scholar 

  • Stentoft, L. (2011). American option pricing with discrete and continuous time models: An empirical comparison. Journal of Empirical Finance, 18, 880–902.

    Google Scholar 

  • Su, Y., & Yajima, M. (2015). R2jags: Using R to Run JAGS. https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=R2jags, r package version 0.5-7.

  • Taylor, S. (1994). Modelling stochastic volatility: A review and comparative study. Mathematical Finance, 4, 183–204.

    Google Scholar 

  • Tsiotas, G. (2012). On generalised asymmetric stochastic volatility models. Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, 56(1), 151–172.

    Google Scholar 

  • Wu, G., & Xiao, Z. (2002). A generalized partially linear model of asymmetric volatility. Journal of Empirical Finance, 9, 287–319.

    Google Scholar 

  • Yu, J. (2005). On leverage in a stochastic volatility model. Journal of Econometrics, 127(2), 165–178.

    Google Scholar 

  • Yu, J. (2012). A semiparametric stochastic volatility model. Journal of Econometrics, 167(2), 473–482.

    Google Scholar 

  • Yu, J., Yang, Z., & Zhang, X. (2006). A class of nonlinear stochastic volatility models and its implications for pricing currency options. Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, 51(4), 2218–2231.

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgements

The second author acknowledges financial support from Spanish Ministry of Economy and Competitiveness, research projects ECO2015-70331-C2-2-R and PGC2018-096977-B-I00, and FCT Grant UID/GES/00315/2019.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Isabel Casas.

Ethics declarations

Conflict of interest

The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.

Additional information

Publisher's Note

Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

Appendix

Appendix

See Table 5.

Table 5 Description of sample periods

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Casas, I., Veiga, H. Exploring Option Pricing and Hedging via Volatility Asymmetry. Comput Econ 57, 1015–1039 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10614-020-10005-5

Download citation

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10614-020-10005-5

Keywords

JEL Classification

Navigation