Cold air outbreaks along a non-frozen sea channel: effects of wind on snow bands

Abstract

Wintertime cold air outbreaks along a non-frozen sea channel or a long lake can become destructive if the related bands of heavy snowfall hit onto land. The forcing for such bands is studied with a 2D numerical model set across an east–west sea channel at 60^oN (‘Gulf of Finland’), varying the basic geostrophic wind V _g. Without any V _g opposite coastal land breezes emerge with convergence. This results in a quasi-steady rising motion w _max ~ 7.5 cm/s at 600 m in the middle of the gulf, which can force a snow band. During weak V _g, the rising motion is reduced but least so for winds from 60^o to 80^o (~ENE), when modest alongshore bands could exist near the downstream (Estonian) coast. During V _g of 4–6 m/s from any direction, the land breezes and rising motions are reduced more effectively, so snow bands are not expected during moderate basic flow. In contrast, during a strong V _g of 20–25 m/s from 110^o to 120^o (~ESE) the land breeze perturbations are intense with w _max up to 15–18 cm/s. The induced alongshore bands of heavy snowfall are located in these cases at the sea but quite close to the downstream (Finnish) coast. They can suddenly make a landfall if the basic wind turns clockwise.