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Predictive Values of Preoperative Markers for Resectable Pancreatic Body and Tail Cancer Determined by MDCT to Detect Occult Metastases

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Abstract

Background

To evaluate the clinical value of preoperative markers in predicting occult metastases in resectable pancreatic body and tail cancer judged by a recent multidetector computed tomography (MDCT) scan of the abdomen.

Methods

The data from a retrospective collected database from 2010 to 2019 with 699 patients who had MDCT scan predicted resectable mass in pancreatic body and tail and were pathological confirmed as adenocarcinoma after surgery. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was plotted for serum CA19-9, CA125, CEA and tumor size measured by MDCT. The optimal cut-off point-related sensitivity and specificity were calculated, respectively.

Results

Occult metastases were found in 73 (73/699, 10.4%) pancreatic body and tail cancer patients underwent exploration. The area under curve (AUC) for CA19-9, CA125, CEA and tumor size were 0.624, 0.733, 0.561 and 0.697, respectively. The optimal cut-off for CA19-9, CA125 and tumor size is 226 U/ml, 22.1 U/ml and 3.3 cm, respectively. The sensitivity and specificity of CA19-9 for predicting occult metastases were 67.1% and 60.4%, 72.6% and 64.7% for CA125, 80.8% and 51.4% for tumor size.

Conclusion

CA125 is superior to CA19-9 and tumor size for predicting occulting metastases in MDCT scan suggested resectable pancreatic body and tail cancer. The high level of CA125 (≥ 22.1 U/ml) is regarded as high risk for occulting metastases, and laparoscopy should be applied for these patients.

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Acknowledgments

This work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant numbers 81625016, 81871940, 81902417), Scientific Innovation Project of Shanghai Education Committee (2019-01-07-00-07-E00057), the Shanghai Natural Science Foundation (Grant number 17ZR1406300), the Shanghai Cancer Center Foundation for Distinguished Young Scholars (Grant number YJJQ201803) and the Fudan University Personalized Project for “Double Top” Original Research (Grant number XM03190633).

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Correspondence to Xianjun Yu or Chen Liu.

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Cheng, H., Luo, G., Jin, K. et al. Predictive Values of Preoperative Markers for Resectable Pancreatic Body and Tail Cancer Determined by MDCT to Detect Occult Metastases. World J Surg 45, 2185–2190 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00268-021-06047-x

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