Abstract
Reichenbach et al. (Earth Sci Rev 180:60–91, 2018) provide an extremely valuable review of statistically-based landslide susceptibility modelling and mapping techniques. In their analysis, they describe an excessive interest in statistical experimentation, seemingly at the expense of focusing on developing reliable and useable outputs. Landslide susceptibility mapping has flourished in research circles, but has yet to become widely embraced by land use planners and those responsible for the site selection and route selection of engineering infrastructure. If landslide susceptibility mapping is to become recognised as a credible tool by planning and engineering practitioners, it requires robust and universally-applied guidelines, a focus on geological and geomorphological observation, and demonstrable reliability and usability. Short case histories are provided to illustrate some of the issues concerned, how they have been overcome in an applied sense, and some of the problems that still remain to be resolved. Recommendations are provided for a step-by-step approach to landslide susceptibility mapping, that emphasise the need to: (1) become fully-familiar with the terrain in the area of interest and the controls on slope stability; (2) derive a credible dataset for spatial analysis, combining desk study and field-derived data sources; (3) test and trial the output mapping; and (4) liaise with the intended map end-user over issues concerning scale, reliability, uncertainty and application constraints.
Similar content being viewed by others
Notes
In the context of this paper, the term ‘civil engineer’ is taken to include all organisations, companies and individuals who might wish to procure the services of geohazard specialists, engineering geologists and other geo-technicians to advance the design and implementation of civil works, including developers who are not necessarily civil engineers by profession.
The term land use (and urban) planner is used here to define all those professionals responsible for regulating the use of the land for commercial, industrial, urban and agricultural development purposes, as well as for conservation and environmental protection
References
AGS (2000) Landslide risk management concepts and guidelines. Aust Geomech 35:49–92.
AGS (2007) Guidelines for landslide susceptibility, hazard and risk zoning for land use planning. A national land use risk management framework for Australia. Aust Geomech 42(1):13–36.
Alexakis DD, Agapiou A, Tzouvaras M, Themistocleous K, Neocleous K, Michaelides S, Hadjimitsis DG (2014) Integrated use of GIS and remote sensing for monitoring landslides in transportation pavements: the case study of Paphos area in Cyprus. Nat Hazards 72(1):119–141. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-013-0770-3
Alleoti P, Chowdhury R (1999) Landslide hazard assessment: summary review and new perspectives. Bull Eng Geol Environ 58:21–44
Anon (1972) The preparation of maps and plans in terms of engineering geology. Q J Eng Geol 5:293–381
Brabb EE, Pampeyan EH, Bonilla MG (1972) Landslide susceptibility in San Mateo County, California. US Geological Survey Miscellaneous Field Studies, Map MF-360, scale 1:62,500
Brunsden D (2002) Geomorphological roulette for engineers and planners: some insights into an old game. The fifth Glossop lecture. Q J Eng Geol Hydrogeol 35:101–142
Chacón J, Irigaray C, Fernandez T, El Hamdouni R (2006) Engineering geology maps: landslides and geographical information systems. Bull Eng Geol Environ 65(4):341–411. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10064-006-0064-z
Chapman P (1999) The CRISP-DM user guide. Cross-industry standard process for data mining. NCR Systems Engineering, Copenhagen
Chen G, Meng X, Tan L, Zhang F, Qiao L (2014) Comparison and combination of different models for optimal landslide susceptibility zonation. Q J Eng Geol Hydrogeol 47:283–306. https://doi.org/10.1144/gjegh2013-071
Corominas J, Mavrouli O-C (eds) (2011) Guidelines for landslide susceptibility, hazard and risk assessment and zonation. WP2.1. Harmonisation and development of procedures for quantifying landslide hazard. Deliverable D2.4, SafeLand, living with landslide risk in Europe: assessment, effects of global change, and risk management strategies. 7th framework Programme, Co-operation theme 6 environmental (including climate change) sub-activity 6.1.3 natural hazards
Corominas J, van Westen C et al (2014) Recommendations for the quantitative analysis of landslide risk. Bull Eng Geol Environ 73:209–263. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10064-013-0538-8
Dearman WR, Fookes PG (1974) Engineering geological mapping for civil engineering practice in the United 79 Kingdom. Q J Eng Geol 7:223–256
Fell R, Corominas J, Bonnard C, Cascini L, Leroi E, Savage WZ (2008) Guidelines for landslide susceptibility, hazard and risk zoning for land use planning. On behalf of the JTC-1 joint technical committee on landslides and engineered slopes. Eng Geol 102:85–98. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enggeo.2008.03.022
Fookes PG (1997) Geology for engineers: the geological model, prediction and performance. Q J Eng Geol Hydrogeol 30:293–424
Glossop R (1968) Eighth Rankine lecture: the rise of geotechnology and its influence on engineering practice. Geotechnique XVIII(2):107–150
Griffiths JS (ed) (2001) Land surface evaluation for engineering practice, vol 18. Geological Society of London Engineering Geology Special Publications
Griffiths JS (ed) (2002) Mapping in engineering geology. Key issues in earth sciences. Geological Society of London, London
Griffiths JS (2017) Terrain evaluation in engineering geology. Q J Eng Geol Hydrogeol 50:3–11. https://doi.org/10.1144/qjegh2016-090
Guzzetti F, Carrara A, Cardinali M, Reichenbach P (1999) Landslide hazard evaluation: a review of current techniques and their application in a multi-scale study, Central Italy. Geomorphology 31:181–216. https://doi.org/10.1016/s0169-555x(99)00078-1
Guzzetti F, Cardinali M, Reichenbach P, Carrara A (2000) Comparing landslide maps: a case study in the upper Tiber River Basin, Central Italy. Environ Manag 25(3):247–363. https://doi.org/10.1007/s002679910020
Guzzetti F, Mondini AC, Cardinali M, Fiorucci F, Santangelo M, Chang K-T (2012) Landslide inventory maps: new tools for an old problem. Earth Sci Rev 112(1-2):42–66. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.earscirev.2012.02.001
Hart AB, Hearn GJ (2013) Landslide assessment for land use planning and infrastructure management in the Paphos District of Cyprus. Bull Eng Geol Environ 72(2):173–188. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10064-013-0463-x
Hart AB, Hearn GJ (2018) Mapping geohazards in the watersheds above Leh, Ladakh: the use of publicly-available remote sensing to assist risk management. Int J Disaster Risk Reduct. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2018.07.021
Hart AB, Griffiths JS, Mather AE (2009) Technical note: Some limitations in the interpretation of vertical stereo photographic images. Q J Eng Geol Hydrogeol 42(1):21–30
Hart AB, Ruse ME, Hobbs PRN, Efthymiou M, Hadjicharalambous K (2010) Development of a landslide inventory to assess landslide hazard in Paphos District, Cyprus. In: Williams AL, Pinches GM, Chin CY, McMorran TJ, Massey CI (eds) Geologically active. Proceedings of the eleventh IAEGE congress, Auckland, New Zealand, September. Taylor and Francis, London, pp 229–239
Hearn GJ (2002) Natural terrain hazard assessment: the art of applied science. Proceedings of the conference on natural terrain – a constraint on development? Institution of Mining and Metallurgy, Hong Kong Branch, pp 39–60
Hearn GJ (2004) The role of geology in landslide risk assessment for civil engineering purposes. Advances in Geotechnical Engineering: The Skempton Conference: Proceedings of a three-day conference on advances in geotechnical engineering, organised by the Institution of Civil Engineers and held at the Royal Geographical Society, London, UK, 29–31 March 2004, pp 1316–1329. https://doi.org/10.1680/aigev2.32644.0053
Hearn GJ (2011a) B3 field mapping. In: Hearn GJ (ed) Slope engineering for mountain roads, vol 24. Geological Society of London, Engineering Geology Special Publications, pp 103–116. https://doi.org/10.1144/EGSP24.7
Hearn GJ (2011b) B2 Desk studies. In: Hearn GJ (ed) Slope engineering for mountain roads, vol 24. Geological Society of London, Engineering Geology Special Publications, pp 71–104. https://doi.org/10.1144/EGSP24.6
Hearn GJ (2017a) Geomorphology in engineering geological mapping and modelling. Bull Eng Geol Environ. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10064-017-1166-5
Hearn GJ (2017b) Engineering geomorphology of the Koshi Highway, East Nepal. Q J Eng Geol Hydrogeol 50:354–367. https://doi.org/10.1144/gjegh2016-112
Hearn GJ (2018) Slope hazards on the Ethiopian road network. Q J Eng Geol Hydrogeol. https://doi.org/10.1144/qjegh2018-058
Hearn GJ, Hart AB (2011) Geomorphological contributions to landslide risk assessment: theory and practice. In: Smith MJ, Paron P, Griffiths JS (eds) Geomorphological mapping: methods and applications, developments in earth surface processes 15. Elsevier, Oxford, pp 107–148
Hearn GJ, Hunt T (2011) C2 earthworks. In: Hearn GJ (ed) Slope engineering for mountain roads, vol 24. Geological Society of London, Engineering Geology Special Publications, pp 145–163. https://doi.org/10.1144/EGSP24.11
Hearn GJ, Shakya NM (2017) Engineering challenges for sustainable road access in the Himalayas. Q J Eng Geol Hydrogeol 50:69–80. https://doi.org/10.1144/qjegh2016-109
Hearn GJ, Petley D, Hart A, Massey C, Chant C (2003) Landslide risk assessment in the rural access sector: guidelines on best practice. Scott Wilson/University of Durham final report to the Department for International Development, UK
Hearn G, Hart A, Morgan C, Wise D, O’Donnell N (2012) Assessing the potential for future first-time slope failures to impact the oil and gas pipeline corridor through the Makarov Mountains, Sakhalin Island, Russia. Q J Eng Geol Hydrogeol 45:79–88. https://doi.org/10.1144/1470-9236/10-033
Hearn G, O’Donnell N, Hart A (2016) Discussion on ‘landslide risk assessment: the challenge of communicating uncertainty to decision-makers’. Q J Eng Geol Hydrogeol 49:21–35. https://doi.org/10.1144/qjegh2016-031
Hearn GJ, Larkin H, Hadjicharalambous K, Papageorgiou A, Elina Zoi G (2018) Proving a landslide: ground behaviour problems at Pissouri, Cyprus. Q J Eng Geol Hydrogeol. https://doi.org/10.1144/qjegh2017-134
Huabin W, Gangjun L, Gonghui W (2005) GIS-based landslide hazard assessment: an overview. Prog Phys Geogr 29(4):548–567
Lee EM (2009) Landslide risk assessment: the challenge of estimating the probability of landsliding. Q J Eng Geol Hydrogeol 42:445–458. https://doi.org/10.1144/1470-9236/08-007
Lee EM (2016) Landslide risk assessment: the challenge of communicating uncertainty to decision-makers. Q J Eng Geol Hydrogeol 49:21–35. https://doi.org/10.1144/qjegh2015-066
Lee C-F, Huang W-K, Chang Y-L, Chi S-Y, Liao W-C (2018) Regional landslide susceptibility assessment using multi-stage remote sensing data along the coastal range highway in Northeast Taiwan. Geomorphology 300:113–127. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geomorph.2017.10.019
Northmore KJ, Charalambous M, Hobbs PRN, Kyriakos E (1987a) Engineering geological map of the Phiti area, SW Cyprus. Colour printed, 1:10 000 scale. Shows landslide distribution/ classification, hydrological and erosional details on geological/topographical base for 40 km2 area in geologically complex and landslide-prone terrain. Geological Survey Dept. of Cyprus, Nicosia
Northmore KJ, Charalambous M, Hobbs PRN, Kyriakos E (1987b) Engineering geological map of the Statos area, SW Cyprus. Colour printed, 1:10 000 scale. Shows: landslide distribution/classification, hydrological and erosional details on geological/topographical base for 63 km2 area in geologically complex and landslide-prone terrain. Geological Survey Dept. of Cyprus, Nicosia
Northmore KJ, Charalambous M, Hobbs PRN, Petrides G (1988) Complex landslides in the Kannaviou, Melange, and Mamonia formations of south-West Cyprus. In: Bonnard C (ed) Proceedings of the 5th international symposium on landslides, Lausanne, Switzerland, July 10–15, 1988, pp 263–268
Petley DN, Hearn GJ, Hart AB (2005) Towards the development of landslide risk assessment for rural roads in Nepal. In: Glade T, Anderson M, Crozier M (eds) Landslide hazard and risk. Wiley, Chichester, pp 597–619
Pike RJ, Graymer RW, Sobieszczyk S (2003) A simple GIS model for mapping landslide susceptibility. In: Evans IS, Dikau R, Tokunaga E, Ohmori H, Hirano M (eds) Concepts and modelling in geomorphology: international perspectives. Terrapub, Tokyo, pp 185–197
Reichenbach P, Rossi M, Malamud BD, Mihir M, Guzzetti F (2018) A review of statistically-based landslide susceptibility models. Earth Sci Rev 180:60–91. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.earscirev.2018.03.001
Saaty TL (1980) The analytic hierarchy process, planning, priority setting, resource allocation. McGraw-Hill, New York
Sciarra M, Coco L, Urbano T (2017) Assessment and validation of GIS-based landslide susceptibility maps: a case study from Feltrino stream basin (Central Italy). Bull Eng Geol Environ 76:437–456. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10064-016-0954-7
Soeters R, van Westen CJ (1996) Slope instability, recognition, analysis and zonation. In: Turner AK, Schuster RL (eds) Landslides: investigation and mitigation, transport research board special report 247. National Academy of Sciences, Washington DC, pp 129–177
Acknowledgements
The case studies described in this paper were carried out while the authors were employed at Scott Wilson (now AECOM). The authors would like to thank all those who contributed to these projects, including through field visits, landslide mapping, discussions on methodology, etc., as well as the UK Department for International Development, Sakhalin Energy Investment Co. Ltd. and the Geological Survey Department of Cyprus for the opportunity to carry out this work. The work illustrated from Nepal/Bhutan was undertaken in conjunction with the Department for Local Infrastructure Development and Agricultural Roads in Nepal, the Department of Roads in Bhutan and D. Petley (then at the University of Durham, UK). The work illustrated from Cyprus was undertaken in conjunction with the British Geological Survey. The authors would also like to thank three anonymous reviewers for their comments on a draft of this paper. None of the views expressed in this paper are necessarily those of AECOM, Atkins nor any of the other organisations mentioned in this paper.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Hearn, G.J., Hart, A.B. Landslide susceptibility mapping: a practitioner’s view. Bull Eng Geol Environ 78, 5811–5826 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10064-019-01506-1
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10064-019-01506-1