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Biogeographical drivers of ragweed pollen concentrations in Europe

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Abstract

The drivers of spatial variation in ragweed pollen concentrations, contributing to severe allergic rhinitis and asthma, are poorly quantified. We analysed the spatiotemporal variability in 16-year (1995–2010) annual total (66 stations) and annual total (2010) (162 stations) ragweed pollen counts and 8 independent variables (start, end and duration of the ragweed pollen season, maximum daily and calendar day of the maximum daily ragweed pollen counts, last frost day in spring, first frost day in fall and duration of the frost-free period) for Europe (16 years, 1995–2010) as a function of geographical coordinates. Then annual total pollen counts, annual daily peak pollen counts and date of this peak were regressed against frost-related variables, daily mean temperatures and daily precipitation amounts. To achieve this, we assembled the largest ragweed pollen data set to date for Europe. The dependence of the annual total ragweed pollen counts and the eight independent variables against geographical coordinates clearly distinguishes the three highly infected areas: the Pannonian Plain, Western Lombardy and the Rhône-Alpes region. All the eight variables are sensitive to longitude through its temperature dependence. They are also sensitive to altitude, due to the progressively colder climate with increasing altitude. Both annual total pollen counts and the maximum daily pollen counts depend on the start and the duration of the ragweed pollen season. However, no significant changes were detected in either the eight independent variables as a function of increasing latitude. This is probably due to a mixed climate induced by strong geomorphological inhomogeneities in Europe.

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Acknowledgements

The authors would like express their thanks to Lewis H. Ziska (Crop Systems and Global Change Laboratory, Agricultural Research Service, United States Department of Agriculture, Beltsville, MD, USA) for his valuable advice and suggestions. The authors would also like to thank Tamás Göbölyös Bozsák (University of Szeged, Faculty of Agriculture, Hódmezővásárhely, Hungary) for his useful help. Lastly, the authors would like to thank the European Aeroallergen Network (EAN, https://ean.polleninfo.eu/Ean) for providing ragweed pollen data for Europe, and the Italian Association of Aerobiology for providing pollen data for Italy.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Department of Meteorology, Eötvös Loránd University, P.O.B. 32, Budapest, 1518, Hungary

    István Matyasovszky

  2. Institute of Economics and Rural Development, Faculty of Agriculture, University of Szeged, Andrássy út 15, Hódmezővásárhely, HU-6800, Hungary

    László Makra, Zoltán Sümeghy, János Erostyák & Károly Bodnár

  3. Mathematical Institute of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences, P.O.B 127, Budapest, 1364, Hungary

    Gábor Tusnády

  4. Optin Ltd, Oroszlán utca 4, Szeged, 6720, Hungary

    Zoltán Csépe

  5. Department of Image Processing and Computer Graphics, University of Szeged, P.O.B. 652, Szeged, 6701, Hungary

    László G. Nyúl

  6. NERC Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, Edinburgh, EH26 0QB, UK

    Daniel S. Chapman

  7. Department of Stochastics, Bolyai Institute, University of Szeged, Aradi vértanúk tere 1, Szeged, 6720, Hungary

    Gábor Szűcs

  8. National Institute of Environmental Health, Albert Flórián út 2-6, Budapest, 1097, Hungary

    Anna Páldy, Donát Magyar & Gergely Mányoki

  9. Allergiezentrum Charité, Luisenstraße 2-5, 10117, Berlin, Germany

    Karl-Christian Bergmann

  10. Department of Physical Geography and Geoinformatics, University of Szeged, Szeged, Hungary

    Áron József Deák

  11. RNSA (Aerobiology Network of France), La Parličre, 69610, Saint Genis l’Argentière, France

    Michel Thibaudon

  12. Department of Clinical and Experimental Medicine, U.O. Medical Immunology, University Hospital of Parma, University of Parma, Parma, Italy

    Roberto Albertini

  13. Department of Medical Prevention, ASL (Local Health Authority) Milan 1, Public Health Service, via Spagliardi 19, Parabiago, 20015, Milan, Italy

    Maira Bonini

  14. Laboratory for Palynology, Faculty of Sciences, University of Novi Sad, Novi Sad, Serbia

    Branko Šikoparija & Predrag Radišić

  15. BioSensе Institute–Research Institute for Information Technologies in Biosystems, University of Novi Sad, Novi Sad, 21000, Serbia

    Branko Šikoparija & Predrag Radišić

  16. Federal Office of Meteorology and Climatology, MeteoSwiss, 8058, Zurich, Switzerland

    Regula Gehrig

  17. Pediatric Department, Masaryk University, Žerotínovo nám. 617/9, 60177, Brno, Czech Republic

    Ondřej Rybníček

  18. Higher Plants Department, Faculty of Biology, Lomonosov Moscow State University, 119991, Moscow, Russia

    Elena Severova

  19. Vinnitsa National Pirogov Memorial Medical University, Vinnitsa, 21018, Ukraine

    Victoria Rodinkova

  20. Department of Medical Biology, Zaporizhia State Medical University, Zaporizhia, 69035, Ukraine

    Alexander Prikhodko & Anna Maleeva

  21. Geophysical Institute, Department of Geophysics, University of Zagreb, 10000, Zagreb, Croatia

    Barbara Stjepanović

  22. West University of Timişoara, Blvd. V. Parvan 4, 300223, Timişoara, Romania

    Nicoleta Ianovici

  23. Department of Oto-Rhino-Laryngology, Medical University of Vienna, Spitalgasse 23, 1090, Vienna, Austria

    Uwe Berger

  24. National Laboratory of Health, Environment and Foodstuff, Centre for Medical Microbiology, Jamnikarjeva ul. 101, 1000, Ljubljana, Slovenia

    Andreja Kofol Seliger

  25. Department of Botany, University of Life Sciences, 13 Akademicka Street, 20-950, Lublin, Poland

    Elżbieta Weryszko-Chmielewska

  26. Fac Technol & Nat Sci, Department Environm Res, Siauliai University, P Visinskis St 19-115, LT-77156, Shiauliai, Lithuania

    Ingrida Šaulienė

  27. V.F. Kuprevich Institute for Experimental Botany of the NAS of Belarus, Akademicheskaya Str. 27, 220072, Minsk, Belarus

    Valentina Shalaboda

  28. Medical University of Sofia, Bul. Akad. Ivan Gesov No. 15, 1431 Bul. Akad. Ivan Gesov No. 15, 1431, Sofia, Bulgaria

    Raina Yankova

  29. University of Applied Sciences Velika Gorica, 10410, Velika Gorica, Croatia

    Renata Peternel

  30. Department of Botany, Comenius University, Šafárikovo námestie 6, 81806, Bratislava, Slovakia

    Jana Ščevková

  31. Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, Wallingford, OX10 8BB, UK

    James M. Bullock

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  1. István Matyasovszky
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  2. László Makra
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  3. Gábor Tusnády
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  4. Zoltán Csépe
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  5. László G. Nyúl
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  6. Daniel S. Chapman
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  7. Zoltán Sümeghy
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  8. Gábor Szűcs
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  9. Anna Páldy
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  10. Donát Magyar
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  11. Gergely Mányoki
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  12. János Erostyák
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  13. Károly Bodnár
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  14. Karl-Christian Bergmann
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  15. Áron József Deák
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  16. Michel Thibaudon
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  17. Roberto Albertini
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  18. Maira Bonini
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  19. Branko Šikoparija
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  20. Predrag Radišić
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  21. Regula Gehrig
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  22. Ondřej Rybníček
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  23. Elena Severova
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  24. Victoria Rodinkova
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  25. Alexander Prikhodko
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  26. Anna Maleeva
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  27. Barbara Stjepanović
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  28. Nicoleta Ianovici
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  29. Uwe Berger
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  30. Andreja Kofol Seliger
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  31. Elżbieta Weryszko-Chmielewska
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  32. Ingrida Šaulienė
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  33. Valentina Shalaboda
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  34. Raina Yankova
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  35. Renata Peternel
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  36. Jana Ščevková
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  37. James M. Bullock
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Correspondence to László Makra.

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In memoriam István Matyasovszky

Appendix

Appendix

Table 3 Abbreviations of the names and the geographical coordinates of the 66 stations used in the study, comprising 16-year (1995–2010) annual total ragweed pollen counts (stations are in longitudinal order)
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Table 4 Abbreviations of the names and the geographical coordinates of the 162 stations used in the study involving total annual ragweed pollen counts for the year 2010 (stations are in longitudinal order)
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Matyasovszky, I., Makra, L., Tusnády, G. et al. Biogeographical drivers of ragweed pollen concentrations in Europe. Theor Appl Climatol 133, 277–295 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-017-2184-8

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