Skip to main content
Log in

The exceptionally wet year of 2014 over Greece: a statistical and synoptical-atmospheric analysis over the region of Thessaloniki

  • Original Paper
  • Published:
Theoretical and Applied Climatology Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

The highest rainfall totals (912.2 mm) and the largest number of raindays (133 days), since 1958, were recorded in Thessaloniki during the year of 2014. Extreme precipitation heights were also observed on a seasonal, monthly and daily basis. The examined year presented the highest daily rainfall intensity, the maximum daily precipitation and the largest number of heavy precipitation days (greater than 10 mm), and it also exceeded the previous amounts of precipitation of very wet (95th percentile) and extremely wet (99th percentile) days. According to the automatic circulation type classification scheme that was used, it was found that during this exceptionally wet year, the frequency of occurrence of cyclonic types at the near surface geopotential level increases, while the same types decreased at a higher atmospheric level (500 hPa). The prevailing type was type C which is located at the centre of the study area (Greece), but several other cyclonic types changed during this year not only their frequency but also their percentage of rainfall as well as their daily precipitation intensity. It should be highlighted that these findings differentiated on the seasonal-scale analysis. Moreover, out of the three teleconnection patterns that were examined (Scandinavian Pattern, Eastern Mediterranean Teleconnection Pattern and North Sea-Caspian Pattern), the Scandinavian one (SCAND) was detected during the most of the months of 2014 meaning that it was highly associated with intense precipitation over Greece.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3
Fig. 4
Fig. 5
Fig. 6
Fig. 7
Fig. 8

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Alexander LV, Zhang X, Peterson TC, Caesar J, Gleason B, Klein Tank AMG, Haylock M, Collins D, Trewin B, Rahimzadeh F, Tagipour A, Kumar KR, Revadekar J, Griffiths G, Vincent L, Stephenson DB, Burn J, Aguilar E, Brunet M, Taylor M, New M, Zhai P, Rusticucci M, Vazquez-Aguirre JL (2006) Global observed changes in daily climate extremes of temperature and precipitation. J Geophys Res-Atmos 111:D05109

    Google Scholar 

  • Alpert P, Ben-Gai T, Baharad A, Benjamini Y, Yekutieli D, Colacino M, Diodato L, Ramis C, Homar V, Romero R, Michaelides S, Manes A (2002) The paradoxical increase of Mediterranean extreme daily rainfall in spite of decrease in total values. Geophys Res Lett 29(11):1536

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Anagnostopoulou C, Tolika K (2012) Extreme precipitation in Europe: statistical threshold selection based on climatological criteria. Theor Appl Climatol 107:479–489

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Anagostopoulou C, Tolika K, Maheras P (2009) Classification of circulation types: a new flexible automated approach applicable ot NCEP and GCM datasets. Theor Appl Climatol 96:3–15

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Barnston AG, Livezey RC (1987) Classification, seasonality and persistence of low-frequency atmospheric circulation patterns. Mon Weather Rev 115:1083–1126

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Begueria S, Vicente-Serrano SM, Lopez-Moreno JI, Garcia-Ruiz M (2009) Annual and seasonal mapping of peak intensity, magnitude and duration of extreme precipitation events across a climatic gradient, northeast Spain. Int J Climatol 29:1759–1779

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Drobinski P, Alonzo B, Bastin S, Da Silva N, Muller C (2016) Scaling of precipitation extremes with temperature in the French Mediterranean region: what explains the hook shape? J Geophys Res Atmos 121:3100–3119. doi:10.1002/2015JD023497

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hatzaki M, Flocas H, Asimakopoulos DN, Maheras P (2007) The eastern Mediterranean teleconnection pattern: identification and definition. Int J Climatol 27:727–737

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hatzaki M, Flocas H, Giannakopoulos CH, Maheras P (2009) The impact of the eastern Mediterranean teleconnection pattern at the Mediterranean climate. J Clim 22:977–992

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Houssos EE, Bartzokas A (2006) Extreme precipitation events in NW Greece. Adv Geosci 7:91–96

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Houssos EE, Lolis CJ, Bartzokas A (2008) Atmospheric circulation patterns associated with extreme precipitation amounts in Greece. Adv Geosci 17:5–11

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • IPCC (2012) Managing the risks of extreme events and disasters to advance climate change adaptation. In: Field CB, Barros V, Stocker TF, Qin D, Dokken DJ, Ebi KL, Mastrandrea MD, Mach KJ, Plattner G-K, Allen SK, Tignor M, Midgley PM (eds) A Special Report of Working Groups I and II of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge and New York 582 pp

    Google Scholar 

  • Kalnay E, Kanamitsu M, Kistler R, Collins W, Deaven D, Gandin L, Iredell M, Saha S, White G, Woollen J, Zhu Y, Chelliah M, Ebisuzaki W, Higgins W, Janowiak J, Mo KC, Ropelewski C, Wang J, Leetmaa A, Reynolds R, Jenne R, Joseph D (1996) The NCEP/NCAR 40-year reanalysis project. Bull Am Met Soc 77:437–471

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kioutsioukis I, Melas D, Zerefos C (2010) Statistical assessment of changes in climate extremes over Greece (1955–2002). Int J Climatol 30:1723–1737

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Klein Tank AMG, Können GP (2003) Trends in indices of daily temperature and precipitation extremes in Europe, 1946–99. J Clim 16:3665–3680

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kostopoulou E, Jones PD (2005) Assessment of climate extremes in the eastern Mediterranean. Meteorog Atmos Phys 89:69–85

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Krichak SO, Barkan J, Breitgand JS, Gualdi S, Feldstein SB (2015) The role of the export of tropical moisture into midlatitudes for extreme precipitaion events in the Mediterranean region. Theor Appl Climatol 121:499–515. doi:10.1007/s00704-014-1244-6

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kutiel H, Benaroch Y (2002) North Sea-Caspian Pattern (NCP)—an upper level atmospheric téléconnection affecting the eastern Mediterranean: implications on the regional climate. Theor Appl Climatol 72:173–192

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kyselý J (2009) Trends in heavy precipitation in the Czech Republic over 1961–2005. Int J Climatol 29:1745–1758

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Li Y, Cai W, Campbell EP (2005) Statistical modelling of extreme rainfall in southwest western Australia. J Clim 18(6):852–863

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lionello P, Abrantes F, Congedi L, Dulac F, Gacic M, Gomis D, Goodess C, Hoff H, Kutiel H, Luterbacher J, Planton S, Reale M, Schröder K, Struglia MV, Toreti A, Tsimplis M, Ulbrich U, Xoplaki E (2010) Introduction: Mediterranean climate-background information. The climate of the Mediterranean region. Elsevier, Amsterdam ISBN: 978-0-12-416042-2

    Google Scholar 

  • Maheras P, Balafoutis CH (1981) Essai d’interprétation du rythme diurne des orages d’été dans la région de Thessalonique. Recherches géographiques à Strasbourg 13-14:161–168

    Google Scholar 

  • Maheras P, Patrikas I, Karacostas T, Anagnostopoulou C (2000) Automatic classification of circulation types in Greece: methodology, description, frequency, variability and trend analysis. Theor Appl Climatol 67:205–223

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Maheras P, Flocas HA, Anagnostopoulou C, Patrikas I (2002) On the vertical structure of composite surface cyclones in the Mediterranean region. Theor Appl Climatol 71:199–217

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Maheras P, Tolika K, Chr A, Vafiadis M, Patrikas I, Flocas H (2004) On the relationships between circulation types and changes in rainfall variability in Greece. Int J Climatol 24:1695–1712

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Maheras P, Kolyva-Machera F, Tolika K, Anagnostopoulou C (2016) Les précipitations exceptionnelles de l’année 2014 dans la Grèce septentrionale. XXXIXe Colloque de l’Association Internationale de Climatologie, Lausanne-Besançon, 2016, 309–314 (in french)

  • Nastos PT, Zerefos CS (2007) On extreme daily precipitation totals at Athens, Greece. Adv Geosci 10:59–66

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Nastos PT, Zerefos CS (2008) Decadal changes in extreme daily precipitation in Greece. Adv Geosci 16:55–62. doi:10.5194/adgeo-16-55-2008

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Pytharoulis I, Kotsopoulos S, Tegoulias I, Kartsios S, Bampzelis D, Karacostas T (2016) Numerical modeling of an intense precipitation event and its associated lightning activity over northern Greece. Atmos Res 169(2016):523–538

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Raveh-Rubin S, Wernli H (2015) Large-scale wind and precipitation extremes in the Mediterranean: a climatological analysis for 1979–2012. Q J R Meteorol Soc 141:2404–2417. doi:10.1002/qj.2531

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Rebora N, Molini L, Casella E, Comellas A, Fiori E, Pignone F, Siccardi F, Silvestro F, Tanelli S, Parodi A (2013) Extreme rainfall in the Mediterranean: what can we learn from observations? J Hydrometeorol 14:906–922

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Seneviratne SI, Nicholls N, Easterling D, Goodess CM, Kanae S, Kossin J, Luo Y, Marengo J, McInnes K, Rahimi M, Reichstein M, Sorteberg A, Vera C, Zhang X (2012) Changes in climate extremes and their impacts on the naturalphysical environment. In: Field CB, Barros V, Stocker TF, Qin D, Dokken DJ, Ebi KL, Mastrandrea MD, Mach KJ, Plattner G-K, Allen SK, Tignor M, Midgley PM (eds) A Special Report of Working Groups I and II of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge and New York, pp 109–230

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  • Steinbrich A, Uhlenbrook S, Reich T, Kolokotronis V (2005) Raum-zeitliche Zusammenhange zwischen Großwetterlagen und ¨ Starkniederschlagen in Baden-Württemberg. WasserWirtschaft 11:14–19

    Google Scholar 

  • Tebaldi C, Hayhoe K, Arblaster JM, Meehl GA (2006) Going to the extremes: an intercomparison of the model simulated historical and future changes in extreme events. Clim Chang 79:185–211

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Tolika K, Anagnostopoulou C, Maheras P, Kutiel H (2007) Extreme precipitation related to circulation types for four case studies over the Eastern Mediterranean. Adv Geosci 12:87–93

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Toreti A, Xoplaki E, Maraun D, Kuglitsch FG, Wanner H, Luterbacher J (2010) Characterisation of extreme winter precipitation in Mediterranean coastal sites and associated anomalous atmospheric circulation patterns. Nat Hazards Earth Syst Sci 10(5):1037–1050

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Tošić I, Unkašević M, Putniković S (2016) Extreme daily precipitation: the case of Serbia in 2014. Theor Appl Climatol. doi:10.1007/s00704-016-1749-2

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Konstantia Tolika.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Tolika, K., Maheras, P. & Anagnostopoulou, C. The exceptionally wet year of 2014 over Greece: a statistical and synoptical-atmospheric analysis over the region of Thessaloniki. Theor Appl Climatol 132, 809–821 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-017-2131-8

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-017-2131-8

Navigation