Abstract
Knowledge of past climatic variability for the Tibetan Plateau (TP), especially the northwestern part of it, is still limited due to the lack of long-term meteorological records. Within this study, we developed a summer (June–July) minimum temperature reconstruction since 1681 based on annual tree-ring width of Schrenk’s spruce (Picea schrenkiana Fisch. et Mey.) from a humid timberline on the western Kunlun Mountains. Our reconstruction passed the statistical calibration and validation tests, and accounted for 37.69% of the variance for the instrumental record during the period 1960–1996. The reconstruction mainly exhibited annual to decadal temperature variability, with cold periods in 1694–1696, 1745–1749, 1823–1824, and 1915–1921, and warm periods in 1755–1760, 1795–1799, and 1894–1896. Spatial correlations and comparisons with the Asia summer temperature reconstructions further verified our temperature reconstruction and its capability to serve as a proxy for large-scale temperature variability on the northwestern TP. Our results clearly indicate the great potential to perform dendrochronological studies on the western Kunlun Mountains.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Asad F, Zhu H, Zhang H, Liang E, Muhammad S, Farhan SB, Hussain I, Wazir MA, Ahmed M, Esper J (2016) Are Karakoram temperatures out of phase compared to hemispheric trends? Clim Dyn 48:3381–3390. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-016-3273-6
Bayramzadeh V, Zhu H, Lu X, Attarod P, Zhang H, Li X, Asad F, Liang E (2018) Temperature variability in northern Iran during the past 700 years. Sci Bull 63(8):462–464
Bräuning A, Mantwill B (2004) Summer temperature and summer monsoon history on the Tibetan plateau during the last 400 years recorded by tree rings. Geophys Res Lett 31:L24205. https://doi.org/10.1029/2004GL020793
Briffa KR, Schweingruber FH, Jones PD, Osborn TJ, Shiyatov SG, Vaganov EA (1998) Reduced sensitivity of recent tree-growth to temperature at high northern latitudes. Nature 391:678–682
Bunn AG, Salzer MW, Anchukaitis KJ, Bruening JM, Hughes MK (2018) Spatiotemporal variability in the climate growth response of high elevation bristlecone pine in the White Mountains of California. Geophys Res Lett 45:13,312–13,321. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL080981
Büntgen U, Frank D, Wilson R, Carrer M, Urbinati C, Esper J (2008) Testing for tree-ring divergence in the European Alps. Glob Chang Biol 14:2443–2453
Chen F, Yuan Y, Chen F et al (2013) A 426-year drought history for Western Tian Shan, Central Asia inferred from tree-rings and its linkages to the North Atlantic and Indo-West Pacific Oceans. Holocene 23(8):1095–1104
Chen F, Yuan Y, Wei W, Yu SL, Zhang TW, Shang HM, Zhang RB, Qin L, Fan ZA (2015) Tree-ring recorded hydroclimatic change in Tienshan mountains during the past 500 years. Quat Int 358:35–41
Cook ER (1985) A time series analysis approach to tree ring standardization. University of Arizona, Tuscon
Cook ER, Anchukaitis KJ, Buckley BM, D’Arrigo RD, Jacoby GC, Wright WE (2010) Asian monsoon failure and megadrought during the last millennium. Science 328(5977):486–489
Cook ER, Krusic PJ, Anchukaitis KJ, Buckley BM, Nakatsuka T, Sano M (2013) Tree-ring reconstructed summer temperature anomalies for temperate East Asia since 800 CE. Clim Dyn 41(11–12):2957–2972
Davi NK, D’Arrigo R, Jacoby GC, Cook ER, Anchukaitis KJ, Nachin B, Rao MP, Leland C (2015) A long-term context (931–2005C.E.) for rapid warming over Central Asia. Quat Sci Rev 121:89–97
Duan J, Zhang QB (2014) A 449 year warm season temperature reconstruction in the southeastern Tibetan Plateau and its relation to solar activity. J Geophys Res Atmos 119(20):11–578
Fan ZX, Bräuning A, Tian QH, Yang B, Cao KF (2010) Tree ring recorded May–August temperature variations since A.D. 1585 in the Gaoligong Mountains, southeastern Tibetan Plateau. Palaeogeogr Palaeoclimatol Palaeoecol 296:94–102
Fang K, Gou X, Chen F, Li J, D’Arrigo R, Cook E, Yang T, Davi N (2010) Reconstructed droughts for the southeastern Tibetan Plateau over the past 568 years and its linkages to the Pacific and Atlantic Ocean climate variability. Clim Dyn 35(4):577–585
Fang K, Gou X, Chen F, Cook E, Li J, Buckley B, D’Arrigo R (2011) Large-scale precipitation variability over Northwest China inferred from tree rings. J Clim 24(13):3457–3468
Fritts H (1976) Tree rings and climate. Academic Press, London
Gou X, Peng J, Chen F, Yang M, Levia DF, Li J (2008) A dendrochronological analysis of maximum summer half-year temperature variations over the past 700 years on the northeastern Tibetan Plateau. Theor Appl Climatol 93(3–4):195–206
Guiot J (1991) The bootstrapped response function. Tree-Ring Bull 51:39–41
Harris I, Jones PD, Osborn TJ, Lister DH (2014) Updated high-resolution grids of monthly climatic observations-the CRU TS3. 10 dataset. Int J Climatol 34(3):623–642
He M, Yang B, Bräuning A, Rossi S, Ljungqvist FC, Shishov V, Grießinger J, Wang J, Liu J, Qin C (2019) Recent advances in dendroclimatology in China. Earth Sci Rev. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.earscirev.2019.02.012
Huang R, Zhu H, Liu X, Liang E, Grießinger J, Wu G, Li X, Bräuning A (2017) Does increasing intrinsic water use efficiency (iWUE) stimulate tree growth at natural alpine timberline on the southeastern Tibetan Plateau? Glob Planet Chang 148:217–226
Huang R, Zhu H, Liang E, Grießinger J, Wernicke J, Yu W, Hochreuther P, Risi C, Zeng Y, Fremme A, Sodemann H, Bräuning A (2019a) Temperature signals in tree-ring oxygen isotope series from the northern slope of the Himalaya. Earth Planet Sci Lett 506:455–465
Huang R, Zhu H, Liang E et al (2019b) A tree ring-based winter temperature reconstruction for the southeastern Tibetan Plateau since 1340 CE. Clim Dyn:1–13
Huffman G, Adler R, Arkin P et al (1997) The global precipitation climatology project (GPCP) combined precipitation dataset. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 78(1):5–20
Li X, Liang E, Gričar J, Rossi S, Čufar K, Ellison AM (2017) Critical minimum temperature limits xylogenesis and maintains treelines on the southeastern Tibetan Plateau. Sci Bull 62(11):804–812
Liang E, Shao X, Qin N (2008) Tree-ring based summer temperature reconstruction for the source region of the Yangtze River on the Tibetan Plateau. Glob Planet Chang 61:313–320
Liang E, Shao X, Xu Y (2009) Tree-ring evidence of recent abnormal warming on the southeast Tibetan Plateau. Theor Appl Climatol 98(1–2):9–18
Liu B, Wang Y, Zhu H, Liang E, Camarero JJ (2016) Topography and age mediate the growth responses of Smith fir to climate warming in the southeastern Tibetan Plateau. Int J Biometeorol 60:1577–1587
Liu Y, Song H, Sun C, Song Y, Cai Q, Liu R, Lei Y, Li Q (2018) The 600–mm precipitation isoline distinguishes tree-ring width responses to climate in China. National Science Review. https://doi.org/10.1093/nsr/nwy101
Lu X, Huang R, Wang Y, Sigdel SR, Dawadi B, Liang E, Camarero JJ (2016) Summer temperature drives radial growth of alpine shrub willows on the northeastern Tibetan Plateau. Arct Antarct Alp Res 48(3):461–468
Michaelsen J (1987) Cross-validation in statistical climate forecast models. J Clim Appl Meteorol 26:1589–1600
Piao S, Liu Z, Wang T, Peng S, Ciais P, Huang M, Ahlstrom A, Burkhart JF, Chevallier F, Janssens IA, Jeong SJ, Lin X, Mao J, Miller J, Mohammat A, Myneni RB, Peñuelas J, Shi X, Stohl A, Yao Y, Zhu Z, Tans PP (2017) Weakening temperature control on the interannual variations of spring carbon uptake across northern lands. Nat Clim Chang 7(5):359–363
Schneider U, Becker A, Finger P, Meyer-Christoffer A, Ziese M, Rudolf B (2014) GPCC’s new land surface precipitation climatology based on quality-controlled in situ data and its role in quantifying the global water cycle. Theor Appl Climatol 115(1–2):15–40
Shang H, Wei W, Yu Y et al (2015) A 850-year tree-ring width chronology of Juniperus Jarkendensis for Northeastern Pamirs and its climatic implications. Desert and Oasis Meteorology 9(1):6–11 (In Chinese with English Abstract)
Shang H, Kebir M, Li H, Yu S et al (2017) Evaluation on the climatic information of tree-ring width of Picea schrenkiana from Yarkand River Basin. Desert and Oasis Meteorology 11(3):17–24 (In Chinese with English Abstract)
Shao X, Xu Y, Yin ZY, Liang E, Zhu H, Wang S (2010) Climatic implications of a 3585-year tree-ring width chronology from the northeastern Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau. Quat Sci Rev 29:2111–2122
Shi S, Li J, Shi J, Zhao Y, Huang G (2017) Three centuries of winter temperature change on the southeastern Tibetan Plateau and its relationship with the Atlantic multidecadal oscillation. Clim Dyn 49(4):1–15
Shi C, Shen M, Wu X, Cheng X, Li X, Fan T, Li Z, Zhang Y, Fan Z, Shi F, Wu G (2019) Growth response of alpine treeline forests to a warmer and drier climate on the southeastern Tibetan Plateau. Agric For Meteorol 264:73–79
Wang L, Duan J, Chen J, Huang L, Shao X (2010) Temperature reconstruction from tree-ring maximum density of Balfour spruce in eastern Tibet, China. Int J Climatol 30(7):972–979
Wang J, Yang B, Ljungqvist FC (2015) A millennial summer temperature reconstruction for the eastern Tibetan Plateau from tree-ring width. J Clim 28(13):5289–5304
Wang B, Chen T, Xu G, Wu G, Li C (2016) Reconstructed annual mean temperatures for the northeastern margin of the Tibetan Plateau: associations with the Asian monsoons and volcanic events. Int J Climatol. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.4900
Yadava AK, Bräuning A, Singh J, Yadav RR (2016) Boreal spring precipitation variability in the cold arid western Himalaya during the last millennium, regional linkages, and socio-economic implications. Quat Sci Rev 144:28–43
Yang L (1982) Water resource and rational utilization in Xinjiang. Xinjiang People’s Press (In Chinese)
Yang B, Qin C, Wang J, He M, Melvin TM, Osborn TJ, Briffa KR (2014) A 3,500-year tree-ring record of annual precipitation on the northeastern Tibetan Plateau. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 111:2903–2908
Yao T, Xue Y, Chen D, Chen F, Thompson L, Cui P, Koike T, Lau WKM, Lettenmaier D, Mosbrugger V, Zhang R, Xu B, Dozier J, Gillespie T, Gu Y, Kang S, Piao S, Sugimoto S, Ueno K, Wang L, Wang W, Zhang F, Sheng Y, Guo W, Ailikun, Yang X, Ma Y, Shen SSP, Su Z, Chen F, Liang S, Liu Y, Singh VP, Yang K, Yang D, Zhao X, Qian Y, Zhang Y, Li Q (2018) Recent third Pole’s rapid warming accompanies cryospheric melt and water cycle intensification and interactions between monsoon and environment: multi-disciplinary approach with observation, modeling and analysis. Bull Am Meteorol Soc. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-17-0057.1
Zhang BP (1995) Geoecology and sustainable development in the Kunlun Mountains, China. Mt Res Dev:283–292
Zhang B, Chen X, Zhou L et al (2002) Sustainably managing montane forests in arid mountain regions: the Oytag valley of west Kunlun. AMBIO: A Journal of the Human Environment 31(6):493–495
Zhang H, Shao X, Zhang Y (2015) Which climatic factors limit radial growth of Qilian juniper at the upper treeline on the northeastern Tibetan Plateau? J Geogr Sci 25(10):1173–1182
Zhang R, Yuan Y, Gou X et al (2016) Tree-ring-based moisture variability in western Tianshan Mountains since A.D. 1882 and its possible driving mechanism. Agric For Meteorol 218:267–276
Zhang R, Shang H, Yu S, He Q, Yuan Y, Bolatov K, Mambetov BT (2017) Tree-ring-based precipitation reconstruction in southern Kazakhstan, reveals drought variability since A.D. 1770. Int J Climatol 37(2):741–750
Zhu H, Zheng Y, Shao X, Liu X, Xu Y, Liang E (2008) Millennial temperature reconstruction based on tree-ring widths of Qilian juniper from Wulan, Qinghai Province, China. Chin Sci Bull 53:3914–3920
Zhu H, Shao X, Yin Z, Huang L (2011a) Early summer temperature reconstruction in the eastern Tibetan Plateau since AD 1440 using tree-ring width of Sabina tibetica. Theor Appl Climatol 106(1–2):45–53
Zhu H, Shao X, Yin Z, Xu P, Xu Y, Tian H (2011b) August temperature variability in the southeastern Tibetan Plateau since AD 1385 inferred from tree rings. Palaeogeogr Palaeoclimatol Palaeoecol 305:84–92
Acknowledgements
Thanks are given to the Editor and anonymous reviewers for helpful comments and suggestions. We also deeply appreciate Prof. Tianjun Zhou (LASG, IAPCAS, China) and Prof. Sergio Rossi (UQAC, Canada) for helpful discussions and suggestions.
Funding
This work was funded by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 41571201 and 41771240), West Light Foundation of the Chinese Academy of Sciences to Haifeng Zhu, and CAS Special Project on International Cooperation along the Belt and Road Initiative (No. 131C11KYSB20160061). Ru Huang is grateful for the support from the UCAS Joint PhD Training Program (UCAS[2015]22).
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Ethics declarations
Conflict of interest
The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.
Additional information
Publisher’s note
Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.
Electronic supplementary material
ESM 1
(DOCX 423 kb)
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Huang, R., Zhu, H., Liang, E. et al. A tree-ring–based summer (June–July) minimum temperature reconstruction for the western Kunlun Mountains since AD 1681. Theor Appl Climatol 138, 673–682 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-019-02849-1
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-019-02849-1