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The primacy order effect in complex decision making

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Abstract

The goal of the present study was to assess the role of information order in situations of complex decision making in which participants have to process a large amount of information (e.g., Dijksterhuis et al. Science 311(5763): 1005–1007, 2006). In two experiments, participants were presented with information about four cars, each characterized by 12 attributes. Immediately following the presentation of the 48 sentences describing these four cars, participants had to choose the one they would prefer to purchase. Two cars shared exactly the same positive and negative attributes, but they were displayed in a different order for each car. For one car, positive attributes were systematically displayed at the beginning while it was the reverse for the other car. The two remaining cars were used as fillers and had a lower number of positive attributes than the target cars in Experiment 1 and a higher number of positive attributes in Experiment 2. Results revealed a massive effect of information order with a clear preference for the car with positive information presented at the beginning. The second experiment further showed that this order effect was maintained and still strong even if the target cars did not have more positive attributes than the filler cars. Interestingly, in both experiments, participants never noticed that two cars were exactly characterized by the same list of attributes. These data clearly demonstrate that information order is a critical factor in complex decision-making situations involving a large amount of information.

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Notes

  1. A simple equation for the non-linear decreasing function could be: \(b\left( t \right) = a \times b\left( {t - 1} \right)\), with 0.9 ≤ a ≤ 1.

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Acknowledgements

This work is supported by the Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS) and Aix-Marseille University. Correspondence concerning this article should be addressed to Arnaud Rey (arnaud.rey@univ-amu.fr), Laboratoire de Psychologie Cognitive, CNRS—Université de Provence, 3 place Victor Hugo, 13331 Marseille cedex 03, France.

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Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Arnaud Rey.

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Conflict of interest

AR, KLG, MA, and PC declare that they have no conflict of interest.

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All procedures performed in the present studies involving human participants were in accordance with the ethical standards of the institutional and/or national research committee and with the 1964 Helsinki declaration and its later amendments or comparable ethical standards.

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Appendices

Appendix A: List of the 12 attributes used in Experiment 1. The table represents the distribution of positive and negative attributes across the four different cars and mean scores of influence obtained by each attribute at the end of the experiment. Mean scores of influence obtained by Rey et al. (2009) are also provided

Attributes

Cars

Score (Experiment 1)

Score (Rey et al., 2009)

Car 1 (Best)

Car 2 (Best)

Car 3

Car 4

1. (Poor/good) mileage

+

+

18.4

18.3

2. (Poor/good) handling

+

+

15.9

16.5

3. (Poor/good) for the environment

+

+

15.4

15.6

4. (Poor/good) sound system

+

+

13.0

14.6

5. (Poor/good) service

+

+

+

+

13.0

14.3

6. (Easy/difficult) to shift gears

+

+

+

16.2

12.9

7. (Small/large) trunk

+

+

+

12.8

12.3

8. (Little/plenty of) legroom

+

+

10.0

11.8

9. (Old/new) car

+

14.6

10.2

10. Exist in (very few/many) colors

6.5

6.1

11. (Has/has no) sunroof

+

3.5

5.9

12. (Has/has no) cup-holders

2.7

1.6

Appendix B: An example of the 48 sentences displayed in this order for one participant of Experiment 1. The symbols “+” and “–” indicate positive and negative values of the attributes, respectively. Positive attributes of the two best cars are written in bold and negative attribute are in italics. To increase the contrast with Cars 1 and 2, attribute descriptions for Cars 3 and 4 are in grey

+ For Car 4 service is good

− Car 4 is available in very few different colors

+ Car 3 has plenty of legroom

− Car 4 has no cup holders

+ Car 3 is new

+ Car 2 has a good sound system

+ Car 1 has good handling

− Car 3 has poor mileage

Car 2 is available in very few different colors

− Car 3 has poor handling

+ Car 1 is good for the environment

+ For Car 2 service is good

Car 2 has no cup holders

+ Car 1 has a large trunk

− With car 4 it is difficult to shift gears

+ Car 4 has a sunroof

− Car 3 has a small trunk

+ With car 2 it is easy to change gears

Car 2 has no sunroof

Car 1 has poor legroom

+ Car 1 has good mileage

− Car 3 is not very good for the environment

− Car 4 has a poor sound system

Car 1 is old

− Car 3 has no sunroof

+ With car 3 it is easy to change gears

− Car 4 is not very good for the environment

Car 1 is available in very few different colors

+ With car 1 it is easy to shift gears

+ Car 4 has plenty of legroom

Car 2 has poor legroom

+ Car 2 has good handling

− Car 4 has poor handling

− Car 3 has a poor sound system

− Car 4 has poor mileage

+ Car 2 has good mileage

Car 2 is old

Car 1 has no sunroof

− Car 3 has no cup holders

Car 1 has no cup holders

− Car 3 is available in very few different colors

+ Car 2 is good for the environment

+ Car 2 has a large trunk

− Car 4 is old

+ Car 1 has a good sound system

+ Car 4 has a large trunk

+ For Car 1 service is good

+ For Car 3 service is good

Appendix C: Distribution of positive and negative attributes across the four different cars in Experiment 2 and mean scores of influence obtained by each attribute at the end of the experiment

Attributes

Car 1 (Best)

Car 2 (Best)

Car 3

Car 4

Score (Experiment 2)

Score (Rey et al., 2009)

1. (Poor/good) mileage

+

+

17.7

18.3

2. (Poor/good) handling

+

+

15.3

16.5

3. (Poor/good) for the environment

+

+

15.6

15.6

4. (Poor/good) sound system

+

10.6

14.6

5. (Poor/good) service

+

12.4

14.3

6. (Easy/difficult) to shift gears

+

+

14.6

12.9

7. (Small/large) trunk

+

+

11.5

12.3

8. (Little/plenty of) legroom

+

10.9

11.8

9. (Old/new) car

+

8.3

10.2

10. Exist in (very few/many) colors

+

+

6.0

6.1

11. (Has/has no) sunroof

+

3.3

5.9

12. (Has/has no) cup-holders

+

2.0

1.6

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Rey, A., Le Goff, K., Abadie, M. et al. The primacy order effect in complex decision making. Psychological Research 84, 1739–1748 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00426-019-01178-2

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