Abstract
Objectives
To compare the performance metrics of two different strategies of lung cancer screening by low-dose computed tomography (LDCT), namely, annual (LDCT1) or biennial (LDCT2) screen.
Methods
Recall rate, detection rate, interval cancers, sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values (PPV and NPV, respectively) were compared between LDCT1 and LDCT2 arms of the MILD trial over the first seven (T0-T6; median follow-up 7.3 years) and four rounds (T0-T3; median follow-up 7.3 years), respectively.
Results
1152 LDCT1 and 1151 LDCT2 participants underwent a total of 6893 and 4715 LDCT scans, respectively. The overall recall rate was higher in LDCT2 arm (6.97 %) than in LDCT1 arm (5.81 %) (p = 0.01), which was counterbalanced by the overall lower number of LDCT scans. No difference was observed for the overall detection rate (0.56 % in both arms). The two LDCT arms had similar specificity (99.2 % in both arms), sensitivity (73.5 %, in LDCT2 vs. 68.5 % in LDCT1, p = 0.62), PPV (42.4 %, in LDCT2, vs. 40.6 %, in LDCT1, p = 0.83) and NPV (99.8 %, in LDCT2 vs. 99.7 %, in LDCT1, p = 0.71).
Conclusion
Biennial screen may save about one third of LDCT scans with similar performance indicators as compared to annual screening.
Key Points
• Biennial LDCT screening may be as efficient as the annual screening.
• Annual and biennial LDCT screening have similar frequency of interval lung cancers.
• Biennial screening may save about one third of LDCT scans.
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Abbreviations
- FN:
-
False negative
- FP:
-
False positive
- LDCT:
-
Low-dose computed tomography
- LDCT1:
-
Annual LDCT screening
- LDCT2:
-
Biennial LDCT screening
- NCNs:
-
Non-calcified nodules
- NPV:
-
Negative predictive value
- PPV:
-
Positive predictive value
- TP:
-
True positive
- TN:
-
True negative
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Acknowledgements
The scientific guarantor of this publication is Nicola Sverzellati. The authors of this manuscript declare no relationships with any companies, whose products or services may be related to the subject matter of the article. The authors state that this work was supported by grants from the Italian Association for Research on Cancer (AIRC, IG 1227, IG 4879, special program12162), and Lombardia-Cariplo Foundation (Milan, Italy). Complex statistical methods were carried by an author (Dr Carlotta Galeone) of the present study. Institutional Review Board approval was obtained. Written informed consent was obtained by all the study participants.
Methodology: Prospective, Randomized controlled trial, Performed at one Institution.
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Sverzellati, N., Silva, M., Calareso, G. et al. Low-dose computed tomography for lung cancer screening: comparison of performance between annual and biennial screen. Eur Radiol 26, 3821–3829 (2016). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00330-016-4228-3
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00330-016-4228-3