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[18F]FDG PET/CT for predicting triple-negative breast cancer outcomes after neoadjuvant chemotherapy with or without pembrolizumab

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European Journal of Nuclear Medicine and Molecular Imaging Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

Purpose

To determine if pretreatment [18F]FDG PET/CT could contribute to predicting complete pathological complete response (pCR) in patients with early-stage triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) undergoing neoadjuvant chemotherapy with or without pembrolizumab.

Methods

In this retrospective bicentric study, we included TNBC patients who underwent [18F]FDG PET/CT before neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) or chemo-immunotherapy (NACI) between March 2017 and August 2022. Clinical, biological, and pathological data were collected. Tumor SUVmax and total metabolic tumor volume (TMTV) were measured from the PET images. Cut-off values were determined using ROC curves and a multivariable model was developed using logistic regression to predict pCR.

Results

N = 191 patients were included. pCR rates were 53 and 70% in patients treated with NAC (N = 91) and NACI (N = 100), respectively (p < 0.01). In univariable analysis, high Ki67, high tumor SUVmax (> 12.3), and low TMTV (≤ 3.0 cm3) were predictors of pCR in the NAC cohort while tumor staging classification (< T3), BRCA1/2 germline mutation, high tumor SUVmax (> 17.2), and low TMTV (≤ 7.3 cm3) correlated with pCR in the NACI cohort. In multivariable analysis, only high tumor SUVmax (NAC: OR 8.8, p < 0.01; NACI: OR 3.7, p = 0.02) and low TMTV (NAC: OR 6.6, p < 0.01; NACI: OR 3.5, p = 0.03) were independent factors for pCR in both cohorts, albeit at different thresholds.

Conclusion

High tumor metabolism (SUVmax) and low tumor burden (TMTV) could predict pCR after NAC regardless of the addition of pembrolizumab. Further studies are warranted to validate such findings and determine how these biomarkers could be used to guide neoadjuvant therapy in TNBC patients.

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Data Availability

All data generated or analysed during this study are included in this published article and its supplementary information files.

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Contributions

All authors made substantial contributions to the design of the work; or the acquisition, analysis, or interpretation of data; all authors revised it critically for important intellectual content; all authors approved the version to be published; and all authors agree to be accountable for all aspects of the work in ensuring that questions related to the accuracy or integrity of any part of the work are appropriately investigated and resolved. Material preparation, data collection, and analysis were performed by R-D. Seban, E. Arnaud, D. Loirat, L. Djerroudi, F–C Bidard, A Berenbaum, L. Champion, and I. Buvat. The first draft of the manuscript was written by R-D Seban, E. Arnaud, D. Loirat, F–C Bidard, L. Champion, and I. Buvat. All authors commented on previous versions of the manuscript. All authors read and approved the manuscript.

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Correspondence to Romain-David Seban.

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Financial interests: Dr. Delphine LOIRAT and Dr. Segolene HESCOT have received speaker and consultant honoraria from MSD. All other authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.

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Seban, RD., Arnaud, E., Loirat, D. et al. [18F]FDG PET/CT for predicting triple-negative breast cancer outcomes after neoadjuvant chemotherapy with or without pembrolizumab. Eur J Nucl Med Mol Imaging 50, 4024–4035 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00259-023-06394-y

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