Skip to main content

Advertisement

Log in

A neural network-based algorithm for predicting the spontaneous passage of ureteral stones

  • Original Paper
  • Published:
Urolithiasis Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

In this study, a prototype artificial neural network model (ANN) was used to estimate the stone passage rate and to determine the effectivity of predictive factors on this rate in patients with ureteral stones. The retrospective study included a total of 192 patients with ureteral stones, comprising 128 (66.7%) men and 64 (33.3%) women. Patients were divided into two groups. Group 1 (n: 125) consisted of people who spontaneously passed their stones, Group 2 (n: 67) consisted of people who could not pass stones spontaneously. The groups were compared with regard to the relationship between input data and stone passage rate by using both ANN and standard statistical tests. To implement the ANN, the patients were randomly divided into three groups: (a) training group (n = 132), (b) validation group (n = 30), and (c) test group (n = 30). The accuracy rate of ANN in the estimation of the stone passage ratio was 99.1% in the group a, 89.9% in the group b, and 87.3% in the group c. It was revealed that certain criteria (stone size, body weight, pain score, ESR, and CRP) were relatively more significant for saving treatment cost and time and for avoiding unnecessary treatment. ANN can be highly useful for the avoidance of unnecessary interventions in patients with ureteral stones as it showed remarkably high performance in the estimation of stone passage rate (99.16%).

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  1. Pearle MS, Lotan Y (2012) Urinary lithiasis: etiology, epidemiology, and pathogenesis. In: Wein AJ, Kavoussi LR, Novick AC, Partin AW, Peters CA (eds) Campbell-walsh urology, 10th edn. Elsevier, Philadelphia, pp 1257–1286

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  2. Segura JW, Preminger GM, Assimos DG, Dretler SP, Kahn RI, Lingeman JE et al (1997) Ureteral stones clinical guidelines panel summary report on the management of ureteral calculi. J Urol 158:1915–1921 (The American Urological Association)

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  3. Aldaqadossi HA (2013) Stone expulsion rate of small distal ureteric calculi could be predicted with plasma C-reactive protein. Urolithiasis 41:235–239

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  4. Sfoungaristos S, Kavouras A, Katafigiotis I, Perimenis P (2012) Role of white blood cell and neutrophil counts in predicting spontaneous stone passage in patients with renal colic. BJU Int 110(8 Pt B):E339–E345

    Article  Google Scholar 

  5. Ahmed AF, Gabr AH, Emara AA, Ali M, Abdel-Aziz AS, Alshahrani S (2015) Factors predicting the spontaneous passage of a ureteric calculus of < 10 mm. Arab J Urol 13:84–90

    Article  Google Scholar 

  6. Fazlioglu A, Salman Y, Tandogdu Z, Kurtulus FO, Bas S, Cek M (2014) The effect of smoking on spontaneous passage of distal ureteral stones. BMC Urol 14:27

    Article  Google Scholar 

  7. Lawrence J (1994) Introduction to neural networks, design, theory and applications. California Scientific Software Press, Nevada City

    Google Scholar 

  8. Akinsal EC, Haznedar B, Baydilli N, Kalinli A, Ozturk A, Ekmekçioğlu O (2018) Artificial neural network for the prediction of chromosomal abnormalities in azoospermic males. Urol J 15(3):122–125. https://doi.org/10.22037/uj.v0i0.4029

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  9. Seckiner I, Seckiner S, Sen H, Bayrak O, Dogan K, Erturhan S (2017) A neural network-based algorithm for predicting stone-free status after ESWL therapy. Int Braz J Urol 43(6):1110–1114. https://doi.org/10.1590/s1677-5538.ibju.2016.0630

    Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  10. Aminsharifi A, Irani D, Pooyesh S, Parvin H, Dehghani S, Yousofi K, Fazel E, Zibaie F (2017) Artificial neural network system to predict the postoperative outcome of percutaneous nephrolithotomy. J Endourol 31(5):461–467. https://doi.org/10.1089/end.2016.0791(Epub 2017 Mar 13. Erratum in: J Endourol. Jun;31(6):621)

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  11. Kuo RJ, Huang MH, Cheng WC, Lin CC, Wu YH (2015) Application of a two-stage fuzzy neural network to a prostate cancer prognosis system. Kuo Artif Intell Med 63(2):119–133. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.artmed.2014.12.008(Epub 2014 Dec 30)

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  12. Hubner WA, Irby P, Stoller ML (1993) Natural history and current concepts for the treatment of small ureteral calculi. Eur Urol 24:172

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  13. Ueno A, Kawamura T, Ogawa A et al (1977) Relation of spontaneous passage of ureteral calculi to size. Urology 10:544

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  14. Iqbal Nadeem, Malik Yashfeen, Nadeem Utbah, Khalid Maham, Pirzada Amna, Majeed Mehr, Malik Hajra Arshad, Akhter Saeed (2018) Comparison of ureteroscopic pneumatic lithotripsy and extracorporeal shock wave lithotripsy for the management of proximal ureteral stones: a single center experience. Turk J Urol 44:221–227. https://doi.org/10.5152/tud.2018.41848

    Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Mehmet Solakhan.

Ethics declarations

Conflict of interest

All authors declare no potential conflicts of interest.

Ethical approval

The study was approved by the local ethics committee (Approval No: 2018/10-03).

Human and animal rights and informed consent

This article does not contain any studies with human or animal subjects performed by any of the authors.

Additional information

Publisher's Note

Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Solakhan, M., Seckiner, S.U. & Seckiner, I. A neural network-based algorithm for predicting the spontaneous passage of ureteral stones. Urolithiasis 48, 527–532 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00240-019-01167-5

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00240-019-01167-5

Keywords

Navigation