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Representation of Arabian Peninsula summer climate in a regional atmospheric model using spectral nudging

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Abstract

This study assesses the performance of the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model in simulating the Arabian Peninsula summer climate for the period 2001–2016. The European Centre for Medium range Weather Forecast (ECMWF) reanalysis is downscaled using WRF without (CTRL) and with the Spectral Nudging (SPN) method. Our results suggest that the noticeable cold biases in surface temperatures (mean, minimum, and maximum) over the Arabian Peninsula in CTRL are significantly reduced in SPN. The seasonal patterns of surface pressure, cloud cover, lower and upper tropospheric circulation, and mid-tropospheric anticyclone are also simulated more realistically with SPN. The evaluation of mean vertical profiles of dynamical and thermo-dynamical features over the Arabian Peninsula further confirms the enhanced simulations with SPN with respect to CTRL. Though SPN captures better the observed evolution of rainfall compared to that of CTRL, it produces a positive rainfall bias over the Southwestern Arabian Peninsula. Stronger vertical motions associated with the local topography enhance the higher water vapor loading, condenses in the upper layers, and results in excess amount of rainfall in SPN. Furthermore, with SPN, WRF is further able to better simulate the synoptic features of heat waves. Overall, SPN enhances WRF simulation skill of the horizontal structures and vertical profiles of the Arabian Peninsula summer climate by enforcing a better balance between the small and large scale features and associated feedbacks.

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Model data are available on request.

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Acknowledgements

This research work was supported by the Office of Sponsored Research (OSR) at King Abdullah University of Science and Technology (KAUST) under the Competitive Research Grant (CRG) program Grant#UFR/1/3706-01-01 and by the Saudi Aramco Center for Marine Environmental Research at KAUST. All simulations were conducted on the KAUST Super Computational facility (SHAHEEN) supported by the KAUST Supercomputing Laboratory (KSL).

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Raju, Ravi, and Ibrahim designed the project, wrote most of the article, and proceeded part of the computation and drawing most of the figures; Hari Prasad, Sivareddy, and Yesubabu processed and analyzed the source data and prepared appropriate figures; Knio contributed in writing and editing the manuscript.

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Correspondence to Ibrahim Hoteit.

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Attada, R., Kunchala, R.K., Dasari, H.P. et al. Representation of Arabian Peninsula summer climate in a regional atmospheric model using spectral nudging. Theor Appl Climatol 145, 13–30 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-021-03617-w

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