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Mammalian fatalities on roads: how sampling errors affect road prioritization and dominant species influence spatiotemporal patterns

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Abstract

Prioritizing roads for mitigation can be a challenge in conservation. The comparison of fatality estimates is an important tool to assist in this process, but the sampling errors in these estimates should be considered. Spatial and temporal patterns of wildlife fatalities vary among different roads, and multispecies evaluations can be biased by the abundance of a dominant fatality species. We compared three roads in southern Brazil regarding their mammalian fatality estimates, assessed temporal and spatial patterns of these records, and evaluated the effect of a dominant fatality species on these observed patterns. We found a discrepancy in road prioritization when using the estimated rather than the observed number of fatalities to the extent that the road with the lowest priority became the one with the highest. Therefore, we demonstrated the importance of considering sampling errors in fatality estimates. Our data evidenced the influence of the dominant fatality species on the temporal patterns on the three roads, changing the distribution of fatalities. We also demonstrated the importance of considering the influence of the dominant fatality species on the spatial patterns due to changes in the location of hotspots, representing hotspots with more non-dominant species. The decision of where to mitigate, given a stated mitigation target, could be improved by a simple cost–benefit approach considering all records or only non-dominant species. Independently of road or mitigation target, mitigating a small fraction of the road extension with effective action can avoid a considerable fraction of the fatalities.

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Acknowledgements

We thank the Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPq) for the scholarship provided to Ingridi Camboim Franceschi, Mariano Pairet for the support in all surveys, Museu de Ciências Naturais of Secretaria do Meio Ambiente e Infraestrutura and Instituto de Biociências of Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul for supporting all fieldwork, and Fernanda Zimmermann Teixeira and Flávia Pereira Tirelli for reviewing a previous version of the manuscript.

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Study design was planned by Ingridi Camboim Franceschi, Tatiane Campos Trigo, and Andreas Kindel. Data collection was performed by Ingridi Camboim Franceschi and Tatiane Campos Trigo. Data analysis was performed by Ingridi Camboim Franceschi, Tatiane Campos Trigo, and Larissa Oliveira Gonçalves. Ingridi Camboim Franceschi wrote the first manuscript version, and all authors contributed with comments. The last version of this manuscript was read and approved by all authors.

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Correspondence to Ingridi Camboim Franceschi.

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The authors declare no competing interests.

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This article belongs to the Topical Collection: Road Ecology

Guest Editor: Marcello D’Amico

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Franceschi, I.C., Gonçalves, L.O., Kindel, A. et al. Mammalian fatalities on roads: how sampling errors affect road prioritization and dominant species influence spatiotemporal patterns. Eur J Wildl Res 67, 97 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10344-021-01540-z

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10344-021-01540-z

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