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Simulation of regional temperature change effect of land cover change in agroforestry ecotone of Nenjiang River Basin in China

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Abstract

The Northeast China is one of typical regions experiencing intensive human activities within short time worldwide. Particularly, as the significant changes of agriculture land and forest, typical characteristics of pattern and process of agroforestry ecotone change formed in recent decades. The intensive land use change of agroforestry ecotone has made significant change for regional land cover, which had significant impact on the regional climate system elements and the interactions among them. This paper took agroforestry ecotone of Nenjiang River Basin in China as study region and simulated temperature change based on land cover change from 1950s to 1978 and from 1978 to 2010. The analysis of temperature difference sensitivity to land cover change based on Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model showed that the land cover change from 1950s to 1978 induced warming effect over all the study area, including the change of grassland to agriculture land, grassland to deciduous broad-leaved forest, and deciduous broad-leaved forest to shrub land. The land cover change from 1978 to 2010 induced cooling effect over all the study area, including the change of deciduous broad-leaved forest to agriculture land, grassland to agriculture land, shrub land to agriculture land, and deciduous broad-leaved forest to grassland. In addition, the warming and cooling effect of land cover change was more significant in the region scale than specific land cover change area.

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Acknowledgments

We thank the China Meteorological Data Sharing Service System for providing meteorological station data, and National Centers for Environmental Prediction for providing model input data. This study was under the auspices of the Effects of Large Scale Land Use Changes on Global Climate Project of National Key Basic Research And Development Program (973 Program) (2010CB95090103), National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 41271416), and Strategic Priority Research Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences (No. XDA05090310). We thank the anonymous reviewers for their valuable and constructive comments.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Northeast Institute of Geography and Agroecology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Changchun, 130012, People’s Republic of China

    Tingxiang Liu, Shuwen Zhang, Lingxue Yu, Kun Bu, Jiuchun Yang & Liping Chang

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  1. Tingxiang Liu
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  2. Shuwen Zhang
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  3. Lingxue Yu
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  4. Kun Bu
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  5. Jiuchun Yang
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  6. Liping Chang
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Correspondence to Shuwen Zhang.

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Liu, T., Zhang, S., Yu, L. et al. Simulation of regional temperature change effect of land cover change in agroforestry ecotone of Nenjiang River Basin in China. Theor Appl Climatol 128, 971–981 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-016-1750-9

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-016-1750-9

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