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Profitability of timber plantations on agricultural land in the Po valley (northern Italy): a comparison between walnut, hybrid poplar and polycyclic plantations in the light of the European Union Rural Development Policy orientation

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Abstract

In the last decades, the Rural Development Policy of the European Union has been encouraging timber plantations on agricultural land with an increasing focus on supporting multifunctional forest investments, favouring a diversification of timber plantation investment possibilities. In this study, we estimated and analysed the potential financial returns from forest plantations on agricultural land in the context of the Po valley (northern Italy). We compared traditional monospecific walnut and hybrid poplar plantations with polycyclic plantations, an innovative model of mixed and multi-rotation plantation with much higher positive impact in terms of biodiversity. We defined different management models according to site fertility and investment costs and carried out a financial analysis using typical capital budgeting indicators, i.e. net present value, equivalent annual value and internal rate of return. Our results show that polycyclic plantations can reach on average the highest investment returns, although there are significant variations depending on site fertility and investment cost levels. The diversification of species, rotations and final assortments of polycyclic plantations appear to be potentially successful elements to cope with market risks. Hybrid poplar plantations are the most consolidated segment of investment but show the largest variability in terms of potential returns. For walnut plantations, the longer payback period can negatively influence the investment attractiveness. Results were analysed and discussed also considering the opportunity costs associated with the alternative agricultural land use (annual crops), and the effect of subsidies, land use costs and timber stumpage price variations. These proved to be determinant variables in influencing potential investments returns.

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Notes

  1. Website: www.aalsea.it/.

  2. The EAV can sometimes be found in the literature as equivalent annual annuity or net present annuity.

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Acknowledgements

The present research has been developed within the framework and the resources provided by the LIFE + Project InBioWood (LIFE12 ENV/IT/000153). Authors would like to acknowledge the private owners that collaborated with AALSEA for this publication, in particular Francesco Mattioli (MN) and Federico San Bonifacio (VR), as well as the anonymous reviewers for their valuable comments that helped to substantially improve the paper.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. TESAF Department, University of Padova, Viale dell’Università, 16, 35020, Legnaro, PD, Italy

    Alex Pra, Mauro Masiero & Davide Pettenella

  2. ETIFOR, Padova University Spin-Off, c/o TESAF Department, University of Padova, Viale dell’Università, 16, 35020, Legnaro, PD, Italy

    Alex Pra, Lucio Brotto & Nicola Andrighetto

  3. Compagnia delle Foreste, Arezzo, Via Pietro Aretino 8, 52100, Arezzo, AR, Italy

    Paolo Mori

  4. Association of Tree Farming for Economy and the Environment, Loc. Talzano 12, 52100, Arezzo, AR, Italy

    Enrico Buresti Lattes

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Pra, A., Brotto, L., Mori, P. et al. Profitability of timber plantations on agricultural land in the Po valley (northern Italy): a comparison between walnut, hybrid poplar and polycyclic plantations in the light of the European Union Rural Development Policy orientation. Eur J Forest Res 138, 473–494 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10342-019-01184-4

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