Abstract
Background
It is crucial to identify risk factors for life prognosis after hepatitis C virus (HCV) eradication among patients with or without a high risk of liver cancer or complications.
Methods
This is a prospective, multicenter and observational study using the database of 1031 patients after HCV eradication by direct-acting antiviral agents (DAAs) to evaluate the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and patients’ survival after a sustained virological response (SVR). The Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to estimate hazard ratios associated with HCC development and survival.
Results
AFP at SVR was significantly associated with HCC recurrence in the adjusted model. Liver fibrosis, Mac-2 binding protein glycosylation isomer (M2BPGi) at SVR and smoking status before treatment were positively associated with the development of HCC and M2BPGi was positively associated with HCC recurrence, although not reaching statistical significance. Among patients without a history of HCC, M2BPGi and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) at SVR were significantly associated with death after viral eradication [M2BPGi (HR 4.07, 95% CI 1.22, 13.57), eGFR (HR 0.97, 95% CI 0.94, 0.99)]. Strikingly, of 16 patients who died, among participants without a history of HCC, only two died of liver cancer associated with HCV, whereas 11 died of non-HCV- related cancer or cardiovascular diseases.
Conclusion
M2BPGi at SVR is a potential predictor for patients’ survival and a candidate biomarker for detecting individuals who are at greater risk of death due to cancer-related and unrelated to HCV, as well as cardiovascular diseases, after viral eradication.
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Abbreviations
- HCV:
-
Hepatitis C virus
- DAAs:
-
Direct-acting antiviral agents
- HCC:
-
Hepatocellular carcinoma
- CHC:
-
Chronic hepatitis C
- SVR:
-
Sustained virological response
- WFA:
-
Wisteria floribunda agglutinin
- M2BP:
-
Mac-2 binding protein
- M2BPGi:
-
Mac-2 binding protein glycosylation isomer
- eGFR:
-
Estimated glomerular filtration rate
- HR:
-
Hazard ratio
- Fib-4 index:
-
Fibrosis-4 index
- APRI:
-
Aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index
- RBV:
-
Ribavirin
- ASV:
-
Asunaprevir
- DCV:
-
Daclatasvir
- SOF:
-
Sofosbuvir
- LDV:
-
Ledipasvir
- OBV:
-
Ombitasvir
- PTV:
-
Paritaprevir
- EBV:
-
Elbasvir
- GZR:
-
Grazoprevir
- GLE:
-
Glecaprevir
- PIB:
-
Pibrentasvir
- US:
-
Ultrasonography
- CT:
-
Computed tomography
- MRI:
-
Magnetic resonance imaging
- CCC:
-
Cholangiocellular carcinoma
- AMI:
-
Acute myocardial infarction
- CPA:
-
Cardiopulmonary arrest
- d-ROM:
-
Derivatives of reactive oxygen metabolites
- LDL-C:
-
Low-density lipoprotein cholesterol
- EHM:
-
Extra-hepatic manifestations
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Acknowledgements
This study is based on the participation of nineteen multicenter hospitals (Tokyo Medical and Dental University Hospital, Kashiwa City Hospital, Tsuchiura Kyodo General Hospital, Tokyo Metropolitan Bokutoh Hospital, Toride Kyodo General Hospital, Tokyo Metropolitan Toshima Hospital, Tokyo Metropolitan Otsuka Hospital, Tokyo Kyosai Hospital, Showa General Hospital, Soka Municipal Hospital, Mishima General Hospital, Ome Municipal General Hospital, Yokosuka Kyosai Hospital, Tokyo Metropolitan Tama Medical Center, Yokohama City Minato Red Cross Hospital, Kudanzaka Hospital, Musashino Red Cross Hospital, Koizumi Clinic, and Oobayashi Clinic). This work was supported by Japan Agency for Medical Research and Development (AMED) under Grant Numbers 19fk0210060, 19fk0210047, 19fk0210058, and Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C) (KAKENHI grant numbers 19K08415, 19H03635) and by grants for research received from Sysmex Corporation.
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Study concept and design: MN, YA. Acquisition of data: MN, ET, TS, JT, AS, MM, FKK, MM, SN, YI, SA, SK. Analysis and interpretation of data: MN, NN. Drafting of the manuscript: MN, NN. Statistical analysis: NN, TF. Study supervision: YA, MW, YT. Final approval: All of the authors. Agreement to be accountable for all aspects of the work: All of the authors.
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All procedures performed in studies involving human participants were in accordance with the ethical standards of the institutional and/or national research committee and with the 1975 Declaration of Helsinki and its later amendments or comparable ethical standards.
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Written informed consent was obtained from all patients. The Ethical Committee of TMDU or affiliated hospitals participating in the Ochanomizu–Liver Conference Study group approved this study, which was conducted in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki (confirmation number: G2000-189).
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Nakagawa, M., Nawa, N., Takeichi, E. et al. Mac-2 binding protein glycosylation isomer as a novel predictive biomarker for patient survival after hepatitis C virus eradication by DAAs. J Gastroenterol 55, 990–999 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00535-020-01715-6
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00535-020-01715-6