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An ultrasound-based ensemble machine learning model for the preoperative classification of pleomorphic adenoma and Warthin tumor in the parotid gland

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Abstract

Objectives

The preoperative classification of pleomorphic adenomas (PMA) and Warthin tumors (WT) in the parotid gland plays an essential role in determining therapeutic strategies. This study aims to develop and validate an ultrasound-based ensemble machine learning (USEML) model, employing nonradiative and noninvasive features to differentiate PMA from WT.

Methods

A total of 203 patients with histologically confirmed PMA or WT who underwent parotidectomy from two centers were enrolled. Clinical factors, ultrasound (US) features, and radiomic features were extracted to develop three types of machine learning model: clinical models, US models, and USEML models. The diagnostic performance of the USEML model, as well as that of physicians based on experience, was evaluated and validated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves in internal and external validation cohorts. DeLong’s test was used for comparisons of AUCs. SHAP values were also utilized to explain the classification model.

Results

The USEML model achieved the highest AUC of 0.891 (95% CI, 0.774–0.961), surpassing the AUCs of both the US (0.847; 95% CI, 0.720–0.932) and clinical (0.814; 95% CI, 0.682–0.908) models. The USEML model also outperformed physicians in both internal and external validation datasets (both p < 0.05). The sensitivity, specificity, negative predictive value, and positive predictive value of the USEML model and physician experience were 89.3%/75.0%, 87.5%/54.2%, 87.5%/65.6%, and 89.3%/65.0%, respectively.

Conclusions

The USEML model, incorporating clinical factors, ultrasound factors, and radiomic features, demonstrated efficient performance in distinguishing PMA from WT in the parotid gland.

Clinical relevance statement

This study developed a machine learning model for preoperative diagnosis of pleomorphic adenoma and Warthin tumor in the parotid gland based on clinical, ultrasound, and radiomic features. Furthermore, it outperformed physicians in an external validation dataset, indicating its potential for clinical application.

Key Points

Differentiating pleomorphic adenoma (PMA) and Warthin tumor (WT) affects management decisions and is currently done by invasive biopsy.

Integration of US-radiomic, clinical, and ultrasound findings in a machine learning model results in improved diagnostic accuracy.

The ultrasound-based ensemble machine learning (USEML) model consistently outperforms physicians, suggesting its potential applicability in clinical settings.

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Abbreviations

CI:

Confidence interval

ICC:

Inter- and intraclass correlation coefficient

ML:

Machine learning

OR:

Odds ratio

PMA:

Pleomorphic adenoma

SHAP:

SHapley Additive exPlanation

US:

Ultrasound

USEML:

Ultrasound-based ensemble machine learning

WT:

Warthin tumor

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Funding

Project of Foshan “Fourteen Five” Medicine High-level Key Specialty Construction (FSGSP145037); Medical Research Project of Foshan Health Bureau (20230029); Foshan Self-funded Science and Technology Innovation Project (Medical Science and Technology Research 2320001006907); Natural Science Foundation of Guangdong Province (2414050003969); Bureau of Science and Technology of Ganzhou Municipality (2022-ZD1373; 2022--RC1349).

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Correspondence to Weijun Huang or Genggeng Qin.

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The scientific guarantor of this publication is Genggeng Qin.

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The authors of this manuscript declare no relationships with any companies, whose products or services may be related to the subject matter of the article.

Statistics and biometry

No complex statistical methods were necessary for this paper.

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Written informed consent was waived by the Institutional Review Board.

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• retrospective

• diagnostic or prognostic study

• multicenter study

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He, Y., Zheng, B., Peng, W. et al. An ultrasound-based ensemble machine learning model for the preoperative classification of pleomorphic adenoma and Warthin tumor in the parotid gland. Eur Radiol (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00330-024-10719-2

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